Core CPI Rises More Than Expected, Intensifying the Fed’s Internal “Dove-Hawk” Debate
Today, let’s focus on core CPI, because it better reflects underlying inflationary pressure than headline CPI.
August core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, above the market expectation of 0.2% and higher than the previous reading. That number may not look large, but the Federal Reserve is watching core inflation closely because food and energy prices are too volatile to serve as a basis for policy.
What does a 0.3% month-on-month rise in core CPI mean? Annualized, it comes to roughly 3.6%, still well above the F

🟠 Bitcoin May Never Trade Below $65,000 Again
A major change has taken place in the Bitcoin market: its main long-term support level, the 200-week moving average (200WMA), has officially risen above $65,000.
Blockstream CEO Adam Back drew attention to this milestone by sharing a new chart from Look Into Bitcoin. The market's mathematical "floor" has reached a new all-time high, climbing from $64,000 in August to its current level in just one month.
🔸 Anatomy of Bitcoin's new floor: How the market's key indicator works and how much Bitcoin is worth today
The 200WMA reflects Bitcoin's underlyi

【$POWER Signal】1H high-volume breakout + negative funding rate short squeeze setup
$POWER The 4H upper Bollinger Band at 0.1032 was directly taken out, with the current price holding above 0.108. Negative funding rate at -0.0021%, OI stable, and shorts are still holding.
RSI 4H 87.98, 1H 72.32, with momentum still strong. The 4H MACD histogram at 0.0018 continues expanding, while the 1H histogram at 0.0006 is following in sync. The order book buy/sell depth ratio is 1.15, with active bids below.
After the consecutive push higher, the risk-reward ratio is only moderate. This trade relies on the

I was just about to go to the forum and rant, but then I looked at my balance—never mind, the market is always right. A few days ago, that candlestick bounced hard before I went to bed, and I felt something was off🍵
The rebound was weak, with volume getting smaller and every push upward looking like it had skipped a meal. I stayed put while everyone else was running. When it bounced to around 0.20941, I opened a short position and set the stop-loss above the previous high. The bull trap was so obvious—it would have been a shame not to take the trade.
The price has now slid to 0.05135, and the

$KAVA It rises at a turtle’s pace, but when it drops, it’s another story. One crash and it’s down more than 20% immediately.

The a-sector is still rotating, so the market is expected to remain elevated next week. All the coins positioned in previously will likely rebound to some extent as well; just remember to take profits. $FIL ‌Today's mainstream rotation: storage FIL

【$SOL Signal】Short + Order Book Imbalance Rejected at the 4H Midline
$SOL Order book depth imbalance -7.23%, Bid/Ask compressed to 0.87, with sell orders stacked layer upon layer above 100.59. The 1H MACD histogram at -0.0205 remains in negative territory, while rebound volume has yet to emerge. The 4H midline at 100.7630 and 1H EMA20 at 100.6940 are creating double resistance. The 1H RSI is 46.98 and the 4H RSI is 44.93, leaving the bulls no room for an oversold recovery.
🎯 Direction: Short
⚡ Entry/Pending Order: 100.2882 - 100.5900
🛑 Stop-loss: 101.5959
🚀 Target 1: 99.0812
🚀 Target 2:

When in Mexico, there is such thing as second breakfast.

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Fed’s Internal Divide—How Much Influence Do the “Dovish Remnants” in the Dot Plot Still Have?
The September FOMC meeting’s dot plot is the market’s main focus. But this time, the dot plot has one unusual feature—Fed Chair Warsh refused to submit his own projections.
This is extremely rare in the Fed’s history. In the past, Powell and other chairs would submit their own dot-plot projections because the chair’s forecasts help guide the market. But Warsh is not doing so. His reason is that the chair’s projections would be overinterpreted by the market, thereby affecting the Fed’s independence.
Wh

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#每周来晒 #8月CPI数据出炉
US August CPI: Why Did Markets Rally Despite Hotter-Than-Expected Inflation?
The US August CPI report released on the evening of September 11 painted a hawkish picture at first glance. While the headline numbers came in line with expectations, a 0.1 percentage point deviation in the details completely repriced the Fed outlook. The paradox followed immediately: even as rate-hike expectations surged, equity futures, gold, and silver all moved higher together. To understand the rally on bad news, you have to read the second layer of logic.
1. Where Exactly Was the Beat?
On a yea

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gm,
is a good day to have a good day. and to do something ridiculous.
🐸

$CVC This wick, I suspect it was pulled by the project team themselves. It went from 0.0221 to 0.0446 in 24 hours, doubling in just a few hours, and then crashed back to 0.0333—a classic market-maker manipulation pattern. Look at the trading volume: 192.9M. For an old coin with a relatively small circulating market cap, that volume is far too abrupt. The turnover rate suddenly exploded, leaving retail traders no time to react; those chasing the pump are already stuck above 0.04.
The on-chain data is even more interesting. In the few hours before the rise, net outflows from exchanges suddenly i

【$STEEM Signal】Go long + buy the pullback amid negative funding rates
$STEEM Negative funding rate -1.0984%, 1H MACD bearish histogram expanding, price retreating to 0.05978.
4H MACD bullish histogram contracting, OI stable, 1H RSI 47.46, 4H RSI 62.23. Order book bid depth skewed by 3.42%, bid/ask 1.07, with active bids below.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Limit order: 0.0596007 - 0.0597800
🛑Stop-loss: 0.0591822
🚀Target 1: 0.0606767
🚀Target 2: 0.0611251
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce the position by 50% and move the stop-loss up to breakeven. If the pr

I originally wanted to cut the position and call it a day, but it turned itself around and handed back the profits from the short. 😮‍💨
When I opened the chart this morning, $CYS was weak on the rebound. There were no buyers on the way up, while sell orders kept piling on. I warned at the time: hold the short position firmly and don’t let a small rebound scare you out.
Opened at 1.3889, current price 0.1283, unrealized profit +1786.96%. It was genuinely sluggish at first, but the move that followed was truly rewarding. This profit feels great—staying up late wasn’t in vain.
I’d rather miss a

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