Happy Monday!
BTC hits 65,000, ETH hits 1,890.
The lack of breakdown in the early session at 8 a.m. increases the odds of a breakout further.
But right now it’s being suppressed as it reaches the upper boundary of the range.
You must be ready to reduce holdings;
A perfect start—watch 63.5k for intraday support.
We expect it to only break out significantly or pull back after the US session!

$TLM Keep shorting! It was still thriving on the gainers list yesterday, but today that cursed coin looks like it’s gone down—flipping straight into a decline. Keep an eye on short opportunities from there, but don’t go too hard; make sure to control your risk.

Michael Saylor published Strategy 2026 Week 25 Bitcoin holdings tracking data yesterday. Do you think today will be a buy or a sell?
As of now, Strategy holds:
- 843,775 BTC
- Total position value of about $54B
- Average buy cost: $75,653 per BTC
- Cumulative capital invested: $63.83B
- Current unrealized profit/loss: about -$10B (-16%)
According to the usual pattern, after each release, Strategy often subsequently reports an increase in its Bitcoin holdings. However, things have changed recently: they had to sell a small amount of BTC to pay for preferred stock dividends.

$PROM 准备接多。现在走势稍微冷却，我看可以在1小时MA7支撑位置埋伏一波，博个快速反弹。进场大概在1.608到1.649区间，目标看1.74到1.83。不过要注意风险，如果1小时MA7没撑住，可能会去深度回测1.55附近，防守位置可以放1.53。千万别满仓梭哈，根据自己账户控制好仓位。另外 $SNDK 和 $BANK 也可以继续关注，目前也是偏多头思路。

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Daily News
2026.07.20
Kimi K3 demand exceeds expectations: pauses opening new subscriptions and expands computing power
The U.S. 30-year Treasury auction yield rises to 5.06%, the highest since 2007
Probability falls to a historical low; expectations for the 2026 passage of the CLARITY Act turn bearish
Nansen CEO turns bullish on Apple: AI capabilities improvement, hardware advantages, and cash-flow composition—five key supports
Ansem: has already bought the PUMP token, watching for the recovery of Solana’s retail activity and the stimulating effect of airdrops
Data cutoff: July

From a fundamental perspective, the current escalation of the U.S.-Iran conflict has once again hit gold prices. The closure of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has put pressure on gold. From a technical standpoint, looking at the short-term cycle on the hourly chart, gold is still in a rebound phase after the recent decline. Personally, although I got stopped out with a losing trade earlier this morning, the direction I’m looking at for the day remains unchanged. In terms of execution, I’m still mainly looking to trade from the short side (sell from the highs);
I’ve entered the market ag

Sora trading plan for this morning
Setup:
Sell short near 77.0-77.5
Target: 76.5-76.0
Further downside: 75.0, set a stop loss and manage it well
Sora twice surged and then fell back near the pressure zone, forming a clear rejection signal—short-term top indications are starting to appear. After price pierced the upper band, it quickly returned back inside the channel, which is typical of a fake breakout to lure longs. Bullish momentum is clearly insufficient, and sell pressure above has begun to release. The shorting logic is clear at the current position: on any rebound into the pressure area

Market analysis: BTC is currently in an upward-converging wedge-shaped channel, with overall consolidation leaning bullish. The highs are gradually moving up, and the lows are rising in sync. This is a consolidation-and-cumulation phase, and the market has not yet broken out into a one-way trend.
The clear short-term resistance zone is 65670-66100, which is a double-pressing area along the upper wedge trendline and the key breakout/invalidition point for the bulls in this round.
The core short-term dual support is 63642 and 62516, which also aligns with the Fibonacci 50% retracement level—this

$CL Continue to go long. The situation on Iran’s side has already indicated that the strait will remain closed, and this crude oil move may still follow through and rise further. Now it depends on how “Huang Mao” will make his next move to respond. Everyone can keep an eye on how price moves from the current level—there is a lot of back-and-forth in the news cycle. Watch the risks; don’t get too carried away chasing.

I was already annoyed, and the thought that today is Monday makes it even worse.

The P/L was dragged from -12% to +4%. This green candle from $KAITO just slapped me in the face, but I like it.
Current price: 0.9698. 24h change: +15.82%. Trading volume: $104 million. It’s clearly a volume expansion breakout above the 0.96 resistance level. Five minutes ago, I added to my position at 0.953. If it holds above 0.97 during the day, my next target is 1.02, with a stop-loss set at 0.92 and position size capped at 30%. I won’t wait for a pullback.
I see two possible paths: one is a retest of the 0.94–0.95 range tonight to confirm support, then a push higher to 0.988; the other is

Above $60,000: market probability is nearing a full score (initial 99%, later rising to 100%), and the odds are only 1.00x—an assessment that the market has nearly formed absolute consensus. Participants generally believe that on July 20, Bitcoin is almost impossible to fall below the $60,000 level.

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YeWin takes you through this week’s crypto market core events timeline! Want to know if BTC will be 70k or 60k?! A one-way move is about to start!
This week is the most critical week of the 2026 crypto market—without a doubt.
The Fed’s blackout period, a CLARITY bill vote, and the European Central Bank rate decision—three major events on the same stage, and each one is heavier than the last.
First card: the Fed’s blackout period.
In his first outing after taking office, the blackout period is abnormally silent—markets have no clue whether he’ll suddenly drop a bombshell at the July meeting.
Lo

Yunshu 7.20
It surged to challenge the prior high, then wavered and consolidated under pressure after failing to break through. Selling pressure is heavier above; this is an upside washout rather than a trend reversal. As long as support is not broken, maintain a long-side mindset.
Key support: 64,000–64,600. On a pullback to 64,000–64,500, go long. Targets: 65,500 and 66,000. If it breaks through, then further look at 67,500.
The long-term cycle long setup is intact. Short-term consolidation shouldn’t cause panic—keep positions light and control the pace $BTC .

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