Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

The International Energy Agency (IEA) released its October petroleum market report on October 14 (local time), forecasting that diesel and gas oil supply-demand balance will remain tight through a substantial portion of 2027. The IEA stated this outlook depends on the recovery of Middle East petrole

According to GlobeNewswire, SkyAI (Nasdaq: SKYA) shareholder Bastion Trading, holding approximately 9.99% of the company's shares, refused to participate in the company's cash tender offer yesterday, accusing SkyAI of secretly selling roughly 70% of its SOL treasury reserve (declining from over 2

According to CME FedWatch Tool data cited by Jin10, market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike of at least 25 basis points by December 2026 have risen to 94.3%. The probability of a single 25bp hike in October jumped overnight from 22.1% to 52.9%. Separately, the likelihood of a

According to The Cryptonomist, EQX Labs plans to launch tokenized US stocks on Hyperliquid today (October 14), enabling 24/7 trading of share-backed tokens through an offshore issuer structure. The tokens provide exposure to US equities without direct ownership and will operate on the

According to Apple's court filing on October 13, the company requested a federal judge in San Diego to overturn a $5.7 billion patent infringement verdict that Taction Technology won in September over haptic feedback technology in iPhone and Apple Watch. Apple argued the ruling "completely lacks

Mintos launches commission-free stock investing, giving customers access to more than 4,000 US, European and global company stocks from €1. The Latvian platform adds stocks to its existing mix of ETFs, bonds, loans, real estate, crypto exchange-traded products and cash-management tools, as European

Brent crude oil remained above $105 per barrel on October 14 even as the International Energy Agency forecast a 2.6 million barrels per day contraction in global oil consumption for 2026. The IEA's October Oil Market Report attributed the price resilience to supply constraints outpacing demand

According to the International Monetary Fund's latest report released on October 14, Japan's GDP is projected to fall from its current fourth-place global ranking to sixth by 2027, as it will be surpassed by India and the United

According to PR Newswire, Mintos has launched commission-free stock investing, giving customers access to over 4,000 US, European and global companies from €1. The service offers no order fees, custody charges or subscription tiers. Fractional

According to the IEA's October Oil Market Report, Brent crude held above $105 per barrel on October 14, trading around $106.60, even as the International Energy Agency forecast global oil demand declining by 2.6 million barrels per day in 2026 to approximately 102.4 million barrels daily. However, g

Shares of Liquidia (LQDA) surged 40% on Wednesday after the biotech company reached a settlement with United Therapeutics (UTHR), ending years of legal disputes over its lung disease drug Yutrepia. The agreement removes major legal uncertainty that had pressured the stock, prompting multiple Wall

According to economist Chris Rupkey at FWDBonds, on Oct 14, sticky inflation driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions may require the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates at higher levels through 2027. Rupkey noted that energy price shocks are beginning to push up prices for other core

According to Yonhap Infomax, the USD/KRW exchange rate closed at 1,336.90 Korean won on October 14, down 8.20 won from the previous session. Foreign investors sold approximately 36,000 dollar futures contracts, contributing to the decline. The pair also weakened to 1,334.80 won on the London

According to Zhitong Finance, Hei Zhima Intelligent (02533) recently signed a sales and technical development contract with an A-share listed company through its wholly-owned subsidiary Hei Zhima Intelligent Technology. The contract totals approximately CNY 300 million. Within one year of contract

Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) priced $850 million in zero-coupon convertible senior notes on Wednesday, setting the initial conversion price at $15.31 per share—a 35% premium to Tuesday's closing price of $11.34. The data center operator announced the sale is expected to close Friday, with net

According to ChainCatcher, Nasdaq-listed fintech company Perpetuals.com plans to launch tokenized U.S. stock trading services under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's innovation exemption framework. The earliest possible launch is mid-November, though the company still needs to complete t

According to Cipher Digital, the data center operator priced $850 million in zero-coupon convertible senior notes on Wednesday, setting the initial conversion price at about $15.31 per share, a 35% premium to Tuesday's close of $11.34. The company expects the sale to close Friday. Cipher said the n

Following the release of the U.S. September CPI data, the probability distribution shown by CME’s “FedWatch” tool shifted significantly. The probability of no change in Interest Rates in October fell from 78.4% before the data release to 56.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-bps rate hike rose from 21.6% to 43.7%. In December, the probability of no change in Interest Rates was just 4.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-bps rate hike was 55.3% and that of a cumulative 50-bps ra

According to New York Times and AAA data, U.S. gasoline prices on Wednesday averaged $4.33 per gallon, up 34 percent compared to one year ago. Regular unleaded gasoline reached 40 percent higher than the same period in 2025. Diesel prices surged even more sharply, hitting an average of $6.30 per gal