Today, 3 events directly impact the movement of the US dollar and BTC/ETH.

1. FOMC interest rate decision (tonight at 2:00): It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25bp in 2025, bringing the rate to 4.00%-4.25%, which may be favorable for BTC, but tariffs complicate inflation, and Powell needs to respond.
2. Powell's press conference (2:30): There is a high probability of mentioning "data dependence," implying a rate cut path. A dovish stance weakens the USD index, which is favorable for BTC/ETH; a hawkish stance would put short-term pressure on the market.
3. Trump's speech in London (17th): Discussing US-UK investments, tariffs, etc., possibly criticizing high interest rates and Powell, which may push up cryptocurrencies, but geopolitical risks may also weigh on the market, resulting in significant volatility tonight.

Suggestion: Short-term fluctuations are large, be cautious of a pullback after a rise, suitable for two-way orders; the long-term interest rate cut cycle is favorable for cryptocurrencies, wait for a clear direction before following up. #美联储降息预期升温