Bitcoin Dominance Hits a Tipping Point as Analyst Sees Altcoin Season Ahead

With the Bitcoin dominance reaching a crucial level, market veteran Michaël van de Poppe believes a breakdown soon could lead to the altcoin season.

The much-anticipated altcoin season has yet to unfold despite months of speculation. Bitcoin continues to maintain its upper hand over altcoins, with its dominance chart showing an upward trend. Although the dominance occasionally dips, it keeps regaining strength.

Bitcoin Dominance Hits a Tipping Point

However, well-known market strategist Michaël van de Poppe suggests that the Bitcoin dominance might be close to a major turning point, and this could open the door to the next major altcoin rally.

Data from his accompanying chart indicates that Bitcoin dominance currently stands at 60.64%, and has tested the 20-month MA multiple times in recent months. Importantly, the moving average itself sits at 59.29%, a level that Bitcoin dominance briefly fell below in September before bouncing back

Bitcoin 1M Chart | Michael van de PoppeThis repeated interaction with the MA shows a market that is testing its limits, similar to what occurred in the previous cycle before the trend reversal.

Historical Precedence

Specifically, Van de Poppe referenced Q4 2019, when the Bitcoin dominance had surged above the 20-month MA. After peaking at 73.02% in September 2019, the dominance began a gradual drop, retesting the moving average by February 2020

Although it recovered temporarily, the structure eventually gave way by July 2020, leading to a sustained decline. The resistance around the MA kept Bitcoin’s dominance suppressed throughout the next year, and by December 2021, it had plunged to 39.63%

This sharp decline coincided with the altcoin season of the previous market cycle, when altcoins outperformed Bitcoin. Van de Poppe believes a similar pattern may be forming now, suggesting that the next phase could again favor altcoins if dominance convincingly drops below the moving average.

Other Analysts Agree

Another market analyst, Steve from Crypto Crew University, also believes this, recently highlighting similarities between the current setup and historical altcoin seasons

He noted that the Bitcoin dominance chart now faces the same type of resistance that preceded the major altcoin rallies of 2017 and 2021. Steve suggested that the pattern could repeat, possibly around 2026, implying that an altcoin rally might only be delayed rather than absent

Bitcoin Dominance 1M Chart | Bitcoinsensus