Starknet (STRK) — a fresh perspective

STRK has been balancing in the range of 0.14 – 0.16 $ over the past weeks. Since April, the token has been correcting smoothly, and the significant unlock in July has already played out. The next major coin release is expected in mid-August — this is an important moment that the market will take into account.

Technical Analysis on the Daily Chart
The price is slightly above the short-term moving average (20-EMA) and currently below the 50-EMA.

Indicators (RSI, MACD) are neutral: no strong overbought conditions or clear selling pressure.

Demand is steadily manifesting at $0.13 – $0.14, the first serious barrier is the zone of $0.18 – $0.19.

What supports STRK

Cairo v3 Testnet: a step towards the full transition of the ecosystem.

Announcement of the LayerZero bridge and new DeFi projects that are preparing to launch on Starknet.

The absence of noticeable withdrawals from large holders to centralized exchanges.

What can press

Regular monthly unlocks: after the August tranche, there will be an additional supply in the network.

The overall weakness of the L2 segment if a strong pullback of the underlying markets occurs.

Any delay in the release of Cairo v3 or bugs in the network.

Short-term scenario
So far, the main game is the channel 0.14 – 0.18 $: at the bottom, the network is gathering liquidity, and at the top, a fixation appears.
A holding of 0.14 $ gives a chance to test 0.18 – 0.19 $ under favorable conditions. Below 0.13 $ is a sign that excess supply has entered the market, and it is advisable to wait for a new base closer to 0.12 $.

Average horizon
If Cairo v3 is released without delays and TVL starts to grow, the range of $0.20 – $0.24 will become achievable. Without fundamental news, the token is likely to remain in the corridor of $0.14 – $0.18 until autumn.