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An Analysis of BTC Short-Term Trends Through Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action
I. Dow Theory
Primary trend (1-hour level): The primary uptrend since the August 14 low of 62,484 is facing its most severe test in this move. The 36-hour converging equilibrium range (77,050-77,500) formed on September 12-13 broke downward on September 13: the intraday low was 76,498, the close was 77,276, and volume was 2.275 billion (a moderate increase from 670 million on September 12, but far below the 9.69 billion on September 11). Early on S
BTC+0.65%
$BTC BTC 76500 long entry filled; current price 77650
The shakeout at the lows is over, and support absorption is in line with expectations. Entering an early long position.
Don't chase rallies; only buy dips, strictly use stop-losses, and control the risk-reward ratio.
In a volatile reversal market, we're catching the recovery rebound after the panic.
Continuously tracking the market's target levels. Follow me to receive exit signals as soon as they appear.
Technical review, not investment advice. Contract trading carries extremely high risk. ‌
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BTC+0.63%
Only experts can make money in this kind of market. You have to buy decisively and sell decisively; if you just hold on, you're screwed.
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CRYPTO Market Talk
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#CoinDeskRevealsGateRWAPerpetualsTop3Globally 🚀 Gate Square | RWA Perpetuals Are Gaining Momentum
Gate’s RWA perpetuals market is showing a major shift in trading activity.
According to CoinDesk’s August exchange review:
📈 158% monthly growth in Gate’s RWA perpetuals volume
📊 12.6% market share, more than double the previous month
🏆 Gate moved into the global top three for RWA perpetuals trading.
The interesting part? The broader RWA perpetuals market grew only modestly during August.
That suggests Gate may not simply be benefiting from market expansion. It may be capturing a larger share
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Third intraday trade, third consecutive win: followed the trend into a short position, entered at 4350, exited at 4342, capturing an 8-point move🍐—$735!
#黄金 #摩根大通将Meta目标价上调至820 $ETH $BTC
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ETH-0.13%
BTC+0.65%
$SNDK /USDT is about to break a range that has held for months

$SNDK /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1555.20 – 1561.74
SL: 1517.62
TP1: 1589.11
TP2: 1609.54
TP3: 1640.18

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range, but the 1h ATR at 13.093989 shows volatility is compressing before a move. The 15m RSI at 31.54 signals oversold exhaustion, and the entry zone of 1555.20 to 1561.74 aligns with the 1h price of 1558.47 for a precise long. TP1 at 1589.11 and TP2 at 1609.54 offer measured exits, while the invalidation level of 1649.19 acts as the hard line in the sand that must hold.

Deb
SNDK-3.37%
Most traders are about to get wiped out by a quiet move in $CVC /USDT.

$CVC /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.03106 – 0.03248
SL: 0.03863
TP1: 0.02663
TP2: 0.02320
TP3: 0.01805

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range, which often precedes a sharp directional break, and the 1h ATR of 0.002858 shows volatility is compressing just before the snap. The 15m RSI at 43 confirms bearish momentum without being overbought, keeping room for further downside. The entry zone between 0.03106 and 0.03248 around the 1h price of 0.03177 offers a precise short setup with a clear risk-reward edg
CVC+20.65%
9.14 SOL Analysis
Analysis: Short near the rebound to 100.5-101.5, with a defensive stop at 102.5. First target: 98.5; second target: 97.5
On the 1H chart, the price surged and then fell back from the phase high of 105.77, quickly dropping to the phase low of 97.36 before entering a weak, range-bound recovery. Rebound highs have been successively lower, and the overall downward structure is clear, with bearish forces dominating the market. The Bollinger Bands remain opening downward, while the middle band continues to move lower with the market, forming dynamic resistance. The price has consis
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SOL-0.74%
Good morning, recap
Continue holding OP unchanged, still at an unrealized loss
Stay the course
OP+1.67%
September 14 $BTC Comprehensive Market Analysis
News:
The rate hike is almost fully priced in. August inflation was hotter than expected, and the probability of a 25-basis-point hike on September 16 is around 80%–87%. The decision and dot plot are the direction switches for this week; regulatory tailwinds are temporarily secondary.
Capital flows:
ETFs absorbed around $3–3.5 billion in August, with a single-day inflow of $730 million on September 3; total outflows from September 8–11 were about $460 million, narrowing to -$13.3 million on the 11th. Institutional holdings remain (cumulative tot
BTC+0.65%
ETH-0.13%
Everyone is missing the one chart setup that could turn SYMBOL into a 10% winner overnight.

$FIL /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.9843 – 0.9985
SL: 1.0806
TP1: 0.9245
TP2: 0.8799
TP3: 0.8131

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range-bound, but the 1h ATR of 0.02858 shows enough volatility to drive a sharp move once price breaks structure. The 15m RSI sitting at 58.41 suggests momentum is neutral, not overbought, leaving room for the short to develop. With the entry zone anchored at 0.9914 and the 1h price at 0.9909, we are already inside the zone where the setup triggers. The f
FIL+26.49%
Good morning, everyone—the new week has begun~
The broader market remains in a narrow sideways range, with a relatively weak rebound and overall subdued market activity. The main reason is that everyone is waiting for two important developments this week: first, the key procedural vote on the US CLARITY Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act; second, the Fed interest rate decision to be announced by the US at 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday.
Therefore, before these developments are officially released, both bulls and bears will most likely remain on the sidelines. I believe the broader market wil
ETH-0.13%
BTC+0.65%
SOL-0.74%
Mainstream prediction market expectation: BTC is highly unlikely to fall back below $70,000 on September 15; there is also a very high probability that the $72,000 level will hold. The market has barely priced in a deep pullback scenario and is leaning bullish.
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BTC+0.65%
Smart money is fading XRP while the charts quietly contradict the retail crowd.

$XRP /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1.3421 – 1.3465
SL: 1.3655
TP1: 1.3284
TP2: 1.3179
TP3: 1.3020

Why this setup?


Debate:
Are we pushing toward TP2 or is the range about to trap the shorts?

⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.
XRP+0.61%
#韩国股市开盘重挫3% The market has turned sharply lower, with BTC narrowly failing to hold the 77,000 level overnight. Major coins fell across the board, while altcoins suffered steeper declines.
🔥 Market overview: BTC is currently at 77,300, down slightly by 0.32% over 24h, with an intraday high of 77,450; ETH is down 1.32% at 2,500; SOL led the declines, falling 2.19% and breaking below the psychological 100 level; BNB is down 1.22% at 719.4. Overall, the market has entered a weak, high-level range-bound pattern, with funds clearly flowing out of altcoins.
🎯 Key driver: SOL breaking below the $10
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BTC+0.65%
ETH-0.13%
SOL-0.74%
BNB-0.41%
$BTC Signal】1H volume contraction hugging the band + 4H momentum expansion, buy on pullbacks
$BTC 1H price is hugging the upper band at 77638, while volume has plunged to 277 lots, nearly drying up. The 4H MACD histogram has expanded to 79.9, and bullish momentum continues to advance.
Order book depth imbalance: -18.17%, bid/ask 0.69, with dense sell orders overhead. 1H RSI is 61.13 and 4H RSI is 51.37; neither timeframe has entered the overbought zone. The funding rate is 0.0100%, long positioning remains uncrowded, and OI is stable. With price brushing the band on declining volume, chasing
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BTC+0.63%
The market’s most ruthless trait is that it often specifically teaches a lesson to those who are already certain they cannot be wrong.
In the early session today, it surged to 77427, touched resistance at the upper band, then came under pressure and turned lower, dropping rapidly to a low of 76350.
The four-hour chart is very weak, with little momentum for an upward move. It is more of a rebound-to-short setup: after falling from the high, it has generally oscillated lower, with successive lower highs and increasingly weaker rebounds. In the short term, if it cannot reclaim the middle band aro
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ETH-0.16%
BTC+0.63%
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