Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Recently, Grayscale has been selling Bitcoin, the last 4 days have sold 10467 BTC, no wonder every time Bitcoin rises to more than 67500, there will be a rise and fall, it turned out to be this bad old man's ghost, Grayscale still holds 412,000 Bitcoin, from January 11 Bitcoin ETF approved to the present, it has sold a total of 206,000 BTC, accounting for 33.3% of the total position

Make a bold prediction: in this bull market, the peak price range of BTC should be 17.8w-22.24w dollars!
At its peak in December 2017, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry was $535.5 billion.
At its peak in November 2021, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry was $2.62 trillion.
From its peak in 2017 to its peak in 2021, the market value of the entire industry has increased by 4.89 times.
With the advancement and development of ETFs and global crypto compliance, cryptocurrencies will gradually become one of the options for mainstream asset allocation.
If the peak market capitalization growth of this bull market is expected to be between 3.2-4 times, the total crypto market capitalization is expected to be between 8.38 trillion and 10.48 trillion.
Predicted the total market capitalization of the crypto industry, continue to disassemble the market capitalization percentage:
In December 2017, BTC accounted for 43.28%, ETH accounted for 15.05%, USDT accounted for 0.25%, BNB accounted for 0.07%, XRP accounted for 3.28%, and others accounted for 7.04%.
In November 2021, BTC accounted for 41.62%, ETH accounted for 19.32%, USDT accounted for 2.68%, BNB accounted for 3.34%, XRP accounted for 2.00%, and others accounted for 15.62%.
It should be noted that the proportion of BTC was relatively stable at its peak, remaining at about 42.45%, which can predict the market value of BTC in the range of 3.55 trillion to 4.48 trillion US dollars.
The corresponding price range of BTC is: 17.8w-22.24w USD.
In addition, you can also follow this method to capture the top 100 projects in market capitalization during the peak period of December 2017 and November 2021 for summary + statistics respectively, and get the average market value proportion of the top 100 projects, and then you can get the approximate market value data of the top 100 projects in this round of bull market:
Forecast TOP10: $961-$120 billion
Forecast TOP20: $357-44.6 billion
Forecast TOP30: $232-28.9 billion
Forecast TOP40: $15.7-19.6 billion
Forecast TOP50: $117-14.6 billion
Forecast TOP60: 92-11.5 billion US dollars
Forecast TOP70: 7.1-8.8 billion US dollars
Forecast TOP80: $5.2-5.6 billion
Forecast TOP90: $40-5 billion
Forecast TOP100: $3.7-4.6 billion
To sum up:
1. It's still early days, there are many opportunities, don't be anxious. Look more at the market capitalization, less at the gains;
2. $1 billion, $5 billion, and $10 billion are the three hurdles, and finding potential projects that can enter the market value of $10 billion will basically squeeze into the TOP50 in this round of bull market.
3. Among the TOP50 market capitalization projects, core tracks such as AI, DEPIN, GAMEFI, MEME, RWA, L1, and L2 will be distributed.
Remember: look for certainty, look for high odds, find new narratives;
4. In each cycle, about 67% of the top 100 projects in market value will be replaced. That is to say, there are 67 of them, which may still be after the TOP100, and they will look for more back, with greater chances and greater odds.
5. I hope that in this new cycle, you will step on 10 times more coins and achieve financial freedom as soon as possible!

Brothers, let's get into the blockchain gaming sector, take the lead, embrace new coins, it seems like the current prices are all around 0.73, let's do it!

This round of cottage cattle:
1. This round of BTC is indeed bottoming out in December 22, at the starting point of the big cycle. ETH bottomed out in June '22 and began to rise; The big coin enters an upward cycle.
2. In May '23, the Bitcoin ecology and meme fell in the first wave, and then fell violently.
3. In October 23, AI, Depin, Bitcoin ecology, DA, modular, and monomer chains began to fully blossom.
4. At the beginning of February 24, the meme began to explode again. The law of this round of copycats
Summarize:
1. The first wave of the copycat bull market is often a track start. 1-2 like this.
2. The second wave of cottage cattle is often the gathering of new tracks to start flowering.
3. After the emergence of the market wealth effect, the meme that had been silent for a long time began to pull the plate.
4. This round of copycat cattle, after the launch of Bitcoin, the copycat started too early and too urgently. The funds are also impulsive, and the cottages are precocious.

【Boiled frog in warm water】
Sincerely:
For brothers who have already come up with empty positions, don't worry if you have little money
Be patient and wait for the opportunity to insert the pin, and be sure to seize the opportunity to insert the pin
That's your best chance to get in the car
Think the other way around: the current rise of high-quality tokens is to bet on copycat bulls, and now there are no copycat bulls like 21 years, no one has a score
Therefore, the best strategy is to look for some high-quality tokens, keep an eye on the pin opportunities, and hang 15%-25%-35% of the pin opportunities in batches
Believe me, there must still be a chance to insert a pin, I'm really afraid of stepping into the empty position to satisfy myself!

The meme exploded with tears in his eyes, pepe took the lead first, and then the dog 🐶doge, 💩shib, floki, these are simply breaking the sky, the characteristics of meme is that there is no pressure, only emotion, and the air force that looks at the pressure to short in the middle is estimated to go back in advance to pick up bottles and prepare for the next round of the market. Recently, it has been a general rise in the market, and even the ancient monsters BCH, BSV, EOS, and LTC have pulled the market. BCH LTC: This was said in the analysis of grayscale at that time, along with LPT ETC. The current situation is that the bottom of the low chips to find an opportunity to out of the principal on the line, as for chasing high and the like, pay attention to timely take profit, now those pull the plate more, any K line is ten points up and down, to say that to ten points of stop loss chasing that kind of currency may be arranged in minutes and go up, I wish you a lot of money.
#ContentStar #比特币

How can the average person outperform 99 percent in a bull market?
The first day of the bull market: so fresh, so happy, so exciting;
Day 2 of the bull market: a little anxious, a little tired, a little upset;
Day 10 of the bull market: very anxious, very tired, very annoying;
Day 100 of the bull market: full, rushed, dry,
Day 101 of the bull market: Gray swan 🦢, despair begins.
Day 105 of the bull market: The Jedi counterattacks, the bull market breaks new highs again, and the second round of the bull market is even more fierce!

It is very important to seize the opportunity in the bull market, you must want to know how to make 1 million U with 10,000U, provided that you have luck, courage, technology, and psychology
1. Luck: If you don't have luck in this process, okay! Then all your strength is useless! In the process of 10,000U-1,000,000U, luck is undoubtedly important!
2. Courage: In this process, if you don't have the consciousness of 125X, it is impossible for you to succeed! Basically, there is no spot that can make you 100 times!
3. Technology: Although I think 100 times the journey, technology does not play a big role, but it can still help you avoid a lot of unnecessary mistakes and losses!
4. Psychology: I believe that in the process of 10,000 times the journey, every moment is exciting, breathtaking! You need to have a strong psychological quality support, so as not to let you make a wrong decision! Achieve 10,000 times? It must be a miracle in 100 wan, so we have to look in the mirror, whether we are qualified to defeat the qualifications of 999,999 people!

Summarizing the performance of the last round of bull market copycats in the pie breaking new highs, let you realize how rapid and concentrated the rise is.
$CHZ : 30-fold increase in one month from February to March 2021
$JOE : 60x increase in two weeks in August 2021
$HOT: 35x increase in 2 months from February to March 2021
$THETA's market capitalization rose from $1 billion to $12 billion in 3 months
$AXS's market capitalization rose from $200 million to $10 billion in 5 months, and its FDV peaked at $43 billion
$RUNE's market capitalization grew from $200 million to nearly $5 billion in 5 months
$AAVE: 6-fold increase in one month in January 2021
$SUSHI: 6-fold increase in one month in January 2021
$THETA's market capitalization rose from $1 billion to $12 billion in 3 months
In January 2021, $DOGE rose nearly 10x in a single day, when it was already a billion-dollar token
The experience of the old leeks who have experienced three rounds of bull markets, in history, the copycats were also slow at the beginning of the bull, and ETH will lead the group after BTC opens the price ceiling, breaking through the high before 69,000, which is the starting point of the copycat bull market
Most copycats underperformed the pie during Bitcoin's rally in late 2020 until early 2021
In the last bull run, from January to May 2021 and then from August to November. The market is in a "only up, not down". Most of the cottage's earnings are concentrated in these few months.
Buying coins may focus on AI and games
New public chain, Bitcoin ecology, RWA, Depin
The oracle track, the 7 major sections of MeMe
#热门话题 Bitcoin#

How can Ordi, which everyone has, maximize profits?
Straight to the answer, for the general manager, Ordi Sats is the best to do the T mark!
First of all, I would like to emphasize one thing, the reason why I am reluctant to hoard coins and hold positions with Ordi and Sats in the inscription plate is that I personally explain the following points.
First: I like to insert the yang needle, that is, to leave the upper shadow line repeatedly, what does this mean, two possibilities, one is that the upward resistance is large, and there are still many floating chips in the profit plate, or it may be that the dealer repeatedly washes the plate, leading to do T, and then sucks at a low price. Either way, it's good for us to do bands.
Second: during the consolidation period, it is often to take advantage of the momentum to rise rather than subjective pulling, and to pull the market many times by taking advantage of BTC and other benefits and the logic of making up for the rise.
Third: the market sentiment is good, easy to be driven, if the western meme and pepe are emotional disks, then the best emotional disks in the east are ordi and sats, not afraid of mountainside quilts
Based on the above three points, I have repeatedly made a lot of profits with my friends, and the above points are welcome to discuss, and finally I hope that the inscription plate will break out again in the second half of this year, ushering in a real spring!

The market will always move in the direction of least stress, there is no difference between betting on the trend and guessing the size, and no amount of technical analysis is useless. It is enough to look at the candlestick and some basic things.
Technical analysis is actually not difficult, it is enough to remember this passage: if the trend is upward, it will continue to rise, if the trend is down, it will continue to fall, if it rises a lot, but there are few pullbacks, it will rise higher, and if it falls a lot, but only rebounds a little, it will continue to fall.
The larger the cycle, the more effective.
If you understand this, you will understand the core laws of technical analysis.

A few big events in March:
On March 7, Powell spoke before the Senate Banking Committee$avgo;
On March 8, the U.S. unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls data for February;
March 12, US CPI data for February;
March 15, the Day of the Four Witches;
March 18, NVIDIA GTC conference;
On March 21, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Powell spoke;
March 29, US core PCE data for February
Failure to meet expectations in any of these events will cause greater market volatility

With the correct posture of the small broad:
1. The B circle rises and falls at the same time, and the rise in the bull market does not need value support, only a reason to rise;
2. Don't talk about faith with cottages, cut meat when you should cut it;
3. Time is a friend of BTC, but an enemy of altcoins;
4. The value of Shanzhai is based on continuous innovation, once innovation stagnates, the value will collapse, and the value of BTC is based on its immutability.
5. The only ones suitable for trading on the left side are BTC and ETH, and the biggest risk of copycats is zeroing;
6. At the beginning of a wave of bull market, only BTC is healthy, so first build a position in the pie ether, do not step short when it rises, and are not afraid of being covered when it falls;
7. Cottages are defenseless;
8. If you don't increase your position, position management is very important - you can test the light position, and then increase the position sharply after the rise, so it is difficult to play without losing money;
9. The position of bits and ether cannot be less than half;
10. To play cottages, take the initiative to step into the air, take the initiative to sell flying,
11. Fall in one place and get up in another place - lose money here, earn it back in another place;
12. The biggest cost after the quilt cover is the opportunity cost;
13. The core of playing copycat is to be able to sell;
14. Eat only three points full, the fish head and tail are not so delicious, leave it to the dealer, and wait for the dragon head to run out before eating the fish maw with high certainty;
15. Playing cottages must be light, heavy positions make a bad mentality, mentality destroys the operation, and the operation leads to losing money.

How to choose high-quality projects that will not be absent from the big bull market:
We try to choose as many deterministic tracks as possible, and there are still a lot of high-quality projects.
Such as AI, RWA, SOL, bitcoin ecology, chain games, modularization, oracles, etc., these are all high-quality tracks.
If you have your own investment logic, a good trading system, and in-depth research on the industry, you can choose 1-2 leading projects to participate in each track.
Or it is also a good choice to deeply cultivate a track, study a track thoroughly, participate in early projects, and win excess returns.
You can't see this rise today, your currency has not risen, you have to cut the meat and change the position, tomorrow the one rises and change the position, and the frequent adjustment of the position can only be no profit in the end, but also a loss, which seriously affects the mentality!

There are 10 iron rules of investment in the currency circle

1. If you lose money, it is either a problem of cognition (lack of cognition, cognitive bias), or a problem of monetization (motivation problem, behavior bias), or a disagreement between knowledge and action
2. If you are playing the air coin that chases the rise and falls, don't imagine that it can change the world, it is an illusion that you ignite, shine a little shorter.
3. If you invest in Bitcoin, don't just look at the minute line, look at the larger cycle, and look at the big picture of the phenomenon from 2 anomalies to 69,000 from 2011 to 2021.
4. Before 1000w, you can speculate and pursue high returns, after 1000w, what you need is investment. Speculation sits in fast in and fast out, and investment is placed with compound interest.
5. It is difficult for many people to cross the gap between speculation and investment, once they have experienced the stimulation of fast in and fast out, it is difficult to adapt to the loss of making money slowly, and they will eventually be
6. The best investment is to invest in yourself. If you have cognition, you can make money without money, and if you have money, you can lose money without cognition.
7. The bull market investment trend makes profits flow, and the pattern is enlarged.
8. If you lose money and turn the lost money into cognition, it is worth counting. As long as you recognize it, the daughter will come back.
9. Focus on what doesn't change, so that you can be explicit. The price of Bitcoin is changing, but its underlying logic has not changed, and Bitcoin's innovative way of storing value has not changed.
10. Invest with the trend, but think backwards. When the market peaks and bottoms, there are almost no bears in market sentiment, and when it bottoms, there are almost no bulls in market sentiment.

It did not stabilize for a short time
The contract rush must be held back first
The bulls are not over, but the obstacles must be cleared first
There are many pins in the bull market, and the pins are only connected to the mainstream and the faucet
If you don't insert a needle tonight, you'll see the bottom
If it is plugged in again, it will take 4 hours to die ❌
There are more than 60888 and 3368 points with fate
Sol hangs 118 more
(From 21 years of fear of being inserted)

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I'm sorry, I've posted less recently, like it and come back!
Gn

The Bull Market is coming, the major sectors must be clear, today take a moment to give you statistics, of course, my statistics are the mainstream
1. MEME COIN SECTOR
shib，doge，pepe，floki，doge，bonk
2.AI plates
agix，fet，wld，ai，nmr
3. Public chain plate
eth，sol，matic，ftm，ada， avax，dot，atom
3. Layer 2 plate
op，arb，metis，imx，manta，egld，mnt
4.2024 Halving Sector
bch，bsv，zec，zen，btg
5. Gamefi plate
sand，mana， gala，enj，ron，pixel，ace，ilv，magic
6. Oracle Machine Plate
link，api3，trb，band
7. Payment Concept Section
mob，ach，xlm，celo
8. Inscription plates
ordi，rats，sats
9. Storage plate
fil，ar，storj，blz
10. DeFi Plate
aave，comp，rdnt，crv，mkr，avax，dydx
11. NFT Plate
blur，x2y2，looks，dego
12. Modular plates
tia，dym，alt，manta
13. Sports Sector
chz，santos，por，city，og
There are a lot of statistics, if you want to add, please write in the comment area
Let's bookmark it

GM 2024 03 05
1) Market Trend:
BTC soared 10% in a single day, and if it breaks through the previous high, it may burst into short fireworks. The BTC dominance rate reached 55%, the AltCoin was sucked blood, and this week except for the meme narrative basically underperformed.
U.S. stocks fell as markets awaited the non-farm payrolls data.
2) Market Hotspots:
1. MEME's pepe, bonk, shib, milo and other collectives rose sharply, and bonk broke a record high. But second-tier memes began to take the lead in adjusting.
2. BTC inscriptions RATS, MICE, etc. rose sharply, and the CKB of BTC L2 rose sharply. RATS are animal memes for BTC. However, Brother Sun entered the field to make inscriptions and BTC L2, and the future prospects are unknown.
3. AI's ARKM, AR, WLD and other collectives fell, and the AI sector, which was on fire in the early stage, began to adjust after three consecutive weeks of rise, and the AI market was half a month ahead of MEME.

Popular meme coins. The essence of PEPE is a meme coin, everyone should be clear. IN FACT, DOGE, SHIB, FLOKI, SATS ARE THE SAME. You can all step up. Bitcoin and Ethereum can occasionally play with leverage. Bitcoin and Ethereum are great, but don't despise meme coins. A good grasp of meme coins can also make a big profit!
Once DOGEE, SHIB, let a small group of people wealth freedom. The Crypto World needs to put aside prejudice and embrace new things. PEPE Coin continues to hit new highs!
It is estimated that the PEPE coin will continue to rise to new highs in the future, and even more than five times, becoming a popular meme coin in this round of Bull Market.

Pepe's all-time high has been achieved! Quadruple increase! Shib doubled! The miracle created by the last round of shib:
2020: Plummeting all the way ......
ON AUGUST 1, ENTER THE SHIB AND INVEST 1000U
On August 31, it fell by 50% and there was still 550U left
From September 30 to December 31, it fell again by 99.9...%
Down1.96 U ......
The market is full of scolding, questioning, scams...
In 2021, it has been exploding...
The original result of buying 1000U without cutting loss:
January 31, 19607U
March 31, 98039U
April 30 3725490U
May 31 17254901U
June 30 16274509U
July 31, 12352941U
August 31, 14117647U
September 30, 13921568U
By October 8th, 55490196 U
From 1000U at the beginning to 55490196U at the end
Start 1000×6.5=6500 yuan
At the end of the day 55490196× 6.5 = $360686274
Invest 6,500 yuan to 360 million yuan
You never know what tomorrow will bring.