XRP Whale Selling Sparks ETF Volatility: Could Price Fall Below $2 in 2025?

XRP is facing increased volatility as whales sell over $50 million daily, creating downward pressure on the price amid speculation over spot ETF approvals. This trend of net outflows since early 2024 has fueled bearish sentiment, with technical indicators suggesting a potential breakdown below key supports. The article explores whale activity, ETF impact, price analysis, and market implications, providing insights for crypto enthusiasts navigating 2025's DeFi trends.

What Is Driving XRP Whale Selling?

XRP whales, holding over 1,000 tokens, are offloading more than $50 million worth of XRP daily based on a 30-day moving average, leading to sustained net outflows since early 2024. This selling pressure negatively impacts market sentiment and could accelerate if no bullish catalysts emerge. CryptoQuant flow charts confirm the downtrend, highlighting risks for smaller holders as large players exit. In 2025's volatile environment, this activity underscores the influence of whales on price dynamics.

• Daily Sales: Over $50 million from whales.
• Outflow Trend: Net negative since early 2024.
• Sentiment Impact: Bearish pressure on retail traders.
• Data Source: CryptoQuant flow charts.

How Does ETF Speculation Affect XRP Volatility?

Optimism for a spot XRP ETF approval remains high, with Polymarket odds above 99% for 2025, supported by regulatory signals and Ripple's legal clarity. However, experts note hurdles to immediate approval, and a "sell-the-news" event could trigger pullbacks if whales use it as an exit. The SEC's streamlined process adds to the speculation, potentially sparking a bullish reversal. In the DeFi space, ETF news could boost XRP's utility in tokenized assets.

• Approval Odds: 99% on Polymarket for 2025.
• Regulatory Signals: Positive for Ripple.
• Sell-the-News Risk: Potential post-approval dip.
• DeFi Utility: Enhanced for tokenized RWAs.

XRP Price Analysis: Risk of Falling Below $2

Technical indicators are bearish, with analyst Peter Brandt identifying a descending triangle pattern that could lead to a breakdown below $2 if it completes. XRP currently trades at $2.83, down 0.01% in 24 hours, with key supports at $2. The pattern suggests sharper declines without a bullish shift, driven by whale pressure. In 2025 trends, a drop below $2 could test lower supports, but ETF approval might counter this.

• Pattern Identification: Descending triangle bearish.
• Current Price: $2.83, down 0.01%.
• Support Levels: Critical at $2.
• Downside Potential: Sharper declines if broken.

Conclusion

XRP's whale selling and ETF volatility highlight the token's precarious position, with risks of falling below $2 amid bearish technicals. Investors should monitor whale flows and regulatory news for potential reversals. To stay ahead, explore on-chain tools like CryptoQuant for flow data, track X for sentiment, or check DeFi resources for RWA integrations.