#比特币对比代币化黄金 The 4-hour timeframe has already formed a clear bearish structure—the price was strongly rejected at the supply zone near 0.3000, creating a textbook double top pattern. This pullback is not a simple retracement; the market structure has shifted from bullish dominance to bearish control. Currently, the price is in a mild consolidation stage, and this kind of sideways movement is often a buildup period for the next round of decline.

Looking at the 1-hour chart, the key signal is the RSI indicator. If the RSI fails to rebound above the 50 midline and falls back, that’s a very clear short confirmation—it indicates that selling pressure remains in control, and the current sideways move is just a temporary pause, not a trend reversal. Combined with the short-term moving averages, the price should still be running below the moving averages, which have now become dynamic resistance levels. Based on the logic of the double top continuation, it is highly likely that the price will continue seeking important demand zones below. Stop loss should be set above the recent consolidation area, providing a very favorable risk-reward ratio.

Currently actionable short plan:
Entry: 0.2620 market price
First target: 0.2435
Second target: 0.2250
Stop loss: 0.2743
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