XRP Price Prediction: Hasn't Bottomed Until Bitcoin Stabilizes—Buy the Dip in October 2025

In the volatile aftermath of October 2025's $19.1 billion liquidation crash—sparked by Trump's 100% tariff threats on Chinese imports—XRP is trading near $2.38, down 3% in 24 hours and testing $2.40 support amid broader market jitters. The plunge, syncing with Nasdaq's 3.6% slide, wiped $200 billion from crypto caps, but XRP's 37% drop from $2.83 to $1.77 (now rebounding to $2.44) highlights its BTC dependency. Analysts warn XRP "hasn’t bottomed until Bitcoin stabilizes," eyeing a rebound only above BTC's $115,000 threshold. With $1.25 billion in whale sells over the past month and SEC ETF delays from the U.S. shutdown (potentially 25 days), sentiment remains cautious—yet oversold signals suggest a dip-buy opportunity in DeFi's interconnected rebound.

Crash Context: Tariffs and Whale Pressure

The October 10 rout—retaliating against China's rare earth curbs—evaporated liquidity, purging 1.5 million traders via $7 billion hourly wipes, mostly longs. XRP's market cap sits at $142.7 billion (fifth-ranked), but weak retail and ETF stalls (seven pending reviews frozen) prolong the pain. No spot capitulation: Exchange supply flat, per Santiment, with VSA showing a red selling bar at $2.30 lows transitioning to exhaustion.

• Price Path: $2.83 high > $1.77 low > $2.44 recovery (14% down 24h).
• Whale Moves: 400M XRP ($1.25B) offloaded; no major inflows yet.
• ETF Hurdle: Shutdown delays; approvals eyed post-reopen.

Technical Setup: Oversold Bounce Ahead

XRP shattered a multi-month symmetrical triangle below $2.70, triggering stops to $2.30—its lowest since July. RSI at 26.9 screams oversold, mirroring May's divergence that sparked a 54% rally from $1.77. Bear targets: $2.02 (Fib level), $1.77 (prior zone). Bull flips: Doji/hammer at $2.30 signals reversal; $2.63 (100-day SMA) resistance eyes $2.80-$3.18, then $3.30 on ETF news. "Analysts say a rebound likely only after Bitcoin stabilizes."

• Support: $2.30 core; $2.25 invalidation.
• Targets: $2.80 short; $3.30 post-BTC $115K.
• Indicators: RSI 26.9 oversold; VSA exhaustion bar.

Analyst Views: Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Fundamentals

Arslan Butt of CryptoNews: "XRP’s short-term outlook is bearish... but fundamentals—especially ETF and institutional interest—will recover." Ripple's cross-border utility endures, with ETF hopes restoring sentiment once shutdown ends. Q4 optimism: "The market will turn once Bitcoin is above $115,000, and then XRP will regain lost ground."

Trading Guide: Buy the Dip Strategically

Batch $2.30-2.20 for swings, avg $2.25, 5% stop below $2.15, target $2.80. Aggressive: 3x longs above $2.43 for $2.74 fast out; add on $2.50 steady. HODL weekly close >$2.44; scale 30% at +10%, hedge stables below 3% daily. Wait BTC >$115K for conviction.

In summary, XRP's crash bottom hinges on BTC stability—oversold RSI and whale pauses signal dip-buy alpha. Secure via multi-sig on compliant DEXs, ladder wisely, and eye ETFs. In October 2025's thaw, patience pays.