Analysis of the Influence Mechanism of the U.S. Federal Government


Data loss triggers policy uncertainty
The shutdown of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and others has led to interruptions in employment and inflation data, making it difficult for the market to gauge the pace of Federal Reserve rate cuts, and sentiment has turned cautious.
Safe-haven assets attract funding favor.
Gold continues to strengthen as a traditional safe-haven asset, while the weakening of the US dollar index further drives up gold prices.
Cryptocurrency differentiation
Bitcoin: It has the dual attributes of a risky asset and digital gold, showing resistance to decline in the short term. If the stagnation continues, tight liquidity may limit the upside.
Ethereum and altcoins: More reliant on ETF approvals and regulatory frameworks for progress, with standstill causing delays in expected capital inflows and greater volatility.
Duration determines the depth of impact.
If the suspension is short (a few days to 1-2 weeks), the market may view it as a short-term disturbance; if it exceeds 10 days, the probability of a decline in the US stock market increases, and the pressure on the high-risk portion of cryptocurrency intensifies.

Still maintain your own viewpoint, short positions in medium to long-term layout. Although there is a short-term risk aversion increase, what about next week? What about the week after?
BTC0.2%
ETH-0.47%
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