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Recently, the market has been filled with various pessimistic views. Some compare the current state of the U.S. stock market to the eve of the 2008 financial crisis, calling the small coins in the Crypto Assets market "drop to zero air" and even interpreting the rise in gold prices as a signal of economic turmoil. These remarks have triggered a wave of panic among investors.
However, from a macro fundamental perspective, these extremely pessimistic forecasts seem to lack solid basis. Although the US economy is under pressure, it has not shown systemic risks similar to the 2007 subprime crisis. Employment data has fluctuated, but overall remains stable, and inflation is gradually declining. These indicators suggest that the economic situation is far from reaching the level of a crisis outbreak.
For the crypto assets market, we need to adopt a more detailed analytical approach. Indeed, many small coins lack practical application scenarios, and their value mainly relies on speculation; the bubble of such assets will eventually burst. However, this does not mean that the entire crypto assets market will collapse. Major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum are backed by long-term capital support, and their price trends are more influenced by global liquidity and policy expectations, which is fundamentally different from small coins that rely purely on speculation.
It is worth noting that the global trend of loose monetary policy has not yet ended. Central banks in various countries are entering a cycle of interest rate cuts, and fiscal stimulus measures and liquidity release policies are still ongoing. Against this backdrop, funds are likely to continue flowing into risk assets, which is the fundamental driving force behind rising asset prices.
In fact, the moments when the market sentiment is most pessimistic are often emotional outbursts from some investors due to missed opportunities. Truly smart capital will not be swayed by short-term market emotions; instead, it will quietly position itself during market downturns to leave a sufficient safety margin.
For investors, it is crucial to maintain independent thinking. We should learn to distinguish between core assets and speculative assets, making decisions based on the macroeconomic situation and personal circumstances, neither blindly fearing nor being overly optimistic.
In the field of Crypto Assets investment, the key to success lies not in reaction speed, but in the ability to discern the essence amidst the complex and varied information. Staying calm and seeing the big picture is the attitude that wise investors should have.