Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Today, I'm focusing on two U.S. stock contracts: META / MSFT.
Core conclusion: META is strong, MSFT is stable.
But neither is a blind chase at highs; the key is to wait for confirmation, wait for pullbacks, and control stop-losses.
META has rebounded from lows with volume, and has just hit the MA99 / EMA99 resistance zone near 606. This shows that funds have indeed entered, but it also happens to hit the first resistance.
Therefore, the strategy for META is not to chase, but to: go long on pullbacks, and then consider rolling positions after a confirmed breakout.
METAUSDT plan:
Priority long zone: 585 - 596
Aggressive long zone: 600 - 604 (small position)
Stop-loss: 574
First take-profit: 628
Second take-profit: 650
Strong trend target: 675
If you chase right now, the stop-loss at 574 means a risk of nearly 5%, and the risk-reward ratio is not ideal.
The most comfortable position is to wait for a pullback around 590 that holds, then a re-upswing.
MSFT logic is different from META.
It's not an explosive type, but rather a steady recovery. The key level now is around 386.
386 is the confirmation level for whether the short-term rebound can truly turn strong.
Only if it holds 386 is there a chance to continue looking at 397 / 405 / 415.
MSFTUSDT plan:
If not yet opened a position:
Priority: wait for a pullback to 376 - 380
Or wait for confirmation after holding 386 - 390
If planning to buy at the current price of 382:
Main stop-loss: 374
Warning level: 378
First take-profit: 397
Second take-profit: 405
Third take-profit: 415
Strong trend target: 430
The cost of 382 is not bad, but you cannot hold too deep a drawdown.
If you set the stop-loss at 365, the loss would be nearly 4.5%, while the first take-profit of 397 would yield less than 4%, making the risk-reward ratio unfavorable.
So a better approach is: use 374 as the main stop-loss. If wrong, a small loss; if right, take profits in batches.
Today there is the Non-Farm Payrolls report, so volatility will be high around the open. After the U.S. stock cash market opens, it's easier for the real direction to emerge.
So the strategy now is not to add positions and gamble, but:
Do not add positions before the open.
If positions are heavy, reduce by 30%-50% first.
If positions are light, set stop-losses and wait for confirmation.
If key levels hold, continue to hold.
If stop-loss levels are broken, exit immediately.
For MSFT:
If it holds 386, continue to hold.
If it reaches 397, reduce positions first.
If it breaks 378, be on alert.
If it breaks 374, admit the mistake and exit.
For META:
If it holds 606, continue to observe strength.
If it pulls back to 596-600 and holds, can look to go long.
If it breaks 574, the bullish logic is invalidated.
Today is not a day to blindly chase tech stocks.
Core discipline:
Do not add positions before the open, do not add positions while losing, and do not turn winning trades into losing trades.
If wrong, take a small loss; if right, take profits in batches.
Personal thoughts, not investment advice.

Brothers, don’t laugh at me, but today really pissed me off. Yesterday I placed a draw bet on Belgium vs Senegal in my Binance Wallet, and I had a lot of confidence in it. When it was the 70th minute, Senegal was already up by two goals. At that point, the two Belgian guys started arguing with each other. I rushed to close out the draw ticket. I lost 95%—I even thought I could at least get something back. After cutting my losses, Belgium in the 85th…

DYDX at $0.14, do you dare to buy the dip?

First, look at the surface: news that sounds amazing, yet the price action is shit.

dYdX Labs partners with Robinhood to launch Arcus DEX, supporting spot trading of 95 tokenized stocks, zero fees, with Robinhood Chain traffic boost — for any DeFi project, this would be a catalyst worth at least a double.

So what happened? DYDX crashed 40% directly.

The "sell the fact" stampede after the news broke is a classic move by institutions to wash out the market.

First thing: The good news is treated as bad news to sell, but the "original chain" hasn't changed at all.

The dYdX Foundation urgently clarified: Arcus is an independent project by dYdX Labs, and the original dYdX Chain is completely unaffected; trading, staking, and governance are all normal.

The new project has no relation to the old token, but they haven't announced a new coin either.

The market's fear is "will DYDX be abandoned?", but the Foundation said — no.

But the market doesn't care; it sells first. Good news is treated as bad, bad news as doomsday.

Second thing: Has dYdX's fundamentals changed because of one big red candle?

TVL $130 million, monthly trading volume $3.6 billion, annualized revenue at the $10 million level. The Surge Season trading incentives are still running, with zero-fee trading for ETH/SOL/BTC/BONK, and on-chain activity hasn't collapsed.

The project hasn't changed, the code hasn't changed, the team hasn't changed. What changed is your position and your mindset.

Third thing: A key technical signal appears.

Today's low of 0.1315 hit exactly the previous high-volume consolidation zone. A long lower wick + explosive volume — what does it mean?

Someone is aggressively buying around 0.13.

The 4-hour RSI has plunged into oversold territory, the MACD histogram is starting to narrow, and the decline is slowing down. But all moving averages are bearish, so a rebound won't happen overnight.

Key levels:

Resistance above: 0.15 → 0.16 → 0.18-0.20

Support below: 0.1315 (today's low) → 0.12 (ultimate iron bottom)

If 0.13 holds, it's the bottom. If it doesn't, there's another 20% downside.

Bulls vs Bears, this time it's different

Bulls say:

The Robinhood partnership is a long-term huge positive: 95 tokenized stocks + zero fees, massive traffic gateway

The Foundation explicitly stated DYDX Chain is not affected, the panic is wrong

0.13 is historical dense zone, explosive volume buying means big money is entering

A short-term oversold bounce is imminent, after a 40% drop, can't it bounce at least a little?

Bears say:

Arcus details are opaque; if a new token is issued, DYDX becomes irrelevant

Token unlock pressure continues

BTC is oscillating at 60k, altcoins have no independent momentum

One big red candle broke through all moving averages, the trend is broken, don't catch a falling knife

Who is right? I don't know. But I know one truth:

Buy when fear is at its peak, sell when greed is at its peak — you've heard this 100 times, but you can never do it.

For those already holding and underwater:

Don't cut losses at 0.13. Wait for a bounce to 0.15-0.16, then reduce half, hold the rest for 0.18. Stop loss at 0.12; if broken, accept the loss and exit.

For those with cash wanting to buy the dip:

Don't go all in! Lightly long in the 0.135-0.143 range, stop loss at 0.128. First target 0.16, second target 0.18-0.20.

If it breaks below 0.13, wait for near 0.12 to enter a second batch.

For contract traders:

With this volatility, if you're right you can make 3x, wrong you go to zero. If you really have an itch, use no more than 2x leverage.

Position sizing:

Allocate 5-8% of total capital. DYDX is a wild coin; going all in is asking to die.

Back when UNI dropped from 44 to 4, nobody wanted it.

Later it rebounded to 15, and everyone said "I missed it."

DYDX at 0.14 today — do you think it will go to zero, or are you waiting to slap your thigh when it's back at 0.5?

"Sell the fact" after good news is the most classic scene in crypto.

But the script is always the same: retail exits at a loss, the whales feast, then they pump the price — and you look back, only to find you sold at the bottom again.
#Gate股票转仓功能上线 #Strategy拟回购股票 #特朗普披露持有超1亿美元BTCETH $BTC $ETH $DYDX

Only when we grow up do we realize
What really kills one's appetite
is not love
but the stock price😭
Micron is really suffering this week...
$MU

1 hour until tonight's non-farm payroll data release
Remember to set stop-loss and take-profit
$BTC $ETH

You could say that I’m now a “heavy user” of Binance Square.
The other day, when I saw the label the system gave me, I suddenly felt a bit dazed, and a lot of memories came rushing back.
In 2022, Binance launched Square; in 2023, the platform began strongly supporting KOL onboarding, and I was one of them.
But to be honest, back then my main focus was still on Twitter. When Binance Square was just getting started, neither the traffic nor the content ecosystem had fully taken off, so I didn’t really treat it as a long-term position to seriously cultivate.
Later, in 2024 and 2025, I gradually saw Binance Square produce a lot of top-tier creators, and many friends around me also achieved very strong results here.
When I heard about their growth and what they gained, my feelings were actually very complicated.
There was envy, but also regret.
More honestly, it was regret.
Regret that I hadn’t kept consistently putting out content in such a highly focused content arena—so close to trading users—and with the backing of top-platform resources.
This sentence might sound a bit too direct, but it’s the truth: I’ve regretted it many times, because I really missed the earliest and most golden bonus period for Binance Square.
But anyone who’s traded knows that regret is just a normal part of it.
The market won’t stop because of your regret, and opportunities won’t completely disappear just because you miss out once. What really matters is whether, after seeing things clearly, you can adjust again and set off again.
So when I look back now, I still believe that Binance Square is the most worthwhile content platform to invest in seriously among all CEX ecosystems—and you could even say it’s the platform with the most certainty and room for growth.
The reason is simple:
You can never underestimate the power, resources, traffic, and influence of a top platform.
Especially in the crypto industry—where the platform is, users are there; where trading happens, attention is there; and where attention is, there’s an opportunity for content and influence to be redistributed.
And based on my speculation, Binance Square is probably still showing an early version for now. The content ecosystem, creator system, user interactions, and traffic distribution it demonstrates might still be at the 1.0 stage.
I have a strong hunch that later on, it will very likely bring more features, deeper product integrations, and even more room for upgrades.
More importantly, right now, in mainland China, third-party media and content platforms that truly serve the crypto community are banned.
But a mature trading ecosystem needs more than just a trading entry point—it also needs information, viewpoints, education, research, social interaction, community, content distribution, and trust connections between users.
Eventually, someone will take over these service segments.
If Binance Square intends to develop deeply in this direction, its imagination space won’t be limited to just being a “crypto content platform.”
What’s more, Binance’s product boundaries are continuously expanding too—for example, into precious metals and US stocks. Once the asset classes the platform serves expand, the user base will expand as well.
At that point, Binance Square won’t just face today’s group of crypto traders; it could be facing a much larger global community of traders.
So now, I actually feel the opposite: the less people have fully realized its long-term value, the more you should take it seriously to onboard, to produce, and to accumulate.
The significance of onboarding early isn’t just to grab traffic—it’s also to secure your position, win mindshare, and build trust.
There’s still a lot of imagination worth exploring here, but I don’t want to write an overly long article. If there’s a chance later, I can share more slowly.
In short, my judgment right now is very clear:
At this stage, Binance Square is as important as Twitter.
If you’re a content creator, trader, or researcher in the crypto industry—or someone who wants to build personal influence in this industry long term—Binance Square is absolutely worth taking seriously.
The earlier you onboard, the earlier you produce, the earlier you accumulate—the more likely you are to get ahead.
@cz_binance @binancezh @heyibinance @yingbinance @sisibinance @yayabinance

$1600 ETH: Cut Losses or Add Positions?

First look at the surface: it’s been smashed—yet today it’s holding strong.

ETH fell from 3100 to 1600, and you’ve been holding for half a year. Everyone across the market has been yelling, “ETH is going to zero,” and V神 has been cursed with 3,000 comments. But just today, the 24-hour trading volume jumped from 800 million to 1.2 billion, the price rebounded from 1570 back to 1645, the entire market saw 120 million in liquidations, and shorts got squeezed into liquidation.

First: Why are you feeling despair, while the whales are secretly laughing?

First, look at three data points that defy common sense:

ETH/BTC ratio is 0.027, hitting the lowest level in nearly three years.

Cumulative net inflows into spot ETFs have exceeded $12 billion. Last week’s single-week inflows were strong—institutions are quietly accumulating below 1600.

Staked amount: 33–37 million ETH, nearly 30% of total supply.

Retail investors are cutting positions in panic; institutions are building positions in batches.

Gas fees are down to $0.2, and daily on-chain transaction count still exceeds 2.2 million. The “chips” are moving from weak hands to strong hands—this is the most typical bottoming behavior.

Second: The Glamsterdam upgrade—could change everything

L1 performance is greatly improved, and fees can drop even further

The L2 ecosystem is smoother, with the user experience nearly matching Solana

This is the biggest catalyst for ETH in 2026—no question about it

V神’s roadmap has shifted from “selling coins” to “solving real problems.” ETH is transforming from an “expensive-to-die shitcoin” into an “enterprise-grade settlement layer.”

Third: A candlestick chart signal appears—something you must take seriously

Today’s strong rebound successfully defended the key support zone of 1550–1580 (an effective demand area tested multiple times).

Pattern: It may have broken out of a short-term bearish channel, showing a “support bounce + bullish reversal” signal.

Resistance levels: 1650 (near today’s high), 1660–1680, 1750–1780

But the weekly chart is still in a deep correction channel, having fallen from 3100 to the current level. If it can’t hold 1550, the next support is 1400.

Bull vs bear—make your own call.

On one side:

The Glamsterdam upgrade is imminent—the biggest catalyst of 2026

ETF cumulative inflows of $12 billion, with institutions continuing to accumulate

Staking rate near 30%, supply side effectively locked up

Today’s volume-driven rebound—technical stabilization signals

On the other side:

The Federal Reserve interest rate is 3.75%, with a very low probability of rate cuts during 2026

Down 47% over six months, and the trend is still downward

ETH/BTC hits a three-year low—relative weakness

Before the upgrade, it may “sell the news”

Key levels

Upper resistance: 1660–1680 → 1750–1780 → 2000–2400

Lower support: 1550–1580 → 1400–1500 (last line of defense)

For short-term traders:

Accumulate in batches around 1620–1650; stop-loss below 1540; target 1700–1750. Position size 10–20%, leverage within 3x.

After the daily close holds above 1650, consider adding. Target 2000–2400. If it breaks below 1550, exit first and wait.

For long-term believers:

Dollar-cost average in batches between 1500–1700, hold for six months—betting on the success of the Glamsterdam upgrade + continued ETF inflows. Target 3000+. But total position size must not exceed 50%; keep cash to handle black swan events.

Risk-control iron rules:

Single-coin position ≤ 30% of total capital

If it breaks below 1540, stop loss decisively

Watch the July Federal Reserve meeting + inflation data

Don’t add leverage to gamble on a rebound—only gamblers die

ETH is like Bitcoin in 2023—

99% of people thought “the drop has no end,” but once the ETF got approved, it took off immediately.

On the day the Glamsterdam upgrade goes live, you’ll realize:

It wasn’t that Ethereum was no good—it was that you cut your losses before dawn. #Gate股票转仓功能上线 #Strategy拟回购股票 #特朗普披露持有超1亿美元BTCETH $BTC $ETH $SOL

Suddenly discovered that Gate has also launched their Gstocks page?! Previously, Gate stocks used a direct-to-broker approach. Now this Gstocks, I guess, is a tokenized stock model, but I haven't seen any official announcement yet.
If I understand correctly, Gate is now effectively walking on two legs.
The first leg is stocks directly connected to licensed brokers. Users trade real stocks, supporting dividends, stock splits, transfers, and other complete corporate actions, with an experience close to traditional brokers.
The second leg is GStocks tokenized stocks. On the basis of 1:1 pegging to the original stock, it introduces on-chain capabilities, such as proof of reserves (PoR), staking, lending, and other DeFi scenarios, packaging stocks into combinable on-chain assets.
These two solutions address compliance and asset authenticity, while one releases on-chain liquidity and financial innovation.
From SPCX's few legitimate IPOs for crypto people to the launch of US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and Korean stocks, Gate's layout seems to be ahead of the industry. Personally, I think this solution is likely to become the mainstream model for securities on-chain in the future.

Today, the Taiwanese stock community is buzzing about extramarital affairs involving Terry Gou, the founder of Hon Hai Group.
Also in the mix: the day-to-day reality of those big shots over 50 “chasing tender grass.”
The most outrageous is Wang Wenyang—he’s 75, yet he still likes dating women in their 20s.
Men really don’t change, even when they get older.
Terry Gou is already 75, and still has the energy to cheat.
He’s having a great time playing golf with a golf buddy—an experienced woman friend who’s nearly 50.
It’s said there are plenty of dark history; basically, she counts as a professional “mistress.”
Terry Gou’s second marriage has been going on for 18 years—his wife, Tseng Hsin-ying, was once a dance teacher.

In late June, SK Hynix briefly surpassed Samsung to become the top market cap in South Korea, with its stock price touching 2,987,000 won, almost hitting 3 million won per share, and everywhere you looked it was "storage is king."

Today, that line came crashing down, with Hynix closing down 14.57%, Samsung down 9.06%, and the KOSPI down 7.89%. The Korea Exchange also triggered a sell-side sidecar, halting programmatic sell orders for five minutes.

There were two triggers. One was news that Meta plans to build a cloud business and rent out its unused AI computing power; the other was a report by The Information that OpenAI has improved inference efficiency, potentially reducing some inference costs. Together, they ignited the market's worst fear: If AI can squeeze more out of existing hardware, will the demand for new chips become less urgent? Has computing power been overbuilt?

Overnight, U.S. chip stocks already took a hit: Micron fell over 10%, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped over 6%; Japan's Kioxia also fell over 13% today. Hynix was simply the one that stood highest and fell hardest in this wave.

But digging into the root cause, the most basic reason is that it had risen too much. The gains this year have been extremely exaggerated, and the market priced it as flawless. For a stock like this, the scariest thing is someone asking if it's really that perfect. The news from Meta and OpenAI provided exactly that excuse.

Has the fundamental picture collapsed? Not yet. Even amid today's big drop, some brokerages raised their target prices: IBK raised its target for Hynix to 4 million won and expects it to beat expectations for the 11th consecutive quarter. This also aligns with Micron's strong earnings report a while back. What fell today was more like the portion of the price inflated by sentiment; the business itself hasn't been hit yet.

Among all these pieces of news, there's one I take seriously: AI computing power oversupply. For now, it's just a sentimental trigger, but it points to a real issue. The entire industry is pouring so much money into building computing power and stockpiling memory. If one day we find out too much has been built and demand hasn't kept up, that's when the strongest foundation of the memory business will really start to loosen.

My position was in the red today too, and it hurts. But I won't move it for a single bearish candle driven by profit-taking and emotional selling. Is there a memory shortage today? Yes, there still is. When it's no longer short, I'll come back and tell you.

#AVAX is trading at $6.76 and is just 3.5% below the key $7.00 resistance.
Price has been making higher lows, showing buyers are slowly building momentum.
A strong close above $7.00 could confirm a breakout and open the door for further upside.
However, another rejection from this level could send AVAX back to the rising trendline.
A break below that support would shift momentum back to the bears.
The $7.00 level will likely decide AVAX's next major move.

$SOL is flexing some serious bullish momentum, currently trading at $79.67 with a +2.85% daily gain.

The 15minute chart shows a massive green candle pushing right up against the 24 hour high of $79.87.

But here the real kicker notice that alert banner. A massive whale just opened a 20x leverage SOL long position worth $18.1 million!

Big money is betting heavily on Solana short term trajectory.

Are you riding this wave, or waiting for a pullback? #CirclePlunges17% #GateCardPointsSystemLaunched #GateStocksTransferLive

For the past week there’s only been one topic in crypto: $ANSEM
What’s Bitcoin doing?
How are the other alts?
Nobody’s even checking.
Because everyone’s watching one chart: $ANSEM.
This is how a bull run starts. Sleep on it and you miss it

I plan to keep an eye on $SOL this week. It is very different from ordinary mainstream coins, and to some extent, it acts as an emotional amplifier for the entire chain. Whether it's Meme, DePIN, or AI narratives going viral, the Solana ecosystem often sees capital movements first. During the recent hot market, over 30% of on-chain DEX trading volume was concentrated on this public chain.

$60k BTC, did you cut your losses?

ETF outflows for 6 consecutive months, but whales are quietly bottom-fishing. A strong bounce from 57k back to 60k — you think it's just a technical rebound? On-chain data tells you: smart money is doing something that will make retail investors panic — buying against the trend.

First thing: ETFs are selling, but long-term holders are buying. Who is right?

In June, spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows of over $400 million. Institutions are running, right?

Right, but that's only half the story.

The other half is: long-term holders have turned back to net accumulation. The MVRV ratio has dropped to around 1.2. Historical data tells us — when it falls below 1.2, that's a bottom zone.

Those old hands who have survived bull and bear markets are quietly accumulating below 60k.

Second thing: You see a "head and shoulders top," I see a "bear trap."

Weekly chart: head and shoulders top pattern, neckline already broken, target pointing lower — a party for bears.

But look more closely at the momentum indicator —

Price made a new low, but RSI didn't. Bullish divergence.

57k-59k is near the 21-month low, a core demand zone since the halving. A bounce from this level is never accidental. The daily chart may form a double bottom/W-bottom, RSI pulling back from oversold territory, MACD golden cross brewing.

Is this a technical rebound in a bear market, or the first step of a trend reversal?

The answer: $62k. If it holds above 62k with volume, the bearish structure is dead. If it can't, consolidation continues.

Third thing: Macro "high inflation" — is this bearish or bullish for BTC?

May CPI surged to 4.2% YoY, core CPI at 2.9%, energy shock, oil prices rising — sounds like all bad news, right?

Warsh's latest statement that "inflation risks are declining" was interpreted as dovish by the market. Non-farm payrolls data was weak, reigniting rate cut expectations. Once the liquidity inflection point is confirmed, which risk asset has the highest elasticity?

Not gold — it's BTC.

Bull vs Bear Battle — You Decide

Bull’s hand:

57k-59k strong support held, bounce back to 60k+

LTH resuming accumulation, MVRV 1.2 undervalued zone

Bullish divergence + potential W-bottom, MACD golden cross brewing

Continued buying by Metaplanet and other companies, Trump pro-crypto narrative

Macro rate cut expectations — if confirmed, BTC has the highest elasticity

Bear’s hand:

Weekly still bearish structure, head and shoulders neckline broken

Persistent ETF net outflows, weak institutional buying

Inflation at 4.2%, Fed "higher for longer" suppressing risk assets

200-day MA acting as resistance, lack of strong catalyst

Key Levels

Upper resistance: $62k (first hurdle) → $64,000-$65k (break = trend reversal) → $70,000+

Lower support: $57k-$59k (iron floor; if broken, look at 55k or lower)

Short-term traders:

Lean bullish, but don't go heavy. Buy in batches on pullbacks to 58.5k-59.5k, or chase after confirmation of a breakout above 61.5k-62k. Stop loss below 56.8k. Target 62k for first half, 65k for the rest. R:R at least 1:2, high reward-to-risk ratio.

Long-term believers:

In the 57k-60k range, DCA with eyes closed. This is a high-quality accumulation zone in the post-halving cycle. Once the macro turns positive (rate cuts landing + ETF inflows returning), 80k-100k is not a dream.

Hard risk rules:

Single coin position ≤ 10% of total capital, don't go all-in

If NFP/inflation data is negative and ETFs continue large outflows, 55k is possible — so you must have cash

Watch volume at 62k-65k; no volume means a fake breakout

BTC now is like March 2020 —

The pandemic crash, everyone shouting "Bitcoin to zero," yet it went from 3,800 all the way to 69,000.

Today's 57k is the 3,800 of that time.

The difference: back then you didn't dare to buy, and this time you still don't dare.

At 60k, you think BTC is expensive.

At 100k, you'll chase it.

The fate of retail investors is to forever bounce between "feels expensive" and "regret not buying."

#Gate股票转仓功能上线 #Strategy拟回购股票 $BTC $ETH $XAU

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——Lighthouse Says. For business cooperation (copy trading), please DM.

$BTC just pulled off a classic liquidity sweep.

Price broke below the short-term range, tapped into the major support zone, and grabbed liquidity beneath the previous low before reclaiming the range.

Now we've got a small structural break to the upside. If buyers keep defending this level, momentum could start building from here.

Patience pays.