#美国政府停运 The recent market data trend is quite interesting, the Candlestick is indeed rising amidst fluctuations, but from the overall pattern, the short positions still hold the initiative. Looking back at the last wave of falling market, that short positions layout gained over ten thousand points in profit, and the timing was quite accurate.

Observing from the 4-hour cycle, after the previous pullback, there was a three consecutive bullish candlesticks attempt to break through the upper resistance level, but ultimately it still couldn't hold. The bulls are clearly losing strength, and the market has entered a wait-and-see state. In terms of technical indicators, both KDJ and RSI have shown death cross signals, with a clear downward trend; the MACD histogram is also gradually shortening, and the bullish energy is continuously diminishing. The main capital should be waiting for a more suitable entry opportunity, and it is highly likely to act concentratedly after the market sentiment adjusts appropriately.

In terms of operational strategy, I personally tend to focus on short positions while using long positions as a supplement. Remember not to let short-term fluctuations affect your emotions; frequent entries and exits will only increase costs. Risk control is always the top priority, and it is recommended to keep position management within one-tenth of total capital, which can maximize profits while controlling risks.

Specific point reference: $BTC can consider laying out short positions in the range of 106550-106200, with a target around 103700-100100 and a stop loss set at about 400 points. For $ETH , 3620-3600 is a good entry range for short positions, with a target of 3520-3410 and a stop loss controlled within 30 points.

The market is changing rapidly, and these are just personal judgments based on the current technical analysis, for reference only.