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Nonfarm Payrolls Night to Set the Market Direction: Data Inflection Point to Determine Commodity and Crypto Asset Trends
Recent ADP employment data fell far short of expectations, prompting market funds to position ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls report. Friday night’s Nonfarm Payrolls data will become the core short-term pricing inflection point for gold, Bitcoin, and U.S. technology stocks, with various asset classes already showing divergent trends and tensions between bulls and bears intensifying.
Two core market paths based on the expected range:
1. Nonfarm payrolls increase by fewer than 6
ADP1.24%
GLDX0.73%
PAXG0.54%
BTC0.15%
ETH0.13%
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Before participating in Moonshot AI ($KIMI) Pre-IPOs, take a moment to quickly break down the project
🔹 Gain a thorough understanding of Moonshot AI’s business barriers and capital valuation, and grasp the key decision points for Pre-IPOs subscription
🔹 The content is compiled from publicly available information for reference only. Please participate cautiously based on your own judgment
📅 Subscription period: August 11, 15:00 - August 13, 15:00 (UTC+8)
View now: https://www.gate.com/ipos/pre-ipos
More details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/101035
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JUST IN: SK Hynix to invest $38.4B to expand Korea chip capacity, including M17 plant in Cheongju and a second-phase facility in Yongin, with completion by 2031. This could signal broader tech capex momentum for semis. $SKHYNIX
SK Hynix-4.88%
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#Roundhill光模块ETF首日成交7200万 LYTE: A US-China Photonics and Optical Communications ETF
Recently, Roundhill Investments, an active ETF issuer, launched the Roundhill Photonics & Optics ETF (ticker: LYTE). The fund targets the global optical communications and photonics industries, focusing on the growth in demand for optical connectivity driven by AI data center infrastructure development.
The two US optical communications component manufacturers, Lumentum and Coherent, have a combined weighting of over 30% and are the fund's two largest individual positions; meanwhile, Chinese optical communicati
COHR1.75%
NVDA-0.10%
DRAM-4.34%
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#Roundhill光模块ETF首日成交7200万 LYTE: China-U.S. Photonics and Optical Communications ETF
Recently, the Roundhill Photonics & Optics ETF (ticker: LYTE), launched by active ETF issuer Roundhill Investments, began trading. The fund targets the global optical communications and optoelectronics industries, tapping into the theme of growing demand for optical connectivity driven by AI data center infrastructure construction.
The two U.S. optical communications component makers Lumentum and Coherent have a combined weighting of over 30%, making them the fund’s two largest individual positions; meanwhile, Chinese optical communications module supply-chain companies including EVERLIGHT, Zhongji Innolight, TFC Communication, Yuanjie Technology, and Accelink Technologies collectively account for as much as 46.8%.
Key points:
Pure thematic exposure: Constituents must derive at least 50% of their revenue from optical communications/photonics businesses, covering optical modules, lasers, silicon photonic chips, optical interconnect systems, optical components, and other segments. The top five holdings account for over 73% combined, while the top 10 make up approximately 97%, significantly amplifying volatility.
China-U.S. dual supply chains: Lumentum and Coherent (30%+ combined) represent leading U.S. laser and optical component companies—NVIDIA invested $2 billion in each in March; Chinese companies including Eoptolink, Zhongji Innolight, TFC Communication, Yuanjie Technology, and Accelink Technologies collectively account for approximately 46.8%.
TRS structure: Chinese holdings are implemented through total return swaps, in order to meet the tax diversification test for a RIC (regulated investment company), also making it one of the ETFs in the U.S. stock market with the largest exposure to leading A-share optical module companies.
Sector potential: Goldman Sachs forecasts the optical communications market to grow from approximately $15 billion in 2026 → $15 billion in 2028 → $154 billion in 2028 (9x+ growth); NVIDIA has invested a cumulative $6.5 billion+ in photonics companies since March, and its Feynman architecture (to be deployed in 2028) will shift core interconnects from copper to optical, with Jensen Huang calling photonics key to “gigawatt-scale AI computing factories.”
Risks and peer comparison
⚠️ Scale risk: With only $1 million in AUM and 40k shares outstanding, liquidity is extremely poor and bid-ask spreads are wide; large inflows or outflows could move the price—this is currently the point requiring the most caution.
Peer comparison: Tema’s LAZR (listed on 6/30, with private-market exposure to Anthropic) currently has only approximately $18M in assets; by contrast, Roundhill’s own DRAM storage ETF surged to nearly $25 billion after launching in April, the fastest growth in history.
Going forward, watch whether LYTE’s assets grow rapidly, as rapid asset growth would increase the need to allocate to its component stocks.
Concentration risk: With the top five holdings accounting for over 73%, disappointing results from any single constituent could sharply amplify net asset value volatility.
Thematic risk: The fund depends on continued AI computing infrastructure construction; if capex slows or new technology paths such as CPO gain adoption, the revenues and profits of its holdings could be materially affected.
In one sentence: LYTE is an extremely concentrated optical communications thematic fund with very small assets currently; watch whether its assets expand in the future and the impact of increased positions in these stocks. Attention should be paid to foreign investors’ ownership percentages in such Hong Kong companies and changes in their A-share/H-share premiums.
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JUST IN: TrendForce lifts 2026 AI server shipment growth forecast to nearly 31% as CSP capex surges and hyperscalers push containerized AI solutions. This underpins stronger demand for AI hardware amidst a broad cloud/LLM push. $BTC? Not relevant.
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JUST IN: Microsoft flags a new attack campaign that hides malicious code in BNB Chain smart contracts, enabling on-chain retrieval of commands via compromised websites and counterfeit CAPTCHA pages. This could complicate takedowns and raise ongoing supply-chain risk for affect...
MSFT2.54%
BNB-0.84%
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SpaceX's first-day lock-up expiry fails to scare off funds, with bullish whales adding $12.5 million over the same period

Cailian Press, August 7 — On August 6 local time, the first batch of 911.5 million lock-up shares issued after SpaceX's listing was officially unlocked, representing potential tradable market capitalization of more than $100 billion. The market had broadly feared that the release of massive amounts of low-cost shares would trigger a stock-price sell-off, but the day's trading followed a completely opposite path: bullish funds entered against the trend, with leading whales
SPCX6.98%
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It has been a good week for $XAU ( gold ), like I mentioned start of the week.
We already saw Gold rally from 3900$ to 4300$.
Gold is looking positive. Desperately looking to regain 4500$ range.
How soon ?
Hopefully y'all bought the dip
XAU0.55%
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$SHIB Consolidating Near $0.0000046 🐕
Shiba Inu is trading around $0.00000461–$0.00000467.
Technical Snapshot:
• Support: $0.00000450 – $0.00000460
• Stronger support: $0.00000405 – $0.00000420
• Resistance: $0.00000490 – $0.00000520
• Momentum: Neutral to soft. Price is cooling after the late-July bounce.
The Setup:
$SHIB is consolidating after failing to hold above $0.00000500. Holding the $0.00000450–$0.00000460 zone keeps the short-term structure intact. A clean break and close above $0.00000490–$0.00000500 would open the path toward $0.00000520–$0.00000550.
Loss of current support risks
SHIB-2.32%
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JUST IN: Unitree’s pre-IPO price tops $90 and post-IPO market cap lands around $36.5B; shows a sharp surge in the perpetual contract, implying strong demand ahead of listing. $UNITREE ; watch for ETF/whale flow signals as liquidity builds.
UNITREE24.16%
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🚨Today: is going to be VOLATILE.
Jobs report lands this afternoon, and given how split the Fed already showed itself a couple weeks ago, this print is going to carry way more weight than a normal one, could genuinely go either way.
Bitcoin seems to be holding up VERY well. We still a break of the range above $65,000 if we want to see further upside, but for now...it's looking stronger than it was last month. bitcoin:native
BTC0.15%
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ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 broke its consolidation and swept H12/1D resistance 🔥
So far breaking above the 12H 200EMA but, a lot of time to go until this closes.
My Bias for $BTC is bearish today but, this is also dependent on 12H Close too
If you want a risky trade you can attempt shorting but, you are betting against the trade - if not, wait for confirmation upon the 12H close 🌊
ETH0.13%
BTC0.15%
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$SOL Signal】4H weakness continues, 1H rebound lacks strength, short-term short
$SOL 1H MACD histogram is narrowing, while the price was rejected at the Bollinger middle band at 72.88 and fell back. The 4H MACD death cross continues, with weak buying strength. Order-book bid/ask depth is bearish, and the funding rate of 0.0035% shows no abnormalities.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry/limit order: 72.7511 - 72.9700
🛑Stop-loss: 73.6997
🚀Target 1: 71.8755
🚀Target 2: 71.3282
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce the position by 50% and move the stop-loss up to brea
SOL0.00%
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JUST IN: Dow Protocol raises $10.5M seed, led by MH Ventures and Mapleblock Capital, with Animoca Brands and others participating. This could signal growing appetite for real-world asset financing in crypto-enabled e-commerce, via RWA-backed working capital. $DOWO?
RWA-0.08%
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What opportunities are there tonight on Nonfarm Payrolls night? Tune in to the Gate livestream tonight for crypto insights and the Gate Esports Peak Night prediction and giveaway event. Score big in both crypto and predictions. Click the link below to reserve your spot in tonight’s livestream.
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Layout big cake · Ethereum dog head
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newscryp:
Caution(s)

Caution(s)

Mintable Detected ETH

Mintable function means token total supply can be increased, which may affect token price.
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$ON Signal】Long: 4H hugging the band + elevated funding rate
$ON 4H is hugging the upper Bollinger Band, RSI 70.83, and upside momentum remains.
🎯 Direction: Long
⚡ Entry/Limit order: 0.4181916 - 0.4194500
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.4152555
🚀 Target 1: 0.4257417
🚀 Target 2: 0.4288876
🛡️ Trade management:
- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce the position by 50% and move the stop-loss up to breakeven. If the price falls back to the entry level, exit automatically to protect the principal.
Depth logic: OI is stable, while the funding rate is relatively high at 0.0751%, accumulating th
ON38.09%
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[NEW STREEMER] 🔹 “Big Short” investor Burry makes another move! Shorts Oracle at $144.63, can tech
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#AIP #AIP模式
In August, crypto markets have been plagued by frequent security incidents, and trust is collapsing.
The Coldcard hardware wallet vulnerability continues to unfold, with attackers stealing more than $130 million worth of Bitcoin from over 7,300 Bitcoin addresses. A firmware configuration error turned the “most secure cold wallet” into a hacker’s cash machine, with at least 15 independent groups of attackers currently sweeping through it. Meanwhile, several major Wall Street hedge funds have suffered cyberattacks, and AI-assisted social engineering attacks are making traditional f
BTC0.15%
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RSI_Cowboy:
After reading it, all I can say is that the market really does need something tangible. AIP puts trust in rules, which sounds a bit more reliable than putting it in project teams—but we still need to keep watching and not rush to go all-in.
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The $25 billion AI black hole still can’t be filled: Google’s bond issuance is just the beginning, and a bigger storm is coming
Yesterday, Google did something it had almost never done in its 27 years as a public company—
Borrow money by issuing debt.
Not hundreds of millions, not billions, but $25 billion.
It split the debt into 10 tranches, ranging from 2 to 40 years, with the longest not due until 2066.
Even more astonishingly, investors rushed in like crazy—the subscription amount reached $115 billion, more than four times the offering.
But think about it carefully—
One of the richest tech
GOOGL0.00%
AMZN-0.09%
NVDA0.45%
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