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After being in the crypto market for a long time, you'll notice a rather magical phenomenon - this circle seems to be controlled by an invisible hand, and the rhythm of the Eastern and Western markets is completely opposite.
Let's talk about the timezone game. Is it so bad during the day in the domestic market that even your mother wouldn't recognize it? Don't panic, at 9:30 PM, the European and American markets will take over, and there's an 80-90% chance they will pull it back up. The reverse is also true: if it skyrockets during the day, don't get too excited and chase the highs; wait until night, and it will surely be smashed back down. This routine has been played for years and has proven to be effective.
A pin bar is a good thing. Many people panic when they see a long pin, but in fact, that is the clearest signal - the deeper it penetrates, the clearer the buying and selling point. The market makers use this trick to wash positions or to induce short or long positions, and those who understand it can actually pick up bargains.
Let’s talk about those so-called "good news". Before major meetings and announcements, the price rises as a courtesy; but when it actually comes to fruition? Sorry, it still has to drop. This is called "the good news is exhausted, and it becomes bad news", an iron rule in the crypto market.
The atmosphere in the group is more interesting. Is someone crazily promoting a certain coin, making it sound amazing and making you itch to invest? There's a high probability they are setting a trap for you; counteracting operations are often safer. Which coin is being hyped up and has exploded in popularity? You might want to consider shorting it. On the contrary, those coins that no one talks about and you look down upon might just make a quiet fortune—don't believe it? Try a small position and test the waters.
Holding a large position is even more mystical. If you're willing to go all in, the exchange will put you on the liquidation warning list; just as you stop loss and exit, the price immediately moves in the direction you expected—like that time with TRB, how many people got repeatedly liquidated. When you're about to break even, it just happens to get stuck and doesn't move, just a little bit away from letting you close your position and run away; when you can't help but take profits, the market suddenly takes off, how can they rally without throwing retail investors off the train?
The most heart-wrenching thing is the emotional trap. When you're excited, the crash comes as expected; when you're broke, the entire screen is filled with gains, and the FOMO emotions instantly peak. It's all like a meticulously designed script.
To put it bluntly, the probability that this market is manipulated is at least 80% or more. What you can do is control your position and be proactive—don't easily enter the market before you can see the intentions of the manipulators; once you enter, you are just fish on the chopping board.
Trading relies on patience, composure, and timing. Let's encourage each other.