ONDO Market Analysis and 2025 Price Prediction

As of June 24, 2025, the real-time price of ONDO is $0.77, up 14.31% in the past 24 hours, but down 6.08% over the past 7 days. The current price has fallen over 60% from the historical high of $2.14 in December 2024, and market sentiment shows a clear divergence:

• Technical indicators are contradictory: the 14-day RSI is at 29.5, entering the oversold range (BUY signal), but 88.24% of the 30 technical indicators issued bearish signals, forming a “technical divergence.”
• Key support levels: The $0.66 – $0.67 range has become an important support for several months, having been tested multiple times in June without breaking. If it fails, the downward target will point to $0.45.
• Trading volume change: On June 22, the trading volume reached 199 million USD, marking a monthly high, indicating an intensification of the long-short battle.

On-chain data shows that recently 63% of large transfers of ONDO are flowing to exchanges, which may indicate a continuation of selling pressure.

##Technical Analysis Deep Dive: Why is $0.90 a Key Turning Point?

According to the technical models of CoinCodex and CoinDataFlow, the short to medium-term trend of ONDO depends on whether it can break through the core moving average resistance:

• The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement: the 50-day SMA $0.883 and the 200-day SMA $0.909 have formed a “death cross,” and the price is below all major moving averages, indicating a weak long-term trend.
• Breakthrough Threshold: If the daily closing price stabilizes at $0.90 (corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level), it may trigger short covering, pushing the price towards $1.20.
• Volatility Alert: The Bollinger Bands width has expanded to 30%, indicating a potential directional breakout in July.

##2025 Monthly Forecast: Institutions Bullish on Q4 Market

Based on the models of 10 analysis institutions, ONDO is expected to show a “low before high” trend in 2025:

Table: 2025 ONDO Monthly Price Predictions and Key Catalysts

• Pessimistic scenario (Probability 30%): If the $0.66 support is broken, it may drop to $0.45 (annual decline of 55%).
• Baseline scenario (probability 50%): Q3 stabilizes at $0.80, Q4 targets $1.37 (annual increase of 102%).
• Optimistic scenario (probability 20%): RWA sector explodes, challenging historical high of $2.05 in December (annual growth 203%).

CoinPedia analysts point out: “The weekly chart of ONDO shows that it is at the end of a symmetrical triangle, and the energy accumulated in 2024 may be released violently at the end of 2025.”

##Long-term Forecast (2026 – 2030): Can the RWA Narrative Support a Tenfold Growth?

As a leader in the real-world asset (RWA) sector, ONDO’s long-term value is deeply tied to the scale of tokenized assets:

• Year 2026: Expected range $0.70 – $4.15. If institutions like BlackRock increase their RWA allocation, it may break through the upper limit.
• Year 2028: Conservative target $1.33 (Bitget), aggressive target $6.90 (TradingView). The divergence stems from differing assumptions about global RWA penetration rates (3% vs 12%).
• Year 2030: Consensus peak $9.30, corresponding market value $93 billion. Conditions to be met: RWA market size exceeds $10 trillion + ONDO market share 15%.

It is worth noting that the probability of reaching the $10 target within this decade is less than 5%, and it would require a massive allocation of RWA by global pension funds to achieve it.

Investor Operation Guide: Three Types of Strategies to Deal with Volatile Markets

short-term trader (holding period less than 1 month)

• Current price $0.677 can try a small long position, stop loss at $0.65
• Break above $0.75 (21-day EMA) with a target of $0.90

Mid-line investors (holding position for 1 year)

• Tiered Accumulation: $0.70 (30%), $0.60 (50%), $0.50 (20%)
• Target for 2025 $1.37, take profit 50%; remaining position bets on $2.05

Long-term Holder (Holding Period Greater than 3 Years)

• Dollar-cost averaging strategy: Invest a fixed amount every month, minimizing the impact of timing.
• 2030 target $7.45, potential return 1,000%

##Conclusion: Seeking Certainty in Uncertainty

ONDO’s 2025 will walk between “reality and narrative”: short-term pressure from a bearish trend in technology, long-term benefits from the trillion-dollar blue ocean of RWA. For rational investors, the $0.66 – $0.70 range already has allocation value, but strict position management and stop-loss discipline are required. When traditional finance’s “whales” truly enter tokenized assets, ONDO may become the leader of the new bull market.

Author: Blog Team *This content does not constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation. You should always seek independent professional advice before making any investment decisions. *Please note that Gate may restrict or prohibit all or some services from restricted areas. Please read the user agreement for more information, link: