DXY & Forex

On Monday (May 4), US stock futures rose as improving risk sentiment was buoyed by prospects of shipping resuming through the Strait of Hormuz and progress toward a US-Iran deal. S&P 500 Index futures gained 0.2% after the underlying gauge closed at a record high on Friday. Brent crude declined 2% i

According to CME FedWatch, as of early May 2026, the Federal Reserve has a 92.8% probability of keeping rates unchanged in June, with only a 7.2% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut. For July, the probability of holding rates steady stands at 88.8%, with a 10.9% probability of a 25 basis point cut a

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, USDHUF (US Dollar vs Hungarian Forint) has dropped by 1% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

According to journalist Nick Timiraos, the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy discussion has reached a critical turning point, with the central bank shifting from a dovish to a more neutral stance. Three regional Fed presidents—Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hamma

According to WSJ, Federal Reserve officials have shifted their internal discussion from when to cut rates to when rate hikes might be necessary. Three regional Fed presidents publicly opposed maintaining guidance suggesting further cuts are likely. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan

According to PANews, President Trump on May 3 criticized Tehran's leadership for blocking a deal to end a nine-week conflict driving a global energy crisis, saying Iran's demands are unacceptable. Some traders, however, interpreted his remarks as negotiating tactics rather than abandonment of

Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said that last week’s inflation data is bad news for the Fed, and that it must remain cautious about cutting rates until inflation clearly cools. Core PCE rose 3.5% year over year in March, far above the 2% target, and inflation dynamics are not only being driven by oil prices—services are also lifting the numbers, making the pressure more widespread. The end-of-May and June meetings will influence the timing and the dot plot for rate cuts.

Ripple Prime has won the Best Prime Broker award at the 2026 Hedge Fund Services Awards Europe, a recognition that market analyst Xaif Crypto argues signals the emergence of XRP's institutional era. The award comes from traditional hedge fund and institutional finance circles rather than the

The Federal Reserve has shifted from signaling rate cuts to a neutral, wait-and-see stance, with three regional presidents unusually dissenting on policy wording. Energy shocks persist, and rate-hike conditions have entered the discussion for the first time.

According to data from China Financial Times, U.S. core PCE inflation rose to 3.2% year-over-year in March, meeting market expectations and up from 3% in the previous month.

According to Wall Street Journal, three regional Federal Reserve presidents—Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari, and another—opposed maintaining the phrase "next move more likely to be a rate cut" in this week's policy statement on May 2, signaling that the next rate adjustment could be either a hike or a cu

The United Arab Emirates formally withdrew from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the OPEC+ mechanism on May 1 (local time), according to reports. The move is viewed as a landmark event in which Middle Eastern oil-producing nations are reassessing security, market

According to Bloomberg, Jane Street, a quantitative trading and liquidity provider, paid $9.38 billion in compensation in 2025, more than double the prior year. This translates to an average of $2.68 million per employee, nearly seven times the compensation at competitor Goldman Sachs. The firm

On May 1, the U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the dollar against six major currencies, rose 0.11% and closed at 98.157 in New York forex trading. The euro weakened to 1.1731 against the dollar from 1.1729, while the pound strengthened to 1.3589 from 1.3583. The dollar gained against the yen, tradi

Iran notifies Gulf countries of its position on ending the war; oil prices plunge sharply, Bitcoin and gold jump in the short term, and U.S. stocks set fresh highs again. This article provides an in-depth breakdown of how geopolitical risk mitigation mechanisms transmit across different asset classes.

According to ChainCatcher, intraday on May 1, Brent crude rose approximately 4% to around $108 per barrel as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) weakened 0.35%. Meanwhile, spot silver surged 4% to $76.67 per ounce, according to Gate's market

According to Jin 10, Federal Reserve official Logan indicated that the next interest rate adjustment could be either a rate cut or a rate hike.

According to Golden Ten, USD/JPY fell around 40 pips to 156.32 on a short-term basis before rebounding to 156.64.

According to market expectations and recent statements, Kevin Warsh will take over as US Federal Reserve chairman in June, replacing Jerome Powell. Historical data shows Bitcoin typically experiences a price correction lasting several months after a new Fed chair takes office, followed by a stronger

According to U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Iran's rial hit a record low of 1,800,000 per U.S. dollar on April 29, 2026, reflecting intensified economic pressure from U.S. sanctions. The currency has depreciated significantly since early 2025, when it traded near 800,000 per dollar. Bessent