Looking back at the changes in Bitcoin’s price over recent years really makes me feel emotional. The latest predictions are all over the place, which reminds me of those ups and downs in the past.

On Polymarket, the probability prediction for Bitcoin dropping below $80,000 in November has fallen to 13%. This takes me back to the crazy bull market at the end of 2017. Back then, everyone thought Bitcoin would keep soaring, but soon after, the crypto winter arrived. Looking at it now, market sentiment is still just as volatile.

PlanB still insists that Bitcoin will reach $500,000 by 2028. This confidence reminds me of the early steadfast holders. I remember in 2013, many people thought it was a fantasy for Bitcoin to break $1,000. History tells us that, in the long term, optimists are often right, but short-term volatility can’t be ignored.

As for James Wynn predicting that Bitcoin will fall to $67,000 this week, these short-term forecasts always make me think of those “analysis masters” who shine briefly and then disappear. Looking back over the past decade, there have been very few who could accurately predict short-term trends. Instead of guessing short-term ups and downs, it’s better to focus on long-term development trends and fundamental changes.

These complicated and varied predictions remind me of an old saying: history doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes. No matter how the market changes, staying rational and keeping a long-term perspective is key. After all, Bitcoin’s story is far from over, and there’s still a long way to go.