Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Bitcoin has evolved over the past 17 years from “being mineable with a home computer” into today’s industrial-scale mining. I did some research, and mining 1 BTC per day today may require an investment of RMB 200–300 million or even more in mining machines, electricity, and infrastructure. Bitcoin turns computing power into an asset, while TapeOut is attempting to turn “digital designs and computational structures” into assets. Bitcoin: Capital → ASICs → Electricity → Hashrate → BTC

Talking about the trading plan:
It is mainly intraday trading, with a relatively clear trend.
The previous surge came unexpectedly, catching both bears and bulls off guard.
Since July, we have been reminding everyone that 57K was the bottom, and have repeatedly advocated going primarily long and buying on dips.
The overall bullish direction was correct, so it should not have caused major losses for those who follow me.
The current short-term market is consolidating at high levels after a rapid rise. This type of consolidation is not suitable for trying to call the top.
If you really want to bet on a decline, try shorting after each rapid move to a new high. Timing is important for this as well.
There are several situations in which you can try to trade, but this type of left-side trading has both advantages and disadvantages. (I will not elaborate.)
My BTC plan for today is to go long on a pullback around 774-768.
Gold has experienced an hourly-level reversal. The focus should be on short positions in the near term, with a breakout to a new high serving as the invalidation.
The macro environment is currently favorable. There are no major negative factors for now. Short-term negative factors are providing opportunities for a pullback, not signaling a top or trend reversal.
The only potential negative factor this week is Fed Chair Wosh’s first speech at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting on Friday.
From a swing-trading perspective, a pullback to 73K-72K would be another opportunity to get back into BTC.
[The above is solely my personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice]
$BTC $XAU

After $BTC surged above $80,000 and then pulled back slightly, the [Garrett Jin whale entity] added 600 BTC to its long position at $79,000 in the early morning ($47.4 million). They have held the BTC long position for 3 months, reaching a maximum unrealized loss of $23 million in early July. The sharp rise over the past week brought them from an unrealized loss back to breakeven and a slight unrealized profit: they now hold a 1,868 BTC long position ($147 million), with an average price of $77,090 and an unrealized profit of $278.

Look at item 3, and then look at the altcoins; the scary thing is that Bitcoin is still in a volatile mode, and it hasn't even mentioned a 📉 thousand U pullback. I'm just playing around with a small position, what about you all?

Oil prices have crashed, BTC surged above $80k and then fell back—500 private messages came in asking why, so I’m answering everyone today
WTI crude fell more than 5% in a single day, breaking below $80. The Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen. Iran said an understanding on a temporary shipping route has been reached. The U.S. military said the mines have been cleared.
All bullish news.
So what happened?
BTC broke above $81,000 yesterday, reaching a new high since mid-May. Then it turned lower, falling below $78,000. It is now hovering around $79,000.
“Oil prices have fallen this much—why hasn’t BTC taken off?”
“A ceasefire is about to be signed—where did the safe-haven money go?”
“Should I short now?”
My answer to everyone: brother, you’ve got it backwards.
The market isn’t waiting for “good news” right now—it’s waiting for “good news to be finalized.”
What’s the difference?
Russian media said “the U.S. and Iran have reached a consensus on the terms of a ceasefire.” Iran said “it will not open immediately.” Trump is still making threats. U.S. officials said “there are currently no plans for negotiations.”
One says it’s signed, one says it isn’t, one is boasting, and one is undermining it.
This isn’t a high-certainty event. It’s a complete mess.
Oil prices are falling because the market is betting on a ceasefire. BTC isn’t rising because the market is waiting for the ceasefire to actually happen.
Betting and waiting are two different things.
What is the biggest risk at this stage?
Not choosing the wrong direction. It’s exhausting your principal before the direction becomes clear.
How chaotic is the news flow right now?
Trump said the mines have been cleared. Iran said “if the conditions and demands are not met, the strait will remain closed.” The U.S. Treasury secretary said they would launch “the largest fiscal offensive in history.” Iran said it has “its own ways to respond, including confrontation, escalation, and sanctions.”
The news from a single day can point to three completely different outcomes.
You go long? If sanctions escalate, oil prices rebound, and inflation fears return, BTC will be drained of liquidity first.
You go short? If a ceasefire is actually signed, risk appetite recovers, and liquidity improves, BTC could explode upward.
Opening leveraged positions at this stage is running naked through a meat grinder of headlines.
My strategy is simple and blunt—
First, leave the 60% spot core position untouched.
Has the medium- to long-term logic changed?
The Federal Reserve is on track to cut rates. Confidence in the U.S. dollar is weakening. ETFs are seeing massive inflows—the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.92 billion in net inflows last week, their largest weekly total since October last year. Institutions are coming back.
None of that has changed, so the core position stays untouched.
Second, wait for one of two signals from the tactical funds—
Signal A: BTC breaks through the previous high resistance level on heavy volume.
If a ceasefire is actually signed, sanctions are genuinely eased, and the market confirms that “the bad news is fully priced in”—BTC holds above $82,000 on heavy volume, then add on the breakout.
Signal B: BTC retraces to key support.
If negotiations collapse, sanctions intensify, and inflation fears return—BTC plunges into the $57,000-$58,000 range, then scale in gradually.
Whichever of the two signals comes first, execute that one.
Until then—do nothing.
One last painful truth—
BTC rose 23% this week. Did you make money or lose money?
If you chased longs above $80,000, you’re panicking now. If you shorted below $75,000, you’re panicking even more.
At this level, both bulls and bears are gambling. Gambling on the news, gambling on sentiment, gambling on what Trump will post next.
I’m not here to teach you how to trade crypto. I’m here to tell you: at this stage, staying alive is more important than making money.
Hold 60% in spot as your core position and keep 40% in cash on standby. Get back in once the direction becomes clear.#BTC回调至79000美元 #老用户1BTC回归礼 #英伟达财报周 $BTC $XAU $CL

The meme is simple. The narrative is strong
$PISTACIO is picking up serious community momentum on Solana.
CA: FZqdw6oSDCbHtKYxmhnfbi97SnyVy8jaYpdCoMrrjKa2

This chart was made on August 14. 11 days later, BTC rose from $63,000 to $80,000, and most of the projects on the list outperformed the broader market. $HYPE +50%, $PUMP +60%, $Lighter nearly +50%.
To be honest, these 11 days reinforced one thing for me. After this cycle, the filter for altcoins has changed. People used to look at narratives and sectors. Now the market is starting to ask a more direct question: Where are you spending the money you earn?

Previously, when Bitcoin plunged, it was not necessarily because its fundamentals had suddenly deteriorated. It may have been because capital found a better vehicle for its narrative: AI. “Why is capital buying Bitcoin now?” It has fallen too much, while investors are experiencing AI narrative fatigue, so capital is flowing out in search of undervalued opportunities.
In the past, Bitcoin had a very strong exclusive narrative:
Inflation hedge → Digital gold → ETF → Institutional allocation → Liquid asset
But when AI

I haven’t posted many tweets these past few days because I’ve been researching TapeOut, this new project on BSC. From minting on the first day to figuring out how to assemble mining rigs, I’ve been gradually piecing together how the entire mechanism works. To be honest, I’m not the fastest learner, so it’s taken me a while, and there are still quite a few things I don’t fully understand.
But that’s exactly why I find it so exciting. I think its mechanism design surpasses that of the inscriptions back in the day.

In the past, when dealing with overseas tools, the biggest worry was having a dirty IP and constantly triggering risk-control pop-ups. Whenever phone number verification was required, I also had to find a separate SMS verification platform. Switching back and forth was really troublesome. Recently, I came across FuseSIM, which integrates clean data, verification numbers, and multi-device eSIMs in one place. Whenever needed, everything can be handled there without having to piece together tools from different places, making things much more convenient. Official website: TG channel

Bitcoin just moved back inside the Rainbow Chart 🌈
It’s a positive sign, but holding this level matters more than the first reclaim.
Let’s see if $BTC can stay there.

When Bitcoin plunged previously, it was not necessarily because its fundamentals had suddenly deteriorated; it may have been because capital found a better narrative vehicle: AI.
“Why is capital buying Bitcoin now?” It has fallen too much, AI fatigue has set in, and capital is flowing out in search of undervalued opportunities.
In the past, Bitcoin had a very strong exclusive narrative:
Inflation hedge → digital gold → ETF → institutional allocation → liquid asset
But after AI became the new offensive asset and gold once again became the defensive asset:
* AI took over “high growth/technological revolution”
* Gold took over “safe haven/monetary credibility”
* U.S. Treasuries took over “risk-free returns”
* Bitcoin was no longer the only answer
The AI rally has gone round after round. Musk’s SpaceX casually reached a $2 trillion market cap, and when everyone looked back, they realized Bitcoin was only just over $1 trillion? That’s too cheap, right? It’s really that simple.

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TRUMP at $2.3—do you dare buy the dip?
First, on the surface: a barrage of positive news, but the price is weakening independently.
It surged 75–80% in a week, from 1.36 to 3.6, with tens of millions of dollars in short positions liquidated in a single day. Then the team sold tokens and holders took profits, sending the price back from 3.6 to 2.3, down 36%. BTC is rising, ETH is rising, and only TRUMP is falling.
The daily chart has pulled back from its highs, RSI has cooled from overbought levels, and trading volume remains active. The hype is still there, but someone is quietly making an exit.
First: the team is selling, and you may be kept in the dark.
Lookonchain monitored the Trump-related team operating through Solana liquidity pools, netting $3.39 million USDC within 10 hours while transferring large amounts of tokens to exchanges. Similar transfer and unlocking activity had also occurred previously.
The total supply is 1 billion tokens, with only 251 million (25%) in circulation. The remaining 75% will unlock over three years, leaving the team holding a massive amount of tokens.
You buy at 2.3, thinking, “It’s down 36%, so it’s cheap enough.” But what is the team’s cost? Close to zero.
Second: Eric Trump personally denied the rumor, but the market chose selective deafness.
In mid-to-late August, the White House Crypto Summit and Trump’s crypto-friendly statements, combined with rumors that a “new coin was about to be launched,” drove a 75% surge in one week. Then Eric Trump came out and said: “It’s absolutely a scam.”
The market’s reaction? Ignored it. It kept rising. The trade was all about the word “Trump.”
This coin has no fundamentals, no utility, and no revenue—only a person’s name. ATH: $75; current price: 2.3, a drawdown of more than 96%. Every surge happens because Trump says something positive, and every crash happens because the team sells tokens.
Third: a signal has emerged on the technical chart that warrants caution.
From 1.36 to 3.6, it rose 164%. The pullback to 2.3 is just over a 60% retracement of the rally—this is a typical “Fibonacci 618 support level.”
If it holds 2.2, with BTC staying above 80k, it may retest 3.0–3.5. If it breaks below 2.0, the next stop is 1.7.
Bulls and bears face off—you decide
On one side:
BTC above 80k, with the overall crypto market leaning bullish
The White House Crypto Summit and Trump’s continued popularity
The midterm elections are approaching, giving political memes a narrative premium
The rebound from 1.36 to 3.6 means the trend has turned bullish
On the other side:
The team made $3.39 million in 10 hours, and its wallets still hold a massive amount of tokens
75% remains locked, and selling pressure could hit at any time
Eric has denied the new-coin rumor, and the hype is cooling
ATH $75 → current price 2.3, with 96% of holders still underwater
Resistance above: 2.50 → 2.80 → 3.00 → 3.50–3.6
Support below: 2.20–2.25 → 2.00 → 1.70–1.8
Trading strategy
Short-term traders:
If 2.20–2.25 stabilizes with a high-volume bullish candle, cautiously go long with a small position, targeting 2.50–2.80, with a stop-loss at 2.10. If it breaks below 2.20 on high volume, cautiously short with a small position, targeting 2.00–1.80, with a stop-loss at 2.35.
Swing traders:
Wait for a pullback to 2.0–2.2 before entering, targeting 3.0–3.5, with a stop-loss below the previous low.
Risk management:
Position size ≤1–3% of total capital; this is not BTC
Always set a stop-loss; meme coins can halve at any time
Watch: team wallet movements, Trump’s posts on X, and whether BTC can hold 80k
With the midterm elections approaching, the probability of a political black swan is rising
Put simply, the TRUMP coin comes down to one sentence—
As long as Trump is on stage, it can rise; when the team sells, it has to fall. You profit from the hype and lose by becoming exit liquidity.
At 2.3, do you dare to bet?
The TRUMP coin
Do you think it can return to 3.5 before the midterm elections?#BTC突破81000美元 #老用户重回瓜分1BTC #质押ALIGN瓜分千万代币 $BTC $ETH $TRUMP

This could be the next major event!

The unfortunate reality is that important market events do not always occur during traditional trading hours. Fu Peng believes that the value of 24/7 trading lies not in trading continuously, but in giving traders more time to respond or manage risk when the market unexpectedly changes. Vantage 24/7 Trading provides traders with more flexible trading hours in applicable markets. Watch more Vantage Markets content:

Guys, stop pretending—you haven’t seen how fast BSC Chinese memes can create wealth? Miss one and you’ll be kicking yourself! First came “牛来,” turning hundreds of thousands into tens of millions in just a few days. How many people are still slapping their thighs and saying, “If only I’d known”? Now the true successor—$肥嘟嘟—has arrived with a ticket to Gate Alpha’s HOT sector!

Can you stomach SNDK at $1,510?
First, the surface: blood in the streets, with retail investors panic-selling.
On August 24, SNDK closed at $1,493.12, plunging 6.45%. The intraday low was $1,416, down nearly 40% from the June ATH of $2,354. It has fallen 11.6% in 7 days. The price has dropped below the 50 EMA ($1,510), while the 200 EMA is still at $1,067, far below. RSI is neutral at 49.63, and MACD remains positive but is starting to flatten. The long-term trend remains intact, but the short-term market is undergoing an aggressive shakeout.
First: earnings were explosive, but the market chose to ignore them.
On August 5, SNDK released its Q4 FY2026 earnings report: revenue of $8.97 billion, up 372% year over year and 51% quarter over quarter. Non-GAAP EPS was $39.25, beating market expectations by 14.63%. Gross margin was 84.6%. Data center revenue was $2.98 billion, up 103% quarter over quarter.
The results were spectacular, yet the stock fell from $2,350 to $1,500.
Why? Because the market is always trading on “expectations.” On the day earnings beat expectations, the stock fell 9% directly in pre-market trading—the classic “sell the news” script.
Second: Wall Street is collectively bullish, while retail investors are taking losses.
On August 14, JPMorgan upgraded SNDK from “Neutral” to “Overweight,” with a price target of $2,250. Goldman Sachs has a $2,200 price target. Bernstein’s price target is $3,000.
Of 25 analysts, 22 have given it a “Buy” or “Strong Buy” rating. The median consensus price target is above $2,100.
Sound familiar? Institutions are talking it up while retail investors panic-sell at a loss. It is the same familiar formula again.
Third: a technical signal has emerged that must be taken seriously.
Yesterday, the stock bounced after dropping to $1,416, showing that buyers are indeed stepping in around the $1,400–$1,450 zone. The 4-hour chart formed a hammer candle with a particularly long lower shadow, dipping to $1,420 before recovering.
But the resistance is also clear: the 50 EMA at $1,510 is the first hurdle, while $1,560–$1,600 is a stronger resistance zone. Reclaiming it will not be easy.
You decide in the battle between bulls and bears
On one side:
Q4 revenue surged 372%, with EPS of $39.25, beating expectations by 14%
8 long-term contracts with a minimum value of $93.9 billion
JPMorgan at $2,250, Goldman Sachs at $2,200, and Bernstein at $3,000
22 of 25 analysts are bullish
A high-volume rebound in the $1,400–$1,450 zone, with a hammer signaling a potential bottom
On the other side:
Down nearly 40% from $2,350 to $1,500
Perpetual futures open interest evaporated 30% in one week
U.S. Treasury yields at elevated levels are pressuring high-beta technology stocks
The memory sector is under broad pressure, with MU down 6.2% over the same period
The $1,560–$1,600 resistance zone is extremely strong, and the short-term structure is weak
Resistance above: $1,510 (50 EMA) → $1,560–$1,600 → $1,700–$1,800 → $2,350 (ATH)
Support below: $1,450–$1,485 → $1,400 (the bulls’ lifeline) → $1,300 → $1,100–$1,200
Trading strategy
Short-term traders:
Wait for a pullback to $1,450–$1,485 to cautiously open a long position, with a stop-loss below $1,400. The first target is $1,510–$1,560, and the second target is $1,600–$1,700. If it breaks below $1,400 on high volume, exit decisively.
Swing traders:
Wait for a high-volume daily close reclaiming $1,560–$1,600 before entering on the right side, with a target above $1,800. If it breaks below $1,400, switch short and target $1,300.
Long-term believers:
Accumulate in batches in the $1,400–$1,500 zone. The “shovel seller” logic for AI memory remains unchanged, and $93.9 billion in contracts has locked in revenue for the next few years. The consensus 2027 price target is above $2,000.
SNDK now looks just like NVDA at the end of 2022—
99% of people thought “the AI bubble is about to burst,” but it went on to rise fivefold.
The day it reclaims $1,600, you will realize:
It was never that SNDK was incapable—it was that you kept selling at the bottom every time.
What is your SNDK cost basis?
At $1,510, do you dare buy the dip? #BTC突破81000美元 #老用户重回瓜分1BTC #质押ALIGN瓜分千万代币 $BTC $SNDK $SKHY

The only chain that has felt like a bull market lately: Robin Hood Its advantages include # a token listing channel foreigners with deep pockets Chinese people can’t understand it.

SOL at $98—are you chasing it?
Look at the surface first: a violent rally, with retail investors rushing in due to FOMO.
It was still at $70 a week ago, and now it has touched $100, up more than 40%. The daily RSI is generally at 85-88, extremely overbought. 24-hour trading volume is $4-7 billion, with a clear surge in volume. The candlesticks tell you: the weekly chart has broken through the 81-90 resistance zone, confirming the bullish structure. A strong trend is established, but the short term is scorching hot.
First thing: ETF money is flowing in with real capital, not just empty talk.
The cumulative net inflow into U.S. spot SOL ETFs has broken the $1.2 billion record, with the highest single-day inflow exceeding $33 million. Bitwise BSOL has the largest share, and its trading volume has hit a new high.
SOL is now replicating the ETF playbook of BTC and ETH. Institutional buying is providing real bottom support—something retail FOMO cannot compare with. It is the same story: BTC went from $40k to $70k, ETH from $2,000 to $4,000, and now it is SOL's turn.
Second thing: the double-deflation vote—this is the real trump card.
Validators are voting on SGP-0002 and SGP-0003, with the deadline at 15:30 UTC on August 27.
SGP-0002: Issue approximately 18.9 million fewer SOL over the next six years, equivalent to double deflation
SGP-0003: Daily burns will surge from approximately 650 SOL to 7,500-9,000 SOL, increasing more than tenfold
Reduced supply + surging burns = a reversal in supply and demand. If the vote passes, SOL's scarcity will move directly to the next level.
Third thing: the technical chart has produced a signal that must be taken seriously.
The weekly chart has cleanly broken through the 81-90 resistance zone, with volume confirmation and the bullish structure established. But with the daily RSI at 85-88, this is a classic combination of a "strong trend + overheating."
At $100, SOL is repeatedly testing the level. Will it punch straight through to $110-115, or pull back to $94-96 or even $90 to build momentum again?
Bulls and bears face off—you decide
On one side:
Cumulative spot ETF inflows have broken $1.2 billion, backed by real institutional capital
The double-deflation vote has a high probability of passing, and the supply shock narrative is gaining momentum
Weekly breakout + volume confirmation, with the bullish structure established
Network performance continues to improve (slot time 350ms → target 200ms), while RWA has surpassed $4 billion
On the other side:
Daily RSI at 85-88, extremely overbought
Repeated tests of the psychological $100 level, with heavy profit-taking pressure
The Jackson Hole speech could be hawkish, and the macro outlook contains uncertainties
If the vote unexpectedly fails, sentiment could reverse violently
Resistance above: 100-103.5 → 105-110 → 115+ (Fib extension)
Support below: 94-96 → 90 → 78-80 (former resistance turned support)
Trading strategy
Short-term traders:
Wait for a pullback to 94-96 and go long after stabilization, with a stop-loss at 90 and targets of 103.5→110. If it holds above 103.5 with increased volume, chase the long, with a stop-loss below 100 and targets of 110-115.
Conservative traders:
Patiently wait for a pullback to the 90 area, then build positions in batches after seeing stabilization with increased volume. This is the entry method with the optimal risk-reward ratio. Stop-loss below 88, with the same targets.
Short sellers:
Only if there is clear stalling near 102-105 (long upper wick + shrinking volume), cautiously try a short position with a small allocation, stop-loss above 105, and targets of 98-96.
Core mid- to long-term logic:
If the vote passes on August 27 + ETF inflows continue, SOL's medium-term target could reach the previous high or even higher. Reassess if it breaks below 80. Spot holders should set a trailing take-profit and avoid being shaken out.
SOL now looks just like it did when it broke through $80 at the end of 2023—
99% of people thought "it has gone up too much and needs a pullback," but after a 15% pullback, it went straight to 200+.
On the day 103.5 breaks through, you will realize:
It was never that SOL was incapable—it was that you hesitated at the bottom and FOMOed at the top every time.
Tell me in the comments: What is your SOL cost basis?
At $98, do you dare chase it?#BTC突破81000美元 #老用户重回瓜分1BTC #质押ALIGN瓜分千万代币 $BTC $ETH $SOL