The Kwon trial is entering its final stages, with prosecutors holding onto the 12-year sentence and the defense emphasizing that "failed innovations should not be criminalized." So, how did the market respond? It voted with real money—$LUNA surged by a whopping 44%, breaking through the $0.20 mark and stabilizing at $0.2048, while $LUNC also rose by 33%. Even more astonishing, the daily trading volume exploded to $470 million, more than tripling the usual amount.



Looking at the holdings data, it's clear this rally isn't ordinary. The top ten addresses bought up 120 million LUNA within a week, while the short side is crying foul—single-day liquidation amounts exceeding $10 million. Community sentiment surveys show 85% bullish, but technical indicators like RSI have shot above 75, a clear overbought signal.

The logic behind this surge is actually quite straightforward: once the verdict is delivered, the biggest uncertainty dissipates. A light sentence might trigger follow-on buying, while a harsher sentence could be seen as "bad news already priced in," encouraging bottom-fishing capital to enter. Additionally, the technical team recently released a new version, fixing numerous bugs and enabling cross-chain functionality, reigniting the "Terra Revival Plan" slogan within the community.

As for how to trade this? Aggressive traders are currently going all-in, betting that the verdict won't be too harsh and that market sentiment can continue to ferment. More conservative traders might wait for the verdict announcement—if the sentence is light, they could buy on a dip around $0.19; if it's harsh, they should watch the $0.16 support level. Of course, the most cautious approach is to stay on the sidelines and watch, since this kind of event-driven rally has no substantial change in fundamentals and carries significant risk exposure, which isn't suitable for everyone.
LUNA-4.47%
LUNC-4.54%
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DegenWhisperervip
· 2025-12-14 23:10
RSI 75 and still dare to go all-in, are you gambling your life? I'm truly impressed. I've been waiting before the verdict on Do Kwon, not making any move. This wave of sentiment is too strong, it feels like one bad news will directly expose its true nature. Trying to stand firm at 0.2048? Laughable, it's just an artificial high. When 85% bullish, it's often the time to run. Have you understood the reverse indicator? I heard the technical team is working on a new version, but the fundamentals are still a pile of crap. The crazy buying spree by the top ten addresses is a bit suspicious, are they planning to escape? Once the verdict comes out, it will probably plunge directly, so let's wait for that 0.16. This is the magic of event-driven trading; tomorrow it will turn into a story.
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PensionDestroyervip
· 2025-12-13 22:49
RSI is already at 75 and you're still going all-in, that's a gambler's mentality, right? Both light and heavy judgments can lead to a rise, so what does that mean? It means everyone is just waiting to cut the leeks. This wave is purely an emotional market. Once the verdict is out and negative news lands, be careful of a sharp drop. Does Do Kwon getting 12 years or not matter to me? I just want to see if Luna can return to $1. The top ten addresses are sweeping up 120 million tokens, maybe it's just the whales accumulating again. When 85% are bullish, it's often the most dangerous. Better wait for the verdict before making a move. All the bad news is out, and everyone rushes to buy the dip? I've heard this line too many times, each time ending in a bloody lesson. Standing at $0.16 support sounds easy, but what if it drops straight through to $0.10? What will they say then?
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Degen4Breakfastvip
· 2025-12-12 02:50
RSI is already at 75, and you're still risking everything. What are you, a gambler? As soon as the verdict is announced and the price drops, you'll be crying. I'll wait for the pullback to buy in again. Stop washing the floors downstairs. Do Kwon going to jail has nothing to do with Luna's price increase. This wave is purely emotional trading; the fundamentals haven't changed, so what's the point of talking about revival? Once the short squeeze chart appears, you should reduce your position immediately. A 44% increase in price only brings suspense, not worth it. Winning with both heavy and light sentences? That logic is just too absurd. I've heard the cross-chain feature a hundred times, but how many people have actually used it? I just want to know who bought in at 0.19. Having been burned once by LUNA, this time it just feels uncomfortable to watch.
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TokenDustCollectorvip
· 2025-12-12 02:46
RSI75 is already overbought, and you're still going all in? Are you looking for death? --- Light sentencing or heavy sentencing, can they both lead to a rise? I feel like it's just the whales cutting the leeks. --- I knew retail investors would get scammed when the top ten addresses swept 120 million LUNA. --- "Failed innovation shouldn't be condemned"? Bro, if you lose investors' money, that's a crime. --- Let's wait until the verdict comes out. The current sentiment is too strange. --- Terra revival plan? I only see the revival plan of the revival plan. --- Dare to take on a daily liquidation of tens of millions in shorts? This kind of market can't be played. --- Can 0.16 hold up? That's hard to say. --- When 85% are bullish, it's time to run. That's basic trading knowledge. --- It's just event hype; if the fundamentals haven't changed, don't touch it.
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LiquidationWatchervip
· 2025-12-12 02:43
rsi 75+ is literally screaming "watch those collateral ratios" right now... been there, lost that when luna first crashed and i'm not about to repeat 2022. this event-driven euphoria always ends the same way ngl
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LazyDevMinervip
· 2025-12-12 02:40
44% directly takes off, shorts explode, this judgment market is really intense Both light sentences and heavy sentences have people making money, just worried that on judgment day there will be a round of pullback RSI75 is already a bit overextended, I still prefer to wait for a lower entry point, see at 0.19 Dreaming of 0.01, can we really turn around this time or will it be another round of harvesting the leek
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MEVVictimAlliancevip
· 2025-12-12 02:22
RSI75 Are you still daring to push? This is the result of being emotionally hijacked, brother. Let's wait for the judgment. Entering now is just gambler's psychology. By the way, can Do Kwon really turn things around? It feels a bit uncertain. I agree with the logic of buying in at 0.19, at least there's a stop-loss space. Is this a revival or just another harvest? Only heaven knows. Shorts getting wiped out in the millions, the water in this pond is too deep. To those who go all-in, I bet 5 bucks they'll regret it once the verdict comes out. "Failed innovation shouldn't be condemned"? Uh... what about Terra? I'm just looking forward to the pullback after this event lands, there’s a high chance it will be a trap.
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