As someone who has experienced the bull runs of 2017 and 2021, I've truly seen too many traps and aspects of human nature. The magic of market cycles is something that perhaps only those who have persevered through them can understand.


Currently, I see that everyone is focused on the interest rate cuts in September, wondering if it will directly ignite the market. In fact, I tell you, the rhythm is still there, really don’t be too anxious.
September is a consolidation phase:
When the news of interest rate cuts came out, did everyone think it was going to shoot straight up? Here, I remind everyone not to celebrate too early; September is more about choppy consolidation. The market moves sideways, with occasional spikes, just to wash out floating positions. It may seem like it's about to collapse, but in reality, it's just the tactics of the big players collecting their gains.
At this point, if you panic and directly cut your losses and leave, all your chips will be given to the patient big funds. The truly smart money will never be in a hurry; they will only slowly absorb the chips clean during this difficult interval.
October Small Spring
By October, the market will gradually warm up with significant opportunities, starting to climb steadily. It won't be an overnight surge, but a slow rise, with mainstream coins and projects with stories leading the way.
Now we have reached the stage of testing people's hearts— you may have already lost your patience due to the fluctuations in September, and when the market in October arrives, you might not be on the bus anymore.
The grand performance will take place in November.
I think November is the real carnival moment! Every round of bull run follows the same script - it grinds you down to the point where you doubt your life at the beginning, makes your mentality explode in the middle, and then suddenly gives you a screen full of wealth effect at the end.
Looking back now, in 2017, the old gunslinger directly pushed to 800 dollars, XRP rose from a few dimes to 2 dollars, it was truly exhilarating. November is often the time when the main rally fully kicks off, not only do the major coins take off, but many smaller tokens can also soar.
How should one escape the peak?
It is still too early to talk about the peak, but I dare say that the apex will definitely appear when the whole nation is crazy. Every aspect of social media is filled with myths of getting rich quickly, and the news is shouting every day that "Bitcoin will change the world." When even the aunt downstairs is asking how to buy coins, that is the time to be cautious.
From a technical perspective, RSI is overbought and MACD shows a top divergence; these are all data references. But the most critical factor is still the sentiment and mindset. Remember, the more everyone shouts "this time is different," the more likely the outcome will be the same.
Current strategy: Unmoving Ming Wang directly possesses.
During this time, what I fear the most is not the drop, but rather your own mindset collapsing. Especially for brothers trading contracts, you must be extra careful; a single spike may send you back to square one.
Spot trading is the strongest backing. Don't think about bottom fishing every day; you are not smarter than the market. The ones who truly make big money are often those who hold on to their chips and wait for the right moment.
Summary: In September, there was a volatile consolidation, in October a slow rise, and November is the festive season; maintaining patience is more important than any operation.
ETH3.77%
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