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Now the S&P 500's forward P/E is only 19.9 times, which is really not expensive — let me talk about my year-end target judgment
Let me first share a data point. Today I want to discuss it from the valuation perspective
The S&P 500's current forward P/E is 19.9 times, exactly at the 5-year average of 19.9 times (Chart 1), and only slightly higher than the 10-year average of 19.1 times. Looking at the chart, you can see this multiple has fallen from the high of 23 times in October last year to now, returning to near the historical average. It's not expensive, let alone a bubble.
The logic
SPX-6.25%
SPYX0.38%
GAS7.52%
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Must say, today's move was really straightforward!📉🚀 Opening the charts this morning, $CHZ has already broken through the grinding high-level rhythm from a few days ago in the afternoon. The bears didn't beat around the bush this time.
When the charts hadn't fully started yet, I saw that CHZ's rebound wasn't quite right: the upward momentum didn't continue, volume didn't follow, and support wasn't strong. Many people were excited about the small rebound, but I instead judged that it smelled like a bull trap, and directly opened a short position around 0.03576 as planned 👀📌
Now the current
CHZ-2.61%
BTC-1.97%
ETH-1.26%
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Talk to about crypto Market
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$RAVE Signal】Long + high-level rotation, waiting for the breakout
$RAVE 4H RSI 74.32, 1H MACD histogram is shrinking on decreasing volume. Price is moving sideways around 0.327, with dense orders at 0.3243.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry / limit order: 0.326617 - 0.327600
🛑Stop loss: 0.324324
🚀Target 1: 0.332514
🚀Target 2: 0.334971
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50%, and move the stop loss up to the breakeven level. If price drops back to the entry level, exit automatically to protect principal.
The bid ratio continues at
RAVE-7.26%
BTC-1.92%
ETH-1.22%
SOL-0.09%
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The last glance before bed was still grinding, and waking up directly delivered the answer to the bears! 📉😎
A few days ago, before bed, I looked at $ARB , it was swinging back and forth at a high level, annoying, but I was calmer instead, because it wasn't a strong push, it was a weak rebound, with selling pressure above constantly weighing.
When the chart hadn't fully started, ARB tried to break out several times but couldn't hold, volume was not cooperating 👀 I judged that no one would buy on the way up, this position is more suitable for waiting for its pullback after it can't push furth
ARB-0.45%
BTC-1.97%
ETH-1.26%
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$ETH Some people have gone with the trend all the way and made a fortune, while others have stubbornly gone against it until they were forced to liquidate, and even then, they died with regret, always feeling the market was abnormal. So, I ask you, have you ever respected the market?
ETH-1.22%
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This one smashed down, and the market just dropped the act!
📉🔥 Opening the market in the morning saw $ZEC , the taste of that stubborn high-level support from a few days ago finally paid off.
A few days ago in the early hours, it repeatedly tested upward, but volume just couldn't keep up, and it softened as soon as it hit resistance above. I felt at the time that this wasn't strength, but rather it was draining the patience of those chasing longs.
Before the market had fully launched, I was watching ZEC's rebound strength. Several upward surges had no takers, with support clearly weak
ZEC-7.07%
BTC-1.97%
ETH-1.26%
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This one slammed down, the market stopped pretending! 🚨📉 A few days ago before bed, I saw $BCH still swaying at the highs, looking tough on the surface, but each upward push fell short, volume didn't follow, and there was pressure above that wouldn't let up. In this position, I prefer to wait for the bears to give feedback.
While everyone was still waiting and watching, I focused on BCH's support, finding that when it ran up, no one was buying, and the rebound became weaker and weaker. 👀 So at that time, I executed a short around 343.66, not chasing the excitement, just waiting for it to r
BCH-3.99%
BTC-1.97%
ETH-1.26%
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To be honest, this kind of pullback is refreshing! 🔥📉
Last look before bed, $APE is still pretending to be strong up there, the price is rubbing back and forth, but volume hasn't been released, and the overhead resistance hasn't been eaten through.
During the session when it was grinding higher, I could see the details of APE very clearly: each rebound was weaker than the last, no one was picking up the breakouts, and support was clearly insufficient ✅ So at that time, I didn't chase longs, instead I preferred to wait for the bears to exert themselves and short based on the levels.
No
APE-2.20%
BTC-1.97%
ETH-1.26%
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BTC volatility is back, narratives are shifting fast, and smart money is repositioning quietly.
Most people will call it “noise” until it becomes a breakout.
In BULL markets, patience prints money.
In BEAR markets, patience survives.
Where do you stand?
BVIX2.39%
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Beautiful Monday morning, 4 consecutive wins, it feels like the first few days of each week are very smooth, Thursday and Friday are not so good, especially Friday🤣#BTC下探60000美元关键关口
BTC-1.92%
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Thank you to the #PiNetwork core team for launching three brand-new features at the 2026 Pi2Day event—SoloHost, Pi Sign-in, and PiVerify! The open computing power and decentralized identity system expand the application scenarios of the ecosystem, giving Pi real-world utility in the fields of distributed computing and AI. As a pioneer, I will actively participate in ecosystem tasks, test new features, and work together to build the Pi ecosystem, looking forward to the network's continuous and steady development!
PI-6.56%
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BubbleTerminator:
Good dog
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Ouyang's most important episode ever, be sure to watch! Golden words, worth a thousand gold! Monthly close is coming! July will see a phase bottom! Patiently wait for the 50,000 mark, Bitcoin market analysis on June 29 #btc #eth #bitcoin
BTC-1.92%
ETH-1.22%
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TenThousandCoinsGathering:
OK, um, when is the long holiday? What time and minute is Jinjiang Hotel? Nine-centimeter pants, don't.
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$HSK Daily Post #19 Did you add to your HSK position today?
HSK0.64%
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A few days ago it looked quite strong, but today it's completely exposed! 📉🚨 $ZEC
This drop didn't come out of nowhere. A few days ago, before going to bed, it repeatedly tried to go up, but each time it couldn't break through cleanly, and volume couldn't keep up. It was clearly being suppressed from above, with insufficient support.
When the market hadn't fully started yet, I was watching ZEC, with the price fluctuating around 529.74 👀 At that time, my judgment was straightforward: weak rebound, heavy trap for longs, don't be misled by fake breakouts, execute short.
When it's time t
ZEC-7.07%
BTC-1.97%
ETH-1.26%
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Good news instantly turns into bad! South Korea's stock market crashes again, triggering a circuit breaker.
The 4 trillion won storage investment that was hyped over the weekend became an excuse to dump right at the market open. South Korea's KOSPI index plunged over 3% at the open, directly triggering trading halts, with Samsung and SK Hynix both falling over 5%. Foreign investors have withdrawn $95 billion from Korean stocks this year, relying entirely on retail investors' leveraged buying to hold up, and a drop easily triggers a chain of forced liquidations. Fortunately, A-shares held up, w
SKHYNIX-3.70%
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The last glance before bed was still grinding, and waking up directly showed me clear-headed! 🔥📉
A few days ago before bed, $DASH was still hovering above, seemingly building up strength, but the more I looked, the more it seemed unsustainable.
When I was looking at DASH, the main point was one: whether there would be buyers when it went up. The result was clear: weak rebound, low volume on the rise, constant suppression. Before the market had fully started, I suggested looking at it from a high-level resistance perspective, opening a short near 43.24 👀📢
Now it has gone from 43.24 t
DASH-2.87%
BTC-1.97%
ETH-1.26%
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Just a few days ago it was still holding up, but today it's directly back to square one! 📉🚨
A few days ago before bed $DOGE it was still grinding sideways at a high level. The market didn't look weak, but the details were hollow—no volume on the rise, no one buying at the top, the rebound getting weaker and weaker.
When the market hadn't fully started yet, I watched DOGE's upward moves—every time it fell short, every time it was pushed back. At this level of insufficient support, I'd rather wait for shorts to cash in than chase the sentiment 👀📌
After the opportunity near 0.1017, I shorted
DOGE-2.96%
BTC-1.97%
ETH-1.26%
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