Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Unveiling the Theft U Deception Industry Chain
It takes five minutes to deposit 500,000 U.S. dollars into a bank, but clicking on the stolen U-link takes less than one second to disappear.
Now scammers in China are upgrading from traditional telecom fraud to virtual currency fraud. Hello everyone, today I will reveal the complete chain of theft and fraud.
First of all, we need to understand what 'daou' means. Simply put, it refers to the act of stealing or transferring USDT from others' digital wallets using various means. So why do scammers target USDT for theft and fraud? The reason is simple: virtual currencies are not protected by Chinese law. When victims report the case domestically, many police officers are unaware of what USDT is. Some police officers will directly inform you that it is not protected by law and will not initiate an investigation. Therefore, victims often have no choice but to accept their misfortune.
Now I will reveal the top 3 most common types of eyewash that are currently deceiving the most people, which are QR code theft, clipboard virus, and fake Wallet. If there are more eyewash, feel free to share the revelations in the comments section below.
Let's start with the first type. The QR code contract authorizes the theft of U. The most common scenario is that scammers send you a QR code during a transaction, asking you to scan it. This is not a transfer, but a Smart Contract that controls your Wallet. Moreover, all QR code transfer requests that prompt you to transfer to a third party are fraudulent. When we analyze this stolen U QR code, it resolves to a third-party redirect link. A normal QR code resolves to a transfer Address. This kind of eyewash often appears with newbies, who often think that virtual currency means high returns with no risk, and they are easily fooled by a few words from scammers. After being scammed, they often thank the scammer.
The second type is clipboard virus, usually scammers will send you some Trojan virus files, the names of these Trojan virus files are very suggestive. But as long as you download and open them, any transfer link you copy in the future will become his. Just like this, even though I copied the last three digits as 123, it turned into 567 when pasted. So everyone must not click on download links and files randomly, which can avoid these problems.
The last and also the most high-incidence area of fraud is the fake Wallet theft area. Because Cold Wallets are all Open Source, it is relatively simple to counterfeit one. And this kind of eyewash is usually a chain scam that newbies cannot see through at all, because the high returns promised by scammers have already fooled the newbies into actively downloading the fake Wallet. There is no problem with the small amount transfers in the early stage of the fake Wallet. But once a large amount is deposited into your Wallet, the fake Wallet will directly block your account, asking you to pay the so-called Margin for unfreezing, and then it transforms from a scam to a Ponzi scheme. Until you have emptied your entire savings and have no money left to pay the deposit, will you realize that you have been deceived. But by then, it's already too late.
So, in the end, I also remind everyone not to believe in the so-called overnight wealth. Before you are attracted by the high returns of virtual currency, scammers may have targeted your principal. Well, that's all for this issue. If this article is helpful to you, please support it with a like, comment, and share. More updates on eyewash will be continued.
#BTC

Professional traders only focus on three things every day;
1. Pondering the situation.
Trend is the tendency and law of the development of things. Masters are good at observing and analyzing the development trends of society, industry, and even the world, and they layout in advance and act in accordance with the trend. They can keenly capture subtle changes in the fields of economy, technology, culture, etc., and thus decisively intervene and occupy advantageous positions when the trend first appears.
2. Pondering people.
People are the core of all social activities. Masters understand the psychology, needs, and behavioral patterns of people. Whether they are partners, competitors, or customers, they can accurately perceive their motivations and intentions, so as to communicate and interact with them effectively. Through effective communication and collaboration with various individuals, resources can be integrated and optimized.
3. Pondering the Way.
Dao, that is, the essence and underlying logic of things. Experts constantly pursue a deep understanding of the essence of things and see through the phenomena. When facing complex problems, they can quickly sort out their thoughts, grasp the key points, and find the fundamental methods to solve the problems. At the same time, pondering the Dao enables them to adhere to their inner principles and values when facing temptations and confusion, not being deceived by appearances, and making wise and far-sighted decisions.
#BTC

On April 8th, crypto world knew early:
1. $BTC Liquidity is generally poor, and the escape from US stocks has just begun! Fluctuations will be even greater next week! Don't rush in the short term, and don't rush to catch the bottom of altcoins!
Don't worry about the ones you already hold, there's limited space to go down!
BTC Spot ETF net outflow amount is 237 million US dollars, net asset ratio reached 4.63%;
2. $ETH continues to follow, the entire #Ethereum system has collapsed, related items such as $LDO $SSV $ETHFI have all been numb;
The net outflow of ETH Spot ETF is $54.27 million;
3. $SOL, as the market continues to decline, has already fallen by as much as 27%. It is normal for it to rise and fall frequently. SOL is expected to continue to fluctuate, and there are still opportunities in the future.
4. Amber Group: Currently holding 3 million ZKX, ZKX ceased operations without prior communication;
Both ZKX investors and market makers were surprised by the suspension and did not receive any prior notice;
5. Harris hopes to stick to the plan to debate Trump on September 10 on ABC.
Trump: Reached a protocol with Fox News, will debate with Harris on September 4th;
6. @cellulalifegame BitCell Non-fungible Token was minted in full on August 3rd, with a total of 3066 tokens, and fortunately, all of them were minted within one Block Height.
7. The total Market Cap of Stable Coins has decreased by 0.33% over the past week;
8.10x Research: If the US economy deteriorates, BTC may fall below $50,000;
He often counterpoints!
Paxos released the June transparency report on PAXG: the reserve gold increased slightly to 185,852.614 troy ounces:
10. Santiment: This decline is similar to the decline in early July, but there is currently no same Buy the Dips enthusiasm;
I saw a lot of Large Investors close all positions Cut Loss! It's good. Maybe he is right in the short term. The long-term trend will Miss Out in line with the Market Maker's Whipsaw purpose.
#BTC

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Intel's poor financial report big dump 27% AI sector has no short-term opportunity
Intel's financial report data is disappointing, the main points are:
Q2 Performance:
Revenue: $12.83 billion, a decrease of 1% year-on-year, lower than expected. EPS: Adjusted earnings per share of $0.02, a year-on-year decrease of 85%, far below expectations. Gross margin: 38.7%, lower than expected 43.6%.
Q3 Guidance:
Revenue forecast: $12.5 billion to $13.5 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.9% to 11.2%.
EPS forecast: expected loss of 0.03 dollars, gross margin forecast: 38%, a significant decrease from last year.
Strategic Adjustment:
Layoffs: plans to lay off about 15,000 people, accounting for 15% of the total number of employees, with the majority to be completed within this year. Cost reduction: plans to cut costs by $10 billion by 2025. Capital expenditure: Capital expenditure is expected to decrease by 20% in 2024, to $25 billion to $27 billion.
Dividend adjustment:
Suspension of dividend payments: Dividend payments will be suspended from the fourth quarter of 2024, marking the first time since 1992.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released data showing that the non-farm employment population in the United States rose by 114,000 in July, the lowest level since December 2020, the previous value
For 206,000 people, a significant decrease
The US unemployment rate for July was 4.3%, expected to be 4.1%, and the previous value was 4.1%.
#BTC #比特币

The glory of the Bull Market is like the rising sun, ready to shine on every corner of the encryption world! In the depths of the market, a thrilling Whipsaw drama is unfolding, where the players use the world as their stage.
Every Whipsaw feels like the calm before the storm, leaving hearts hanging in the air, both anticipating and fearful. But remember, this is not the prelude to doomsday, but the deepest and most magnificent darkness before dawn!
And at this moment, the upcoming rate cut storm in September by the Federal Reserve has added a touch of color to this Bull Market feast. This is not just an adjustment of monetary policy, but also a catalyst for market sentiment. It will be like the first ray of sunshine in spring, penetrating the cold of winter, awakening the dormant earth, and bringing about a revival of all things, full of vitality.
Standing at this historic moment, although it may seem chaotic and confusing, my heart is filled with infinite longing and belief in the future. Because we know that the darkest moment often heralds the coming of light.
#BTC

How to view the current situation in the crypto world
1. Now the crypto world is losing the patience of retail investors and lacks significant incremental funds.
2. Due to the Fed's interest rate hike and stricter regulations, the previous large funds
Basically it's mainly from the old American bank, now it's basically gone, plus the overall economic downturn, institutions are also not well-off.
3. The domestic regulation is still strict, and the domestic project party can only behave with their tail between their legs.
4, there are not many innovative things in the crypto world, and there is not enough breakthrough new things coming out, basically it's the same old thing in a new bottle. The opportunity for retail investors is still on-chain, and there is not enough incremental capital, which leads to insufficient sustainability in the profit-making effect, making it very difficult to cultivate retail investor Consensus.
5. In this case, Americans need to re-perform point shaving to increase market liquidity.
To attract institutional funds from more channels into this market, it is necessary for Hong Kong to truly open up its policies on funding, gather consensus, and cultivate everyone's consensus. This requires ETH to continue optimizing on-chain transaction fees.
6. Last year was relatively difficult, but unexpectedly, this year is even tougher. Retail investors have suffered heavy losses from airdrops or buying altcoins, and holding spot positions has also shrunk by 60%-90%. The market will only become active again when the US starts cutting interest rates.
7. This is the trend and rhythm of the bull and bear market cycles in the crypto world to come. Looking good for the fourth quarter, once this is grasped, there should be basically no problem. The rest is a matter of faith in the crypto world!
#BTC #GateioInto11

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Accurately predict the bottom and catch the bottom for a big win!
Yesterday's analysis pointed out that the intraday support level was 62400. If you saw it and followed me to open a Maker order at 62400 with a stop loss at 62000 (previously said to open a Maker order with a stop loss of $400), then you must have accurately caught the bottom. The lowest point in the middle of the night was about 62300. When you woke up in the morning, you saw the price above 65000. The 15-minute Candlestick chart was already falling, so you quickly took profit at market price and gained 2700 points.
Earn money while sleeping, truly achieving passive income.
Today's analysis: From the candlestick chart perspective, the 1-hour timeframe is still in a pump trend, but is about to enter a downtrend. The 4-hour timeframe has entered a pump trend, while the 12-hour timeframe is still in a downtrend and is about to enter a pump trend. The daily candlestick chart is still in a downtrend. The intraday resistance level is 66300, with the support level at 63300.

How can ordinary people improve themselves in the crypto world?
1. The most important thing is to improve your cognition. You didn't come here to take a gamble and run away. You came here to be a growth-minded sucker, so it's very important to live, forever and ever. Don't let yourself die after just one gamble.
2. Learn the basic investment concepts, not just candlestick charts like K-line. It's about the basic logic of investing. How to play in the Primary Market, how to play in the Secondary Market, why you shouldn't chase rising prices or sell with a bearish market, etc.
3, learn from others' excellent investment frameworks and learn to establish your own investment framework. Invest according to the investment framework, knowing where to win and where to lose.
4, learn to control your own Position, establish your own moat Position, so that you can survive in the Bear Market.
5, learn to control your mentality. When you can control your mentality, the clouds will clear and the wind will be light, which signifies that you have grown.
#BTC #GateioInto11

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech on August 1, 2024! Important points summarized:
1. Fed Chair Powell follows a dual mandate, striving to restore the inflation rate to the 2% target
2. The labor market has become more balanced, with consumption slowing down but still steady
3. The data shows that the labor market has returned to pre-pandemic levels, with inflation slightly above the 2% target.
4. As the labor market cools, inflation has declined, and the risk is moving towards a better balanced development!
5. The Interest Rate for September may be announced, depending on the consistent decline of the inflation rate and stable labor market!
The probability of a rate cut in September has reached 100%: the probability of a one-notch cut is 86.5%, and the probability of a two-notch cut is 13.5%.
However, Powell seems to have ruled out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed. He said, "I don't want to specify what actions we will take, but that's not something we're considering right now."
In July, non-farm payrolls added 122,000, hitting a six-month low. Encouraged by Powell's dovish comments and the continued slowdown in employment data, all four major U.S. stock indices closed with gains.
#BTC

The Battle between ETH and SOL!
Solana network indeed has many highlights, but when it comes to SOL, we have to take a different view. From an economic perspective, SOL is not considered a strong asset, but rather a mediocre one.
Ownership of SOL is quite centralized, which is related to its youthfulness, multiple rounds of financing, and the fact that most of the money went to laboratories and foundations, as well as its launch on stake. In terms of Liquidity, it falls a bit short. On the other hand, looking at ETH, it had less financing back then, and the money given to the founders and foundations doesn't seem like much now. It also ran PoW Mining for many years, which led to its current position.
Moreover, the inflation rate of SOL is quite high, exceeding 5%. Although it could decrease in the future, the supply will have to rise significantly before it drops to 1.5%. During this period, using SOL in decentralized finance will not be cheap.
Decentralized Finance always likes to use its own coin, but the interest rate of SOL stake is high, using it will lose this part of the money. Decentralized Finance needs to compete with stake in order to attract funds, so the nominal Interest Rate of SOL is high.
Third, the high nominal Intrerest Rate makes more people stake SOL, and not staking would result in a big loss, but this also reduces the circulation of SOL in the market. The number of stakers in Solana is more than twice that of Ethereum, but even if the holders of Ethereum do not stake, they will not miss out too much.
What's more troublesome is that Solana's Liquidity staking token ecosystem is messy and not as unified as ETH. Although there are also people who use it, decentralization is not conducive to the security of the chain, but is beneficial to DeFi, because the "too big to fail" asset Liquidity is better.
Fourth, Solana has low transaction fees, which is good for users, but not good for SOL. Fees are the cost to users and also the income for validators. With low fees, validator income depends on issuing new coins, which is essentially devaluation.
ETH has a small circulation, high transaction fees, all of which go to the stakers, and the actual yield is positive. BTC is the same, but the benefits go to the Miners, not the holders. SOL, the actual yield has quickly become negative, except during peak periods, the income relies on issuing new coins.
ETH also has a burning mechanism, which increases the actual yield, and distributes money to those who do not stake, so there are fewer people staking and more Liquidity.
#BTC #ETH #SOLS

Good news: Powell may cut interest rates as early as September
Bad news: Iran declares war on Israel, crypto world pays the bill
Yesterday's analysis pointed out that the market's rebound was weak and there was still room for a fall. As expected, it fell in the middle of the night, breaking through the 64000 support level. Although Mr. Bao mentioned a possible interest rate cut in September, the market did not react, but instead the US stock market rose sharply while BTC did not follow. This is when smart people should realize the need to exit the risk. Favourable Information did not rise, clearly indicating that someone is dumping, either Mt. Gox or the US government. It wasn't until Iran issued a declaration of war against Israel that BTC experienced a big dump, and most people realized the danger.
This morning BTC closed the monthly candlestick chart. The long lower shadow in July indicates that BTC has undergone sufficient adjustment and there is still sufficient buying support in the market. The area around 53500 is basically the lowest level in the midterm in the future. In general, it is difficult for the price to drop below 53500 in the remaining months of the second half of the year.

Connecting the Candlestick from March to July, the wide range consolidation during these months is just a Relay platform in the long-term pump trend. BTC has fully changed hands below 72,000, and after experiencing a Relay consolidation for 5 months to half a year, it is expected to reach a new high above 72,000 in the third or fourth quarter.
If the highest point of March 73777 is the top, the top should be sharp, not the consolidation of the platform in recent months. There must be a new high in the future market. BTC has not pumped to a new high because the current pumping opportunity is not good enough, and the market turnover is not sufficient. The chess game has not been fully laid out yet.
Returning to today's intraday analysis, from the candlestick chart, the 1-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily candlestick levels are all in a downward trend. The intraday resistance level is 66400, and the support level is 62400.

Six Major Factors of Losing Money in Cryptocurrency Speculation
Losses are often caused by the following factors:
Short-term thinking: Lack of long-term investment perspective and strategy. For example, for most people, the returns from trading are unlikely to surpass the returns from holding BTC directly.
chase rising prices sell with bearish market: lack of rational judgment due to market sentiment. For example, Japan raised interest rates yesterday, and the US stock market experienced a big dump. It seems to be related to oneself. The situation in Lebanon, where it was attacked, is unclear, but fortunately, my Position was also attacked.
Lack of awareness: blindly follow the trend, lack of their own investment logic. Seeing a well-known KOL post a code, you directly chase after it, but in the end, they make double the profit while you lose your investment. Sometimes, think about it, if you rush in, who will come to do dumb buying for you? If not, then most likely you are the one doing dumb buying.
Impatience: expecting to get rich overnight, lacking patience and preparation. Most of Buffett's wealth was earned after he was 50 years old.
Similarly, I also agree that if some wealth is only acquired in old age, it may not hold much meaning. Unable to eat, unable to play, and unable to rise, the significance of making money is likely lost.
If compound interest is the world's seventh wonder, then the only chip for ordinary people is time. Too much is as bad as too little. Those who are in a hurry are already bankrupt, like the young Liang Xi.
#BTC

In the crypto world, the ten realms of Cryptocurrency Speculation are legendary.
Layer 1:
Just entered the currency market, full of ambition and passion!
With 1000U dreams, let's make a big difference.
Layer 2:
Obsessed with trading every day, firmly believing in the words of celebrity.
Level 3: Slowly realizing that money isn't as easy to earn, more losses than gains, and being a celebrity isn't as effective. So I started learning to analyze news, but later found out that it's all a trap, and started doubting value investment.
Layer 4: Evolve from a novice to a sucker, start analyzing currencies, and studying technical indicator. Slowly make a small profit, but most of the time it's a loss, with a mix of long and short-term trades, and the operation is already chaotic. The more you understand, the less money you make, and you start to doubt yourself.
Level 5: The new sucker becomes an old sucker, and begins to have their own understanding of the market, but at the same time falls into a new confusion, prone to self-assumption, how to do, how to be wrong, and the mentality gradually collapses.
6th floor: Through continuous actual combat, I have gradually developed my own trading pattern, and can now make more and lose less, slowly gaining control of my mindset.
Layer 7: No longer looking at any technical indicators, starting to look at the 'momentum', the rhythm, the emotions, slowly exploring one's own 'way'.
Level 8: Having its own unique trading pattern, strict discipline, holding coins but without being attached to them, having no major fluctuation in the mind, and being able to trade with ease.
Layer 9: No longer obsessed with the currency market, treating the crypto world as a place for fixed profits, and most enjoying studying narratives and philosophy. At this point, I already understand that investment is the truth of life!
Level 10: Having coins in hand, having no coins in mind, nothing is everything! What level are you at?
You will never make money beyond your cognitive range, unless by luck. However, the money made by luck tends to be lost by strength in the end, which is an inevitable trend.
Every penny you earn is a manifestation of your understanding of the world; every penny you lose is due to a lack of understanding of the world.
The greatest fairness in this world is that when a person's wealth exceeds their own cognition, there will be 100 ways in this society to harvest you until your cognition and wealth match each other.
#BTC #GateioInto11

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Everything you need to know before the Fed interest rate cut
🔹 Understanding the background and purpose of interest rate cuts
The Fed's rate cut is usually to deal with economic slowdown, drop borrowing costs, stimulate consumption and investment. The current rate cut is not because of economic recession, but to alleviate the restrictive monetary policy and the issue of the inverted yield curve. Therefore, the rate cut may not be very large, and may not necessarily last very long.
🔹Current economic situation
The Fed's interest rate cut decisions typically take into account the current inflation level, labor market conditions, and the economic outlook for rise. The current market widely expects the Fed to start cutting interest rates in September. Current economic data indicates a easing of inflationary pressures and signs of a cooling labor market, despite the rise slowing down, the U.S. economy is expected to avoid a recession and achieve a soft landing.
The difference between market expectations and actual actions
Market expectations of a Fed rate cut can affect stock prices, but actual rate cuts may not meet expectations. For example, recent economic data shows that the US economy remains relatively strong, which may lead to the Fed delaying or reducing the rate cut less than expected. When the actual rate cuts fall short of expectations, it may trigger a stock market decline.
🔹Be wary of the negative signals of interest rate cuts
Fed rate cuts are often seen as a signal of a weak economy. If rate cuts are intended to address the risk of an economic downturn, this may raise concerns among investors about corporate profit prospects, thus negatively impacting the stock market. However, this rate cut is a precautionary measure with minimal impact on the market, as seen in the rate cuts in 2019. After a slight adjustment, the U.S. stock market continued to reach new highs.
🔹Liquidity Improvement
Interest rate cuts can improve market liquidity, which may be beneficial to the overall stock market. The drop in borrowing costs is favorable information for small-cap stocks and the encryption market. It has pushed up the prices of risk assets.
#BTC