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Recently, the direction of U.S. monetary policy has attracted widespread attention. Although senior officials at the U.S. Treasury publicly expressed support for a significant interest rate cut of 50 basis points in September on August 13, differing opinions have emerged within the Federal Reserve, indicating a clear divide among decision-makers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized a cautious approach in the latest decision-making meeting, stating that a prudent policy stance should be maintained until inflation data reaches the target. Meanwhile, Vice Chairman Barr, who is responsible for financial regulation, tends to favor a more gradual easing policy, advocating that the first rate cut should not exceed 25 basis points.
This rare contradictory policy signal has attracted the market's attention. Historical data shows that when the Federal Reserve releases a difference in policy expectations, the cryptocurrency market often experiences significant volatility. Statistics indicate that in such cases, the volatility of the crypto market typically increases by an average of 58% within 30 days.
This series of events highlights the complexity of current economic policy-making and suggests the uncertainty that financial markets may face in the future. Investors and market participants need to closely monitor the Federal Reserve's subsequent developments and the potential impacts on various assets, especially the cryptocurrency market.