#美国9月CPI超预期 The U.S. September CPI released tonight came in well above expectations across the board. The market will immediately reprice the probability of a Fed rate hike in October, and Bitcoin will likely come under pressure in the short term.
How far did inflation exceed expectations
Data released at 20:30 Beijing time showed:
· Headline CPI rose 3.7% year-on-year, up from 3.4% previously
· Core CPI rose 2.6% year-on-year, up from 2.4% previously
· Core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, above expectations of 0.2%
This means the market’s previous expectation of “moderating core inflation” has

$META is approaching a potential breakout area, where strong AI momentum and a new Street-high price target could create an opportunity for a move higher.
Trading Ideas Long $META
Entry: 755 - 765
SL: 720
TP1: 779
TP2: 796
TP3: 850
META is up 2.59% today at $762.29, bouncing from the $734.97 low and reclaiming ground above all key moving averages: MA5 at $746.69, MA10 at $733.79, and MA30 at $737.35. The MACD histogram is positive at 1.42, with DIF at 9.70 above DEA at 8.27, confirming the buyers are back in control. The stock is now just 2.3% away from the $779.81 high, and the momentum is bu

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Gold stages a V-shaped reversal; follow with long positions and exit on pullbacks

$GNS Conclusion first: bearish in the short term; rebounds are windows for bears to add positions, so do not chase longs.
$GNS Up 51.59% over 24h to 0.573, but this is a typical emotional impulse rather than a trend reversal. Three divergences can be seen in the fund flows: first, although the price surged, MA5=0.6236 remains below MA20=0.7067, and the bearish moving-average alignment has not been repaired, indicating that medium-term capital is still exiting; second, RSI=43.6 is in the neutral-to-weak zone, MACD histogram=-0.02914 remains bearish, and the price-volume pattern is a low-volum

Two AI coins. Two very different stories.
$NEAR
Bottomed near $0.84 in February.
Traded around $5 by late September.
That's roughly a 6x in 7 months.
NEAR Intents has now processed over $30 billion in volume across 35 chains.
Inflation got cut in half to 2.5%.
And protocol revenue now flows into NEAR buybacks.
$TAO
Same 21 million max supply as Bitcoin.
Only about 11.6 million in circulation.
Still trading around $300 while subnets keep shipping real AI work.
One already ran.
One is still waiting.
Which one are you holding? 👇

#美国9月CPI超预期
September CPI Surprise: Will Bitcoin Face More Downside or Stage a Rebound?
The latest U.S. September CPI and Core CPI figures have come in above expectations, raising fresh concerns about persistent inflation and complicating the Federal Reserve’s potential rate-cut path. The market now faces a critical question: will higher inflation expectations trigger another wave of selling, or has the negative news already been priced in?
Macroeconomic Impact
Hotter-than-expected inflation could push Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar higher as traders reassess the timing and pace of futur

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Starlink | After the data is released, what matters more than guessing the direction?
After CPI came out, the market saw a bout of volatility, with some rushing to buy the dip while others began chasing shorts.
But I’m more concerned about one thing: Is this drop merely a release of short-term sentiment, or has the market structure really changed?
BTC quickly fell from around 83800 to near 82800, and short-term bulls were indeed hit.
At this level, I won’t rush to buy the dip just because it dropped 1,000 points, nor will I directly chase shorts because of one large bearish candle.
Next, focus

GM if you GM back!

STRC Buyback Wave: Opportunity or Market Signal?
👀 Strategy’s recent large-scale STRC buybacks are indeed worth watching.
If the buyback data from the past two weeks is accurate, the approximately $369 million investment reflects the company’s strong focus on its preferred stock’s market performance. However, I don’t think the buybacks can simply be interpreted as a bullish signal.
STRC’s price is close to $100, indicating that the market still recognizes a certain degree of appeal in its yield and price stability. However, buybacks can reduce the supply circulating in the market and support

Oil prices are to blame again?
U.S. CPI rose 3.7% year over year, above the market expectation of 3.6% and reaching a new high since May;
Core CPI rose to 2.6% year over year, a new high since June this year and above the market expectation of 2.5%.
After the data was released, gold and $BTC collectively plunged, while the market increased its bets on a Fed rate hike in October and three more Fed rate hikes before the end of 2027.
Fine, fine, so that’s how we’re playing it? I guess we’re just going to keep stabbing wicks back and forth.

Fidelity's FBTC led the buying when US spot $BTC funds took in a net $175.6M on Oct 13, with $103.1M of it. Across five sessions, redemptions still outweigh new money by $599.8M.

Is $BTW the next LAB? Buddy, hurry and open a large long position now—don’t miss the opportunity! Entry price 2.4-1.9, stop loss 1.85, take profit 2.6-3, go long $BTW 👇

Inflation data rose again, and the market sharply increased the probability of a Fed rate hike. Not long ago, everyone was still hoping inflation would gradually ease and the central bank would pivot to easing soon, but this rebound in prices has abruptly shattered that optimism
If inflation continues to rebound, the Fed will basically not consider cutting rates in the short term, and high interest rates will have to remain in place for longer. As expectations of tighter liquidity rise, valuations of risk assets will all come under pressure. Going forward, pay closer attention to Fed officials

Hearing that the CPI numbers have come in unfavourably. It is what it is. For me, the key focus remains $BTC holding 81.2K.
The H4 200 MA is now aligning with the VAL, making 82.3K an increasingly important level. However, the range lows remain the key level from a broader structural perspective. Losing the H4 200 MA would weaken the case for those range lows holding as support.
From a higher-timeframe perspective, nothing has changed. Market structure continues to support the spot and chill approach, and I’ll be sure to alert everyone if that outlook changes.
What I particularly like about th