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#Upcoming CPI & PPI Data Releases
📊 Crypto assets, Trump's tariffs, and Black Monday: what to expect from the market this week? 💡
This week, the crypto market is once again in the spotlight due to macroeconomic events. The release of CPI and PPI data in the USA will be a key moment, but Trump's tariffs and the threat of a repeat of "Black Monday" cast a shadow over it all. Let's analyze how this affects crypto and what to expect next. 🧐
Why are CPI, PPI, and Trump's tariffs important?
CPI ( Consumer Price Index ) and PPI ( Producer Price Index ) are barometers of inflation that influence the Fed's policy. If the data turns out to be higher than expected, it will increase pressure on risk assets, including crypto. But an even greater risk is Trump's new tariffs, which have already caused chaos in the markets. They threaten rising prices, trade wars, and economic instability, which impacts Bitcoin and altcoins. Against this backdrop, experts increasingly recall "Black Monday" of 1987 — the historical market crash. Could the situation get worse? 📉
Bitcoin is currently fluctuating and the market is anxious. Trump's tariffs have already led to sell-offs in the stock markets, and crypto, being a high-risk asset, is following this trend. If the history of "Black Monday" repeats itself, we may see a rapid decline — possibly, Bitcoin could drop to $60K or lower, and altcoins may lose even more.
Possible scenarios:
1. CPI and PPI below expectations, tariffs are easing
The slowdown in inflation and Trump's retreat from strict measures could give the market a breather. Bitcoin is capable of soaring to $80K+, while altcoins could show double-digit growth. But this is an optimistic scenario, and the chances of it happening are slim — Trump is determined. 🟢
2. High inflation and increased tariffs
If CPI and PPI show inflation growth, and Trump's tariffs hit the economy, expect a crash. The negative effect of tariffs is already evident: a rise in the dollar, capital outflow from risky assets, and panic in the markets. This could trigger "Black Monday 2.0" — Bitcoin risks falling to $50K or even $40K, while altcoins could lose 20–30% in a day. 🔴
Mixed data, uncertainty with duties
3. Average scenario: the market will remain in a suspended state. Volatility will increase, but without sharp collapses. Bitcoin may get stuck in the $55–65K range while traders wait for clarity. However, the shadow of "Black Monday" will still weigh on sentiments. ⚖️
🎯The negative effect of Trump's tariffs and "Black Monday"
Trump's tariffs are not just a trade policy, but a bomb under the world economy. They have already caused stock indices to fall, an increase in treasury yields, and a flight of investors to safe assets. Crypto, as a risk class, suffers doubly: liquidity is falling, and panic is rising. The historic "Black Monday" of 1987 began with similar triggers — uncertainty, overheated markets, and a sharp capital outflow. Today's situation could get worse: the global economy is more interconnected, and crypto adds a new layer of volatility. If the Fed does not intervene with emergency measures, the collapse risks turning into a full-blown crisis.
🤔What else does it affect?
Regulation and geopolitics: New sanctions or laws may increase pressure.
Technical levels: A break below $60K for Bitcoin is a signal for panic selling.
Stock market: The correlation with Nasdaq and S&P 500 remains high. A crash there will drag down crypto.
My thoughts
Trump's tariffs and the threat of "Black Monday" are a double blow that the market has not yet digested. The situation could become worse than in 1987 due to the speed of panic spreading in the digital age. I would prepare for turbulence: traders - stop-losses and hedging, holders - patience and faith in long-term growth. But one thing is clear: this week will go down in history as a stress test for crypto. 😬
What do you think? Will it be worse than "Black Monday"? Share your thoughts in the comments! 👇 DYOR and hold on tight! 💪