Let me share an unforgettable experience with everyone!

From May to July 2021, the market experienced a trend remarkably similar to the current one—where the daytime and nighttime sessions repeatedly moved in opposite directions, like two competing opponents. When the daytime session rose, the nighttime session would pull back; when the nighttime session fell, the daytime session would bounce back. After observing this several times, I seemed to have captured some sort of "rhythm," so I began to operate in the opposite direction based on this idea: buy when the nighttime session falls, and short when the daytime session rises.

At first, it really worked. I strictly adhered to the discipline, with a stop loss on every order. But gradually, problems arose—there were several times when the price just swept past my stop loss and then immediately turned around, advancing in the direction I originally predicted. That feeling was like being precisely "targeted" by the market. You know, later I couldn't hold back and withdrew the stop loss.

After removing the stop loss, I ended up making a steady profit for almost half a month. The "pattern" in my mind seems to be becoming more and more real, and my position has unknowingly increased.

Until one night, I watched the night market drop as expected, and then casually placed a long order in the early morning, thinking to myself, "Tomorrow the day market will rebound, and I can steadily make a profit." Then I fell asleep peacefully.

I didn't expect that when the alarm went off the next morning and I opened the trading software, I was frozen in shock—after the night session fell, the day session continued to drop. A long position directly buried me into the abyss.

In the morning it fell, and it continued to drop in the afternoon. The numbers in my account kept shrinking, and finally, on the edge of emotional collapse, I chose to cut my losses. That move cost me nearly 30% of my total position. Looking back now, I'm actually glad that I acted decisively at that time. If I had held on longer, I might not have had any chance to recover.

Why did I suddenly think of this past event today?

Because I gradually understand: In the trading market, all seemingly clear "rules" are often carefully disguised traps. When you start to rely on a certain "pattern" to continuously profit and think you have mastered the wealth code, the risk has actually quietly approached. What is even more terrifying is that during this process, greed will lure you to keep increasing your stakes, until one day, the market suddenly reverses, delivering a heavy "stab in the back" to you.

Similar "time window superstitions" like this are actually quite common - for example, entering the market just as the US stock market opens, monitoring different time zones' lunch breaks for trading, or trying to catch breakouts during the lowest liquidity periods... These logics might have some basis, but the real danger has never been the methods themselves, but the person executing them - the one who starts to give up on stop-losses and begins to believe that "this time is different."

So what I want to say is, don't get too hung up on win rates, my friend. No matter how high the win rate is, it could go to zero because of one uncontrollable incident. What really determines long-term results is the risk-reward ratio. Even if you only get one out of ten right, as long as that one trade makes enough to cover the losses from the other nine, you still come out ahead.

In difficult market conditions, surviving is more important than anything else. Retain your strength and stay at the table to have the qualification to wait for opportunities. Once forced out, no matter how good the market is, it has nothing to do with you.