#FedSeptemberMinutesLeanHawkish
The Fed may pause in October, but I wouldn’t build a Bitcoin trade around that assumption alone.
The September meeting minutes delivered a hawkish message: most Fed officials believed another rate increase would likely be appropriate before the end of 2026. Yet market expectations shifted toward an October pause, with the probability of another hike falling below 20% in recent trading. The next major test is September’s U.S. CPI report, scheduled for October 14.
What makes this situation interesting is the gap between what policymakers are signaling and what tr

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$BTC NOONE has this chart.
Bitcoin is in an upward Macro trend.
Bottom is in unless Global mayhem.
$ETH $QNT $XRP $SOL

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#BTC回调触及81000美元 Bitcoin Falls Below $81,000: It’s Not Faith Collapsing, It’s Leverage Paying Its Debts
Bitcoin rapidly fell from the $90,000 range to around $81,000, with more than $1.3 billion in positions liquidated within 24 hours, nearly 90% of them long positions. But the essence of this decline is not deteriorating fundamentals; it is the forced unwinding of highly leveraged longs—funding rates have turned negative, shorts have begun paying longs, and the market’s positioning structure is shifting from crowded to clean. Under the triple macro pressure of a hawkish Federal Reserve, elevat

Greed sentiment is recovering—can $DOGE ride the broader market rotation for a catch-up rally?
The answer is likely yes, but the pace is more likely to be choppy upward movement rather than a straight-line surge. The Fear & Greed Index is at 64, in the greed zone, indicating that risk appetite remains strong, but this is no longer a stage of blindly chasing gains amid extreme greed. Capital is more inclined to rotate between mainstream and lagging tokens. $DOGE has risen only +1.85% over the past 24 hours, significantly underperforming $BA (+31.34%) and $RLC (+21.16%), which surged during th

Scumbag Watch: SPCX Update 10.10
Big Rocket closed at 162.57 in U.S. trading, up 1.25%, with an intraday high of 166.38 and a low of 160.61
Big Rocket surged more than 4% premarket on news of the spectrum-resource acquisition. The stock briefly reached the 5-day moving average, but the good times did not last long: it peaked at the open, with the bulls retreating all the way to around 161. The bulls then launched a counterattack, but after reaching around 164, they could advance no further. The bulls and bears subsequently took turns, but the bears basically kept the price below the moving ave

$STRK Up 25.66% in 24 hours, with trading volume reaching $439 million—this is no small move; capital is aggressively building positions.
Look at the data first. There was no major macro event driving the market today, BTC remained range-bound, and the Federal Reserve offered no new developments. Yet $STRK bucked the trend with a 25% surge, jumping from a 24-hour low of 0.0594 straight to a high of 0.0772, with an amplitude close to 30%. Trading volume hit $439 million, and compared with its current market cap, the turnover rate has expanded abnormally. This price-volume structure allows for o

pons is now 0.35u. It has been listed on both major exchanges, yet the price is falling instead. The initial position opened above 0.41u is currently down more than 10%.
Today, let’s not talk about the price; let’s talk about how pons actually makes money.
Someone on-chain used Dune to analyze all the shitcoins on Robinhood Chain. Among those who casually bought new tokens on the first version of pons, fewer than 15 out of 100 made money, while ordinary users generally lost more than 60%.
That sounds frightening, but it isn’t necessarily a bad thing for pons.
pons isn’t a gambler—it runs the c

$NEAR 's direction is not ambiguous; the real challenge is whether the current position is still worth continuing to bet on that direction.
I am watching only one divergence: whether there is still support after breaking above 5.043. The current price is 4.994, with volume at 0.73x. The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both strong, with RSI at 65 and 41, respectively.
If volume continues to increase after breaking above 5.043, the initiative will favor the bulls; if it falls below 4.635 and fails to reclaim it, the short-term thesis is invalidated, and the next level to watch shifts to 4.301.
Don'

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In trending markets,
everyone knows that catching one trend correctly
can make up for all previous losses
But the hardest part is
when facing market uncertainty
giving up execution for fear of being stopped out,
so after executing the first few times,
you fail to execute just once,
and miss the main upward wave,
This may be the pain of many
trend traders (myself included)
But Dongbi Cat's approach is very simple,
When you believe the market is in a major trend,
tell yourself to execute firmly,
hold on to the mindset that “it is better to be wrong,
than to miss out,”
The great path is simplicit

$ADA up 5% while the rest of the market is sleeping.
If it can get a strong bounce from those support areas we might see some crazy price action.

Spot Strategy · Technical Analysis Essentials for Major Coins: Identifying False Breakouts at Key Levels and Reversal Trade Setups (Entirely in Chinese)
📌 Three Types of False Breakouts
1. False upside breakout (bull trap): Fails to hold above key resistance after breaking through → falls back to within 3% below resistance → fails to reclaim it on the 30-minute close → immediate bull-trap signal
2. False downside breakout (bear trap): Quickly reclaims key support after breaking below it → reclaims it within 1-2 candlesticks → volume expands but the decline narrows → immediate bear-trap signal

Macro (10.10 Saturday)
There are no major economic data releases today, Saturday
The US and Russian leaders spoke, easing sanctions related to Russian diesel
Russia continues supplying petroleum products globally, putting pressure on oil prices

Large amounts of capital remain on the sidelines in money markets
Expectations for further Fed rate hikes still exist
Risk-off sentiment remains strong, and the market is choppy

Additionally, ETH node staking sell pressure continues to be released
Saturday volatility can easily whipsaw, so do not take large positions

Geopolitical News (10.10 Satur

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3 wallets (possibly belonging to the same whale) deposited 2,903 $ETH ($7.22M) into #Coinbase after over 9 years of inactivity.
When these wallets received the $ETH 9 years ago, the price was only $9.9.
They are now sitting on a $7.19M profit, with a 250x return.