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On November 30, #香港稳定币监管框架 , DOGE delivered an intriguing report card.
The price has been relatively stable, hovering around $0.15, with a slight drop of 0.3% over the past 24 hours. However, trading volume has exploded — $1.132 billion, a daily increase of 23.4%. This "price remains stable while volume leads" signal is well understood by seasoned traders: it’s either a washout or funds are quietly positioning themselves. The RSI is at 42.5, in the neutral zone, but the fear and greed index has dropped to 25, indicating extremely conservative market sentiment.
The institutions are indeed taking frequent actions. Grayscale's GDOG ETF had a rough start on its first trading day, but at least it has officially launched. What's even more interesting is the subsequent plan from 21Shares — reportedly set to bring in a large amount of institutional funds, with Southeast Asia also gaining traction. Franklin Templeton is taking it a step further by directly including DOGE in their crypto index ETF, alongside XRP and SOL, with an expected scale of over $200 million. REX-Osprey's DOGE ETF has already accumulated a total of $24 million, following the path that Litecoin took back in the day.
On-chain data is unremarkable: daily revenue is $35,400, network fees have slightly risen, and stablecoin transactions account for 34%. However, the community is very lively—the Baby Doge merchandise store has launched, receiving 122 likes in the comments; some compare the market cap of SHIB, saying DOGE still has room to catch up with seven other coins of the same level; and someone shared an old debate video of Clinton and Trump, adding fuel to the "moon narrative."
The target given by the technical analysts is very clear: looking at $0.176 in the short term, aiming for $0.22 in December, and daring to call $0.35 by the end of 2025. The key now is whether it can break through the resistance level of $0.1495. There are already whales accumulating at $0.144, and the weekly increase of 8.1% has held up.
In short, we are currently in a period of institutional testing combined with community hype. The trading volume has started to rise, but the price is still bottoming out. Once 0.1495 is broken, the main upward wave may really come.