What Is Expected Value? How Can You Tell Whether a Trading Strategy Has a Positive Edge Over the Long Term?
Whether a trading strategy is worth using over the long term cannot be judged by how much it made in just a few trades. What matters is how much it earns on average per trade and how much loss risk it carries. That is the purpose of expected value.
First, what is a trading strategy’s expected value?
Expected value estimates the average long-term outcome per trade based on the win rate, average profit, and average loss. The formula is:
Expected value = win rate × average profit − loss rat

🟢 Citadel · Shield — the bot opened LONG $BNB
Entry 700.000 · live account
Limit adds: 678.970 · 657.970
Now: take 713.610
Every action on this trade — in the next posts, the result — a card after the close.

The market in the second half of this year can only be described as “the entire crypto scene has turned into a complete mess”
And who’s to blame? No need to say more, right

IS DONE 🚨
They got hacked for $6 BILLION.
They can't cover $2 BILLION in losses.
Insolvency incoming. Bankruptcy loading.
The $LUNC burns will STOP.
Bitcoin will crash back to $60K.
We are witnessing the end of an era. 🔥💀

#BTC大跌
The pressure is also spreading into memory and semiconductor stocks. Micron closed its latest completed session at $934.27, down 4.98%, while SanDisk finished at $1,330.05, down 5.32%. The $952 area remains a key resistance to monitor for MU, while $1,360 is an important recovery test for SNDK. Until these stocks regain their lost levels, I would rather wait for confirmation than attempt to catch every dip.
There is also a fundamental catalyst behind the sudden weakness. Reports of a potential security incident and the freezing of more than $2.5 billion in assets added another layer of

📉 $BTC Falls Below $80K | Post to Win Up to 100 USDT!
Join Gate Square’s Share Weekly special!
🎁 Rewards
New users: Guaranteed red packet
Weekly leaderboard: Up to 100 USDT
📌 How to Join
1️⃣ Sign up: https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6244
2️⃣ Post with #ShareWeekly and #BTCDropsToward77000
💬 This Week’s Topic
$BTC is near $77K, below the $80K mark. Is this a buying opportunity or a sign of further decline? What’s your target entry price?
👉 Post Now: https://www.gate.com/post/topic/BTCDropsToward77000?topic_id=210176
#ShareWeekly

Went long on gold, entered too early again—taking a gamble 😂

It dropped to 28689. My limit price is 28692, but I manually entered at 28707. I'm afraid my order won't get filled

same day:
elon shills hyperliquid
hours later, he mocks
1) What

SanDisk rebounded between 1310 and 1146, but there are no signs of a bottom. Figure 2 shares a view of the wave pattern. $SNDK ‌

Cyber Egg:
Download the client and log in. An event will pop up in the lower-left corner; click to claim 300 million tokens
You can reverse-proxy it for use with software like DSH. Pretty sweet

$SPCX SHORT SETUP — BEARS STILL IN CONTROL!
$SPCX continues to show bearish momentum on the 1H chart, forming lower highs and lower lows after rejecting 151.65. Price is now testing the crucial 137.95 support level. A confirmed breakdown could open the door for another downward move.
Entry: 138.54
SL: 141.20
TP1: 136.60
TP2: 134.50
TP3: 132.00
Extended Target: 129.50
The bearish structure remains intact below 141.20. A sustained move above this level would weaken the immediate short setup.
Will $SPCX break below 137.95, or can buyers defend this support?

#Bot I trade SOXLUSDT with a Futures Grid bot on Gate. Join me!
#BTCDropsToward77000

CZ even threatened Elon. Someone posted a smiley 😬 and that was enough to set you off. What a laughable snowflake 🤪

$BTW Tonight's Wealth Chart

The story has been seen. Next, let actions prove it. 🌍
Today, people are discussing not only these 10 nines in ONEA, but also long-term planning, ongoing development, and real delivery—which matters more than slogans.
We hear you.
A special contract address can start a story, but what truly matters is what comes next.
We invite everyone to keep following along, verify every step of the progress, and see whether the features can be delivered and whether future explorations in cross-border payments can solve real problems. We will clearly distinguish future plans from features that have already