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#比特币对比代币化黄金 The rebound during the US session on Friday was pretty strong—WTI closed directly at $59.67, up 1.2%. Market sentiment is clearly warming up, and the core logic really comes down to two factors: On the macro front, things are improving, and everyone is betting that the Fed will cut rates next week. Once funding costs come down, industrial demand and consumption will definitely pick up. On the other hand, geopolitical issues are still ongoing, keeping the supply side tight.
Looking at the daily chart these past few days, oil prices are basically bottoming out, with bullish and bearish candles seesawing repeatedly. The $56 level has been tested several times without breaking, which shows that the support is pretty solid. The MACD is sticking just below the zero line, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening. If the $56 support doesn’t hold, there could be a further drop; but as long as it does, the odds of a rebound are much higher.
It’s even clearer on the hourly chart—since bouncing from the lower end of the range, the price is still fluctuating within the consolidation framework. There was some pullback near the $60 mark this morning, but the moving averages have started to fan out upward, showing that bulls are gradually gaining the upper hand in the short term. Objectively, the probability of moving up intraday is higher, though the upside is likely limited.
If you want to trade, the strategy should still be to look for long opportunities on pullbacks, with light short positions at rebound highs. Watch the resistance zone at 61.5 to 62.5 above, and the short-term support zone at 59 to 58 below. At the current level, it’s worth considering building long positions, targeting around 60.5-61, and keeping the stop loss within 0.4 points. $BTC $ETH