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Jensen Huang admitted in his own words that the U.S. got its China chip policy wrong. Coming from Nvidia, that carries real weight. He acknowledged that he failed to persuade policymakers and that the company lost out on the huge Chinese market. If chip stocks are really going to catch up, it’ll depend on whether remarks like this can pressure policymakers to ease restrictions—not just empty talk. My bet is that things will stay deadlocked in the short term. I hope I’m wrong; if I am, it means the rally still has legs. What do you think Huang’s comments can achieve?
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NVDA-4.49%
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Trenches
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IDOL
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BTC | ETH | Gold | Crude Oil
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Do Token Unlocks Always Lead to a Price Drop? The Three Variables That Really Matter

Whenever a crypto project announces a token unlock schedule, two views often emerge in the market: one holds that newly circulating tokens inevitably lead to a price drop, while the other believes the unlock has already been priced in and there is no need to worry.

In reality, a token unlock means the potential circulating supply is changing, but it does not mean those tokens will necessarily be sold immediately. To assess the impact, you need to analyze three variables.

First, consider the size of the unlo
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🚨 $XAU USD – GOLD/USDT 🔴

Direction: SELL – Bearish Setup

Timeframe: 15M

Gold is showing bearish momentum after getting rejected from the $3,923 resistance area. Price is currently trading around $3,894 and remains below the major moving averages. Sellers are still in control, but I would prefer a small pullback before entering.

📍 ENTRY ZONE: $3,895 – $3,900

🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS

* TP1: $3,885

* TP2: $3,878

* TP3: $3,872

🛑 STOP LOSS: $3,910

Confirmation: Wait for a 15M bearish rejection around the entry zone before opening a SELL position.

Invalidation: A strong 15M close above
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XAU+0.38%
NVDA-4.49%
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US500+0.00%
AMD+5.86%
People need to find fertile ground, not their homeland. The essence of life is movement and change. You can leave a toxic environment and distance yourself from people who aren’t right for you. A flexible approach can help you avoid most of the harm in this world.
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#黄仁勋辞职 #每周来晒 Jensen Huang’s resignation changes Nvidia’s long-term valuation rationale, but demand for AI computing power itself has not changed. The sharp stock decline is mainly the market removing the “Jensen premium.”

For Nvidia
· Stock price: Closed down 4.34% on November 12, after falling about 14% at one point intraday; its market cap remains above $4 trillion.
· Valuation reset: Goldman Sachs cut its price target from $300 to $220, while Bernstein lowered its target to $200.
· Orders remain: Institutions have generally not lowered earnings expectations, only compressed the price-to-ea
NVDA-4.49%
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Why can spot-futures arbitrage still lose money in practice, even though it seems like a sure win?

When Bitcoin futures prices are significantly higher than spot prices, a common strategy is to buy spot while selling futures, then wait for the price gap to converge and capture the profit.

This strategy is commonly known as a cash-and-carry trade. It has a clear pricing rationale, but that does not mean it is risk-free.

First, the price gap is not the same as the final profit.

Suppose an asset has a spot price of 100,000 USDT and a futures price of 102,000 USDT, making the apparent price ga
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BTC-0.67%
$BTC
The early-session shorting-at-highs strategy played out as expected, with a one-way intraday drop of over 4,700 points. Trend-following shorts brought ample profits; getting the direction right makes things easy.
#黄仁勋辞职
72194 met resistance and pulled back, reaching a low of 67449. Bearish momentum has been fully released; the current oversold bounce is weak, and the rebound remains under pressure.
Resistance: 69200-69500, 70000
Support: 67400-67500
Strategy: Focus on shorting rebounds; don't blindly buy the dip
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BTC-0.67%
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What Is Rolling Backtesting? Why Is Continuously Updating the Test Window More Informative Than Testing Just One Historical Period?

In cryptocurrency trading, a strategy may perform well in one period of historical market activity but fail to adapt to subsequent market changes. Testing only one fixed period can easily overlook how the strategy performs in different conditions. Rolling backtesting continuously updates the test window, helping traders evaluate a strategy’s stability more comprehensively.

First, what is rolling backtesting?

Rolling backtesting divides historical data into mult
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What is statistical arbitrage? How can historical relationships between assets be used to identify trading opportunities, and why might historical correlations suddenly break down?

In the cryptocurrency market, some assets have displayed similar price movements over long periods. When their historical relationship temporarily diverges, traders may try to capitalize on that divergence. This is the basic idea behind statistical arbitrage, but historical patterns do not guarantee future repetition.

First, what is statistical arbitrage?

Statistical arbitrage is a type of trading strategy that u
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ruthelss outflows + reedeeming from ETF/USDC/USDT. @ $BTC
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USDC+0.01%
BTC-4.39%
How should volume be used alongside price analysis to better assess whether a breakout is sustainable?

In crypto markets, price tells us where the market is moving, while volume helps us understand the level of trading participation behind that move. Together, they can offer more clues for assessing a breakout’s credibility, but they cannot guarantee an accurate prediction.

First, understand what volume means. Volume reflects trading activity over a given period. When the price breaks above a key resistance level and volume rises significantly at the same time, it usually indicates increased
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LIVE TA: Bitcoin Morning Price Discovery
RAW ORGANIC NO-PESTICIDES PURE HONEST & EFFECTIVE TA
In minutes LIVE for members
#liveta #bitcoin #livestream
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BTC-0.67%
🚨 $BTC .D plunged sharply!!! Is altcoin season starting?
OF COURSE NOT!!!!!
It would be wrong to immediately interpret this drop in Bitcoin dominance as the start of altcoin season. $BTC It increased its dominance as it rose from 67K to 75K. Now it’s giving back some of the share it gained during that rally.
So, which projects could stand out when a real altcoin season begins?
I’m taking another close look at the 5 projects that make up the largest share of my portfolio:
🔹 $INJ
🔹 celestia:native
🔹 $ETHFI
🔹 $AVAX
🔹 ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061
We’ll examine each one
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BTC-0.67%
INJ-1.67%
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Taiwan stocks surged nearly 1,400 points at one point in early trading, but closed up just 583 points—the market’s sharp rebound today gave back more than half its gains in the afternoon. #Gate上线台股交易

The weighted index closed at 43,675.12, up 583.25 points (+1.35%), after opening at 43,719.75, reaching a high of 44,489.48 and a low of 43,534.12. Trading value was about 917.8 billion yuan, down significantly from yesterday’s 1.13 trillion yuan; buyers weren’t as eager to chase prices as they were yesterday.
Stock highlights: TSMC closed at 2,350 yuan (+10 yuan, +0.43%), after reaching an intr
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AMD+5.86%
AVGO+5.47%
What Is Expectancy? How Can You Tell Whether a Trading Strategy Has a Positive Edge Over the Long Term?

Whether a trading strategy is worth using long term cannot be judged by how much money it made over a few trades. What matters is how much it earns on average per trade and how much risk of loss it entails. That is the purpose of expectancy.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Expectancy is a metric that estimates the average long-term outcome per trade based on the win rate, average profit, and average loss. The formula is:

Expectancy = win rate × average profit − loss rate × average los
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🔽 It seems Jensen Huang got involved with someone from the crypto exchange leadership: $1.62 billion in liquidations and BTC at $68k

#Bitcoin | #BTC | $BTC ‌
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BTC-0.67%
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Why is it even more important to reduce trading risk after consecutive losses instead of rushing to make them back?

In cryptocurrency trading, consecutive losses not only reduce account funds but can also cloud a trader’s judgment. When people are eager to break even, they often increase leverage, take larger positions, or even abandon their original trading plan, turning one loss into a much greater risk.

First, consecutive losses can trigger emotional trading.

After a loss, people may be eager to prove they were not wrong or to restore their account balance as quickly as possible. This mi
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