Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Is ETH at $2115 a bottom-buy for you?

ETF net outflows have continued for 5 months, with over $2.4 billion redeemed, and the price has been halved from the high of $4946. The Alligator indicator shows a three-line bearish alignment, MACD remains in a death cross, and the weekly chart just closed with the strongest bearish candle since 2026—yet just now, Glamsterdam upgraded and went live, gas fees plummeted, stablecoins hold 62% market share, and RWA custody reached $12.5 billion.

First, look at the surface: blood flowing in rivers, no one dares to buy.

Since 2026, the price has fallen from over $3000 by 32%, more than halved from the August 2022 high of $4946. Market cap is $255 billion, 24-hour trading volume is $12.9 billion, and 92% of the community is bullish, but capital flow is dead silent.

First thing: the ETF net outflows for 5 consecutive months are the biggest warning.

Spot ETH ETFs have redeemed over $2.4 billion, with $248 million pulled out in just one week. Institutions are selling, large holders are depositing coins into exchanges, and the spot price is being drained continuously.

Second thing: Glamsterdam upgrade has gone live, and the fundamentals are actually stronger.

Gas fees have significantly decreased, ETH burn volume has increased, Layer 2 fees have fallen again. Stablecoin issuance exceeds $59 billion, accounting for 62% of the global market; tokenized asset custody is $12.5 billion, with a 65% market share.

- On-chain transfers are cheaper, more people are willing to use

- ETH is starting to become deflationary, used less and less

- Traditional financial institutions' bonds, stocks, and real estate are moving onto ETH

Third thing: technical signals show two completely contradictory signs.

The Alligator indicator shows a three-line bearish alignment, MACD remains in a death cross, RSI is only 36—this is a typical bearish market, not yet oversold, so there’s room to fall.

But the $2100–$2050 zone is a dense area of historical trading and a psychological threshold. Last week’s weekly bearish candle was the strongest since 2026, but larger bearish candles often indicate proximity to the bottom.

One side is:

- ETF net outflows of $2.4 billion over 5 months

- Macro high interest rates, FOMC likely to hold rates in June

- Technical bearish alignment, support at $2050 → $1800

- Leverage liquidations are frequent, liquidity is draining

The other side is:

- Glamsterdam upgrade has gone live, gas fees have dropped sharply

- Stablecoins + RWA market share dominates absolutely

- Corporate treasuries are holding ETH as a yield asset

- Price has been halved from the high, at a 2026 low

Key level: $2115, below is an abyss, above is paradise.

Resistance above: $2135 → $2200 (breakthrough needed to change trend) → $2350

Support below: $2080–$2090 → $2050 → $1800–$1760 (ultimate bottom)

Short-term traders:

Wait for a light position to test long around $2050–$2080, stop-loss at $2020, target $2200. Or take a small short near $2130, stop-loss at $2160, target $2080. At this position, both sides are uncomfortable—better to wait.

Swing traders:

Close above $2200 on the daily chart + ETF turns into net inflow. Only buy in when both conditions are met, target $2800–$3500.

Long-term believers:

Start dollar-cost averaging from today. Four batches at $2115, $2050, $1950, $1850, with an average cost target of $1900–$2100. Hold ETH staking, earning 4–6% annual yield while waiting for the wind.

ETH right now is like Bitcoin in 2022—

Everyone was saying “Bitcoin is useless,” but it rose from $16,000 to $70,000.

ETH at $2115, you’re afraid to buy. When it rises to $3500, you’ll realize: it’s not that Ethereum doesn’t work, it’s that you keep catching the top and selling at the bottom. #TradFi交易分享挑战 #灰度购入超51万HYPE并质押 $BTC $ETH $HYPE

$ZEC honestly looks so ready for the next big leg up.
If the $640-$650 area keeps holding, then chances are high we break previous highs soon.
@CryptoWizardd SEND IT TO 1K 🙌

Congratulations to President Trump on winning a tax-free medal.
Is he so confident he will win the midterm elections that he’s directly exempting himself from taxes...

$77k Bitcoin, do you want to cut your losses?

ETF has been net outflowing $2 billion for 7 consecutive days, the 200-day moving average at 81K has been hit twice, and the funding rate has been negative for 81 days in a row—yet just now, long-term holders quietly accumulated 16.3 million BTC, hitting a new all-time high.

First, look at the surface: bad news everywhere, but the price hasn't collapsed.

In the past 30 days, BTC dropped from 82.8K to 77K, a correction of about 7.5%, retreating 39% from the all-time high of 126K. Market cap is $1.54 trillion, 24-hour trading volume is $27.7 billion, and the price repeatedly fluctuates between 76.8K and 78.1K. It can't fall further, but it can't rise either.

First thing: ETFs are running, but old hands are疯狂接盘.

In the past 7 days, US stock spot Bitcoin ETFs have net outflows of nearly $2 billion, with two days alone losing $1 billion. BlackRock's IBIT and Grayscale's GBTC led the decline, headlines all about “institutional retreat.”

Long-term holders (LTH) supply surged to 16.3 million BTC, breaking a multi-year downward trend and hitting a new all-time high.

Second thing: macro is hurting, but the worst may be over.

The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times in the second half of 2025, now at 3.5%~3.75%. Everyone expected further cuts in 2026, but when the dot plot was released—expectations for rate cuts were cut, and there’s even a 54% chance of discussing “rate hikes.”

Risk assets are trembling collectively, and BTC is kneeling along with Nasdaq.

Funding rate has been negative for 81 days straight, with extreme bearish sentiment. In such extreme situations, history often shows a reversal on the eve.

Third thing: a strange signal appears on the technical chart.

78K is the True Market Mean average cluster, which has turned from support into resistance. 81K is the 200-day moving average, which was hit twice and caused a pullback. Short-term is indeed weak.

But RSI dropped from overbought 72 to near oversold 33. This rapid cooling usually signals the end of a shakeout.

On one side:

- LTH supply hits a new high, old hands are疯狂吸筹 between 75-80K

- SpaceX holds 1.45 billion, MicroStrategy owns 816,000 BTC, surpassing BlackRock

- Regulatory good news: “Clear Law” + presidential directives, improving institutional liquidity expectations

- 75K~77K is a strong bullish bottom zone, repeatedly validated

On the other side:

- ETF outflows of $2 billion, institutions are short-term避险

- Fed hawkish, rate hike discussions reappear

- 200-day moving average at 81K was hit twice, technical pressure

- Seeing your account in floating loss, feeling anxious

Key level: 77K, the last line of defense for bulls and bears.

Resistance above: 78K → 81K (200MA) → 85K

Support below: 76.5K (intraday low) → 75K (LTH cost zone) → 72K~74K (extreme black swan)

Short-term traders:

Buy the dip in batches at 76.5K~77K, stop-loss at 75K, first target is to reduce at 78K, second target at 81K. Above 78K, consider light short positions with a stop-loss at 81K.

Swing traders:

Wait for ETF to have net inflows of over $500 million for 3 consecutive days, or for funding rates to turn positive, then add positions. Target 85K~90K.

Long-term believers:

75K~77K is the dollar-cost averaging zone. End-of-2026 target is 90K~110K, betting on Fed pivot + deeper institutional allocation. But remember—if the Fed remains hawkish at the June meeting, BTC might revisit 72K~74K, and at that point, don’t be scared, that’s the entry point.

BTC now is just like before the 2024 halving—

99% of people think “the bull market is over,” but once ETFs pass, it doubles in three months.

If you sell at 77K, you’ll have to make it back at 90K later. #TradFi交易分享挑战 #灰度购入超51万HYPE并质押 $BTC $ETH $SOL

I came across a paragraph, and upon reflection, it seems to make sense.
There are only two standards for being smart:
1. Doing well academically in school
2. Earning a lot of money as an adult
Everything else is nonsense

Will the U.S. stock market crash in 2026? How likely is a crash?
Last night, I received a private message, and this question has been asked over ten times recently, with different wording but the same meaning: Are the U.S. stocks too high now? Is it a good time to buy in or will I be catching a falling knife?
I understand this kind of anxiety.
Since the low point last year, the S&P has risen over 30%, the Nasdaq has increased by 40%, and Nvidia's market value is larger than the entire German stock market.
Every number seems to scream "bubble."

$57.75 HYPE, are you in or out?

Grayscale bought $25 million worth of HYPE in two weeks, Bitwise ETF net inflow nearly $50 million, surged 48% in 7 days, today a big bullish candle from 49 to 58—just now, only $1.5 away from the all-time high of 59.4. Institutions are calling it "seriously undervalued," on-chain data is exploding, is this the rise of a new king or just the last frenzy?

First look at the surface: counter-market surge, the strong get stronger.

Today the overall market pulled back 4.8%, BTC hovered around 77k, ETH slightly up 1%, while HYPE jumped 16%, up 48% in 7 days, doubling this year so far. Market cap hit $14.6 billion, ranked top 11. Continuous 5 bullish candles, today volume broke out of consolidation, MACD golden cross, RSI in a strong zone.

First thing: institutions are buying with real money.

Grayscale bought $25 million of HYPE in the past two weeks, Bitwise ETF net inflow $47.8 million, some fees directly used for HYPE buybacks and staking. Rumors of spot HYPE ETF application are spreading wildly in the community.

Second thing: Hyperliquid is no longer just a DEX.

RWA perpetual contract holdings surpassed $2.6 billion, monthly trading volume over $170 billion. Non-crypto assets—S&P 500, SpaceX pre-IPO, commodity futures—already account for nearly half of the trading volume.

It’s eating into traditional finance’s cake. Platform fees—99%—are used to buy back and burn HYPE, revenue surging creates structural buy pressure. Bitwise CIO publicly states “HYPE is seriously undervalued,” strategic investment from a16z affiliates.

Third thing: a technical signal that must be watched carefully.

Up 48% in 7 days, today alone up 16%, just $1.5 away from the all-time high of 59.4.

Volume has increased, but short-term profit-taking has already accumulated too much. From 49 to 58, almost no decent pullback. If the breakout fails, a pullback to 52 or even 50 is quite possible.

On one side:

- Grayscale, Bitwise are investing real money

- Platform revenue surging, buybacks and burns creating continuous buy pressure

- RWA holdings hitting new highs, monthly volume over 170 billion

- Only $1.5 away from ATH, breakout highly probable

On the other side:

- 48% rise in 7 days, huge short-term profit-taking

- FDV reaching $55 billion, unlocking pressure persists long-term

- If BTC drops below 76k, high-beta HYPE will be hit hardest

- Near 59.4, intense battles will occur

Key level: $57.75, just one breath away from the previous high.

Resistance above: 59.4 (ATH) → 65 → 70-80

Support below: 52-50 → 48 (strong support) → 45 (weekly bottom line)

Short-term traders:

Wait for a pullback to 52-54 to enter, stop-loss at 48.5, first target 59-65. If it breaks 59.4 with volume and stabilizes, chase, stop at 57, target 65-70.

Swing/long-term players:

Build positions gradually at current levels, or accumulate heavily near 50. Target 80-100, betting on continued institutional allocation + RWA explosion. Keep position size within 30% of total funds, reserve bullets for pullbacks.

HYPE now is like SOL in 2021—

90% of people thought “it’s risen too much, I dare not buy,” but it went from $10 all the way to $200.

It’s not about whether it can rise, but whether you dare to hold at $57. #TradFi交易分享挑战 #灰度购入超51万HYPE并质押 $BTC $ETH $HYPE

📉 $BTC ‌ is back around the $77K level again.

Despite strong NVIDIA earnings, US futures are still trading lower while Oil pushed back above $100.

Pre-market snapshot:

▫️Nasdaq futures: -0.37% 🔴
▫️S&P 500 futures: -0.23% 🔴

Risk sentiment still looks shaky right now.

#GrayscaleBuysAndStakesOver510KHYPE
#GateSquarePizzaDay

⚠️ Iran reportedly owns $7.7B worth of crypto.

If those numbers are correct, Iran would rank as the world’s third-largest sovereign crypto holder after the US and China.

Interesting part is why:

• Sanctions pressure
• Dollar restrictions
• Alternative settlement systems
• Growing use of digital assets for global transactions

Crypto is quietly becoming geopolitical infrastructure.

#GrayscaleBuysAndStakesOver510KHYPE
#DailyPolymarketHotspot

@Alaouicapital Bro robbed $17M then lost the plot because his crew immediately started shopping like lottery winners

📉 $BTC ‌ $ETH ‌ are under pressure again after fresh developments around Iran.

Reports suggest Iran’s leadership rejected a key condition tied to uranium exports, increasing concerns around future negotiations.

What markets are watching now:

• Rising geopolitical uncertainty
• Potential escalation risks
• Impact on global risk sentiment
• Oil and macro market reaction

Crypto remains highly sensitive to global headlines in the current environment.

#TradfiTradingChallenge
#GrayscaleBuysAndStakesOver510KHYPE

📉 $BTC and $ETH are under pressure again after fresh developments around Iran.
Reports suggest Iran’s leadership rejected a key condition tied to uranium exports, increasing concerns around future negotiations.
What markets are watching now:
• Rising geopolitical uncertainty
• Potential escalation risks
• Impact on global risk sentiment
• Oil and macro market reaction
Crypto remains highly sensitive to global headlines in the current environment.

0.104 USD DOGE, do you want to buy?

Revolut has just launched a physical DOGE debit card, whales have been疯狂扫货 for a week, exchange outflows have surged— but just now, the RSI dropped straight from 82 to 32, buying momentum within 7 hours is like a free fall.

First look at the surface: positive news bombardment, momentum like a rainbow.

In the past 24 hours, it once surged to 0.1058, with a market cap of 16.1 billion, firmly in the top ten, 24-hour trading volume of 830 million. Revolut launched physical DOGE debit cards in the UK and Europe, directly bringing meme coins into real-world payments. Whale large transactions inflow ratio soared to 67%, exchange-held DOGE is decreasing, long positions are piling up.

First thing: Revolut’s move is more aggressive than you think.

What does a physical debit card mean? You can swipe DOGE at the supermarket to buy bread, swipe at gas stations to fill up. No longer just a “digital meme,” but a payment tool with real-world scenarios. This is the first time in DOGE’s history that it has gained “mainstream financial infrastructure” access.

Second thing: whales are buying, retail investors are scared.

In the past week, large transactions inflow accounted for 67%, exchange DOGE balances continue to decline— a typical sign of “smart money withdrawing.” Dogecoin Treasury also bought 10 million coins, aiming for 100 million.

Third thing: a very dangerous technical signal has appeared.

From the high of 0.1058, RSI dropped from 82 (severely overbought) to 32 (approaching oversold) within 7 hours. Going from 82 to 32 is like boiling water suddenly turning into ice water. MACD histogram turned negative, buying momentum was cut in half again and again.

On one side:

- Revolut’s physical card connects to payment scenarios

- Whale large transactions account for 67%, exchange outflows

- ETF product net inflow surged by 215%

- Production reduction proposal, if passed, would significantly lower inflation

On the other side:

- RSI from 82 to 32, technical overbought condition cooling rapidly

- Elon has not mentioned DOGE for over a month

- 166 coins are minted every second, inflation pressure is real

- Macro US bond yields are rising, meme coin risk appetite is suppressed

Key level 0.104, the last bottom line for bulls and bears.

Resistance above: 0.106 → 0.112 (breakthrough + volume increase = real signal) → 0.12-0.13

Support below: 0.100-0.098 → 0.09 (if broken, bottom restructured)

Short-term traders:

Wait for a pullback to 0.100-0.102 before entering, stop-loss at 0.098 (if broken, decisively exit), first target 0.112, second target 0.12-0.13.

Swing traders:

Wait for the daily close above 0.112 before entering, use dynamic take-profit to hold, target 0.15-0.18. If Elon suddenly tweets one day, don’t get excited— watch volume first before acting.

Loyal DOGE believers:

Build positions in batches below 0.10, target 0.20+. But remember— until the production reduction proposal is implemented and Elon signals, always keep 30% cash for safety.

DOGE right now is like XRP at the end of 2025—

Everyone thinks it’s “too old to rise,” but once ETF news hits, it jumps from 0.5 to 1.2 directly.

The day 0.112 breaks through, you’ll realize: it’s not that dogs can’t do it, it’s that you always fall short before dawn. #TradFi交易分享挑战 #灰度购入超51万HYPE并质押 $BTC $ETH $D

Iran’s Supreme Leader: Near-weapon-grade uranium must stay within Iran
Jinjidu Data, May 21 — According to Reuters, two senior Iranian officials said Iran’s Supreme Leader has ordered that highly enriched uranium close to weapons-grade must not be shipped abroad. This move strengthens Tehran’s stance on one of the key demands the United States has made in peace negotiations. The order may further frustrate Trump and complicate negotiations to end the war between the US and Iran. Previously, Israeli officials told Reuters that Trump has assured Israel that Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium used to make atomic weapons will be shipped out of Iran, and that any peace agreement must include relevant provisions. One of the Iranian officials said, “The Supreme Leader’s instructions and the consensus within the system are that the stockpile of enriched uranium should not leave this country.” The officials said Iranian senior officials believe that sending such material abroad would make the country more vulnerable to attacks by the US and Israel in the future. Khamenei has the final say on the most important national affairs. The two senior Iranian officials also said that deep within Iran there is suspicion that Washington’s pause in hostilities is a strategic deception intended to create a sense of security before resuming airstrikes.
Iran’s Supreme Leader speaks: Uranium can only stay in Iran
This has a pretty high impact on the negotiations
Oil prices are set to rise again
Gold and Bitcoin are also affected and have pulled back
$BTC $XAU $CL

Smart money is watching wallets.
Long-Term Holder inflows just surged to ~470K bitcoin:native between March–May 2026 as bitcoin:native recovered around $75K–$80K.
Last time this metric peaked?
Sep 2024
Jun 2025
Both came before major rallies.
Are whales quietly accumulating again?

$BTC another bull trap rally is happening.
This could happen towards $79K-$80K before the next leg down.