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. **Risk Control Warning**:
- If the price rebounds above $2510 and the trading volume increases, it is recommended to reduce the position by 50%.
- Avoid frequent operations around $2495, wait for clear breakout signals.
#### Key Time Window
- **Next 1 hour**: Monitor the strength of the $2495 support. If it holds after three tests, shorts should be wary of a rebound.
- **Next 4 hours**: Focus on the potential increase in volatility during the US morning session (UTC 12:00-16:00).
> **Conclusion**: The short-term technical outlook remains bearish, but the $2495 support needs to be closely monitored. It is recommended to hold a short position, with a strict stop loss set at $2520 and a target of $2480-$2465. If the support fails (falls below $2490), a slight increase in position can be made; if it rebounds above $2510, then reduce the position to hedge.
> **Risk Warning**: A position ratio of 2.7% is within a reasonable range, but it is necessary to guard against fluctuations caused by sudden events (such as regulatory news).