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📊1. Sanfeng Fable - "Things Don't Happen More Than Three Times"
The price has peaked along an upward trend, forming three high points in succession, like a pendulum repeatedly testing the same height but unable to break through. When the strength is exhausted for the third time, the door to reversal opens.
☀️2. Box Balance - "Stillness Leads to Movement"
The top horizontal consolidation is a calm lake surface where bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war. The water surface appears to be calm, but there are undercurrents—if either side makes a mistake, the water will pour down.
❎3. Neckline breach - "Broken Window Effect"
When the price breaks below the lower boundary of the range (neckline), a downward trend emerges, and market sentiment shifts instantly from wait-and-see to bearish, just like the first windowpane being smashed leads to more breakage.
✊4. Confirm Again - "Relive Old Dreams"
The pullback after the breakdown brings the price back to the neckline, testing support that has turned into resistance. If the rebound fails to return to the range, it will likely move down again with momentum.
Operation Strategy
• Identify Triple Peaks: The three high points are approximately at the same level, with decreasing volume at each peak being preferable.
• Mark the neckline: Connect the low points of the range, waiting for the candlestick to close effectively below it.
• Wait for a pullback: If the price retraces and fails to hold at the neckline, enter a short position upon the appearance of a weakening signal.
• Risk control settings: Set stop loss above the recent high during pullbacks; the primary target is to move down the existing height of the range equally, aiming for a risk-reward ratio of 1:3; if the market continues, gradually lower the stop loss to lock in profits.
⚠️ Capital Management: Control single transaction risk at 1-2% of the account, protecting big wins with small losses.
Why do this?
The three attempts of the bulls to break through have all failed, indicating that the upward momentum is exhausted; reversing the trend is to glide with the natural force. You are not fighting against the wind, but skiing along the slope, transforming gravity into forward momentum.