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The crypto market is never short of movers and shakers, but Trump's "mouth" is particularly powerful—his statement of "not imposing 100% tariffs on China for now," coupled with his remarks in private meetings that "the crypto market has a bright future" and "it can help solve the $35 trillion debt problem," has drawn investors to get on board in droves. Recently, the crypto market has shown a comprehensive rebound trend, with Bitcoin, Ether, and some coins that follow the market trend all experiencing varying degrees of rebound. After the continued fluctuations and pullbacks following the black swan event on October 11, if you could have managed to lie in ambush beforehand, you would be enjoying substantial profits now.
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Trump's attitude towards cryptocurrency has always been "watching the wind and steering": during his first term, he called it a "disaster", claiming it fosters illegal transactions and advocating for strict regulation; however, after issuing NFTs and making a profit of 4 million dollars during his 2022 campaign preparation, he grasped the wealth code of the crypto field and completely changed his stance. This shift is unrelated to technical recognition, but purely a calculation driven by interests. Subsequently, cryptocurrency became his "campaign cash cow". To gain support from the crypto community, he promised to relax regulations and immediately secured huge fundraising from crypto-background political action committees; in return, he issued "Trump coins", using his personal halo to inflate its market value by 600%, taking the opportunity to sell off and profit over 350 million dollars. This rhetoric of "using crypto to settle debts" is an upgrade of the harvesting game. The joke of "writing a note to erase debt" may be absurd but hits the market's pain point. However, common sense tells us that the decentralized speculative nature of cryptocurrency fundamentally contradicts the credit attribute of national debt; filling the debt black hole with bubbles is no different from dreaming in vain, just as European brokerage experts said: "A decentralized currency that requires government endorsement is itself a paradox."
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The more dangerous aspect is its "dual harvesting of speech" tactic—operating with the linkage of cryptocurrency and tariff policies. Previously, he announced the inclusion of cryptocurrency in strategic reserves, causing the market to surge; the next day, tariffs were imposed, leading Bitcoin and Ethereum to plummet, with 310,000 people liquidating over $1 billion. Now, the postponement of tariffs on China combined with positive news for crypto is still the same old trick: using policy loosening to attract speculation, then leveraging the shift to create a crash and complete the harvest. The essence of all this is to use political influence to pry open market sentiment and transfer wealth through information asymmetry. Trump understands that the crypto market is driven by "confidence," and his statements serve as a "cheap stimulant"; proposing debt solutions is not a genuine attempt to solve problems, but merely creating an illusion. Ordinary investors flock to the "bait" without realizing they are the targeted "leeks." The chaos in the crypto market has long proven that relying on individual statements is a gamble. Trump's actions further warn that a healthy market should not depend on the ups and downs of individual statements and must not become a harvesting ground for power capital. Remember: a surge driven by words will eventually be pierced by reality.