Bitcoin price prediction: BTC recovers above $115k as $116k resistance holds

Key takeaways

• BTC targets the $120k resistance ahead of FOMC.
• The $116k resistance presents a hurdle to traders despite bullish price action

BTC is still trading below the $116k resistance

The crypto market opened the new week bearish but is now on its path to recovery as Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies are recording gains. Bitcoin dropped to the $114k level on Monday, with altcoins recording bigger losses.

However, BTC has slightly recovered and is now trading above $115k, with the $116k resistance still in play. The stagnated price action comes ahead of a crucial FOMC meeting tomorrow.

Analysts are expecting a rate cut of at least 25 basis points, with some predicting a 50 basis point cut. Polymarket odds of this cut have jumped to over 90%, while the CME Fed Monitor tool has the probability at 95%. A Fed rate cut will favour cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, with the leading cryptocurrency likely to target its all-time high price once again.

BTC eyes $120k ahead of FOMC

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bullish and efficient despite Monday’s dip. The technical indicators have improved over the last few hours, with all eyes now on tomorrow’s expected Fed rate cut.

The RSI of 55 shows that buyers are still in control, with the MACD lines also within the bullish territory. If the $116k resistance level is surpassed, BTC could quickly rally towards the $120k psychological level over the next few hours or days. An extended bullish run would allow it to target the all-time high price above $125k.

However, failure to surpass the $116k resistance level could see BTC face further correction to the downside. This could see the cryptocurrency retest the TLQ and support level at $113,479. This support level will likely hold as the next support level is around $110.

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