🚩 Strategy Analysis:

📉 Technical Analysis:

BTC is trading at 76,491.74, and the 15-minute candlestick continues to maintain the downtrend structure without breaking.

Currently, it is in a phase of downward movement after a rebound, belonging to a low-level rebound selling pressure test, which is a typical SMC weak structure reaction.

The previous high rebound could not stabilize at 77,800, and there is a clear supply pressure.

🐳 Smart Money Capital Flow (Hyperliquid Latest Data):

Short positions account for 53.1%, and bears still dominate the market.

Air Force total profit and loss +$156.24M, long positions loss reached -68.82M, the long side has clearly bled 🩸

Latest large order: $2.85M short position closed at 76,194, no strong whale signs of going long observed.

🔍 News Background:

US regulators continue to exert pressure, and crypto ETFs have not yet been approved.

Japan's national debt hits a record high, and Europe's ESMA warning continues to escalate.

There is no short-term support for bullish news, and the market is still in the stage of risk aversion and risk avoidance

🎯 Entry points (pie empty orders):

⛳ Entry (initial position) 76,800 ~ 77,000 retraction unbroken structure high, main pressure zone ➕ Call position one 77,500 before the high position, is the strong pressure trigger point 🔥 Call position two (final) 78,200 If it breaks through 77,800 but does not break the trend structure, the last cover

✅Take Profit and Stop Loss Settings:

📉 Take Profit Target:

Phase 1: 75,500 (Forward Low vs. Support Test)

Stage Two: 74,800 ~ 74,500 (Liquidity Eating Order Zone)

🚨 Stop Loss Conditions:

Clear structure shifts to bullish → Price stands above 79,000 and stabilizes above the supply zone, considered a failure of the bears, all stop losses exit.

⚠️Notice:

If there is a "large whale flipping to long" in the short term, or if the funding rate for the short positions turns positive (bulls subsidizing bears), it is regarded as a possible reversal signal, and I need to be immediately reminded to adjust dynamically 📡.

Pay attention to the U.S. stock market opening/economic data release time periods, as there may be significant volatility (especially U.S. CPI and interest rate decisions)

Please strictly implement the margin call and stop loss rules, do not hesitate.