Founder of a certain institution: Predictions for the future trends of BTC and ETH, can this wave still rise?

[Bitu] The founder of a leading institution recently shared his views on the future market, and I personally find it quite valuable for reference.

He provided three possibilities: a 20% chance of another wave of deep adjustment, a 50% chance of wide fluctuations—BTC returning to $116,000, and ETH regaining $4,000; and a 30% chance of a direct squeeze, with ETH breaking through $5,000 by the end of the year.

The logic supporting this judgment mainly includes a few points: the expectation of interest rate cuts is still there, and the government shutdown crisis has been resolved; this round of US stocks seems more like a structural adjustment, and the short-term probability of a sharp decline is low; the key is that the AI boom is only in its early to mid-stages, and it is still being promoted at the national policy level, with the financial reports of major companies also looking good.

From a valuation perspective, cryptocurrencies are clearly undervalued compared to the Nasdaq. His advice is not to panic and to buy firmly. However, that said, everyone is their own trading god, and no one can be 100% accurate; ultimately, you still have to make your own judgment.