A few days ago, over dinner in Singapore, we were also talking about the period from mid-June to early July. Every Saturday and Sunday, crypto-stock contracts would trade at a 10% discount, making arbitrage very easy.
Unexpectedly, it happened again this morning, but unfortunately I was asleep at 5 a.m.
Crypto-stock contracts have no pricing power, and apparently no market maker is willing to make markets in them either. The lack of liquidity is why this kind of opportunity appears

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#沃什IMF讲话 #每周来晒 The core of Warsh’s IMF remarks wasn’t that he was dovish or hawkish, but that he refused to signal either direction. Markets interpreted them in the short term as meaning “the probability of an October rate hike has fallen,” but the real impact is that the Fed’s rate path will be harder to predict going forward.
To be clear about the context: this was a fireside chat at the IMF/World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok on October 16. Warsh repeatedly emphasized that he wouldn’t prejudge rate decisions or say in advance what the Fed would do at the remaining meetings this year. The

BitcoinTops$BTC #ShareWeekly
BITCOIN SLIPS TO $81,383AFTER RECLAIMING $82K:WILL BULLS DEFEND THE NEXT SUPPORT ZONE?
Bitcoin's recovery above $82,000is facing another test. After rebounding from recent lows, BTC has slipped back below this psychological level, reminding traders that a relief rally does not automatically signal a confirmed trend reversal. With hotter-than-expected inflation data, elevated Treasury yields, uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy, and pressure on spot Bitcoin ETF flows, the market is entering another important decision zone.
My view is that Bitcoin remains

The Fear and Greed Index jumps from 53 to 63—what is the market “greedy” about?

Today, one data point really surprised me. The Fear and Greed Index jumped from 53 yesterday to 63, shifting from “neutral” to “greed.” That's a 10-point increase in a single day.

Why was I surprised? Because inflation data across the board came in above expectations over the past few days, year-over-year PPI hit its highest level since 2022, BTC fell below 81,000, and ETFs saw outflows. In theory, market sentiment should be more fearful.

But the index is rising instead. Mars Finance's analysis offered one ex

Is the economy recovering?
How did Róu Zu get so expensive?!!! It’s almost 200!
Last week I was still getting Róu Zu for 99. I can’t find it anywhere this week.

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#沃什IMF讲话 #ShareWeekly
Warsh’s IMF Speech: What Could It Mean for Inflation, Interest Rates, Bitcoin, and Global Markets?
Global financial markets are paying close attention to monetary policy as investors evaluate inflation risks, interest rate expectations, and the future direction of the US economy. Against this backdrop, has become an important topic for market discussion, particularly among investors following Bitcoin, technology stocks, gold, and other risk-sensitive assets.
Remarks by Kevin Warsh at an International Monetary Fund event can attract attention because markets are constantl

#CryptoMarketTurnsGreedy #ShareWeekly
Crypto Market Turns Greedy: Is Investor Optimism Returning, or Is the Market Becoming Too Risky?
The cryptocurrency market is showing signs of renewed optimism as investor sentiment shifts toward greed. This change has caught the attention of traders watching Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the wider altcoin market. After periods of uncertainty, improving sentiment can encourage buyers to return, increase trading activity, and create new opportunities across digital assets.
However, there is an important question behind this shift: Does rising greed signal the beg

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WarshIMFSpeech

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#美国9月PPI大超预期 The “data vacuum” is approaching. How will gold and silver prices move?
Recently, gold and silver prices rebounded somewhat after a downturn, showing signs of stabilizing. Wang Weimang, an analyst at Zhonghui Futures, told Futures Daily that the rebound in gold and silver prices was driven by interest rates and safe-haven demand.
“The rapid decline in long-term U.S. Treasury yields was the direct driver of the rebound in gold and silver prices,” Wang Weimang said. Against the backdrop of U.S. September inflation data exceeding expectations, AI technology stocks faced a global sell

$ETH 🎉🎉Placing a pending long order like this got me in perfectly at dawn. I'm currently still in fairly steady profit. As usual, I recommend taking profit on 50% and moving the stop-loss to the entry price, or taking profit on the whole position—it's up to you. $NVDA ‌$TSLA ‌$AAPL

$SKHYNIX Every time there's a crash, they come out making bullish calls. $SKHYNIX The storage sector is about to V-shaped rebound again! SK Hynix, SanDisk, and others are about to bottom out and bounce back. A massive surge is imminent!$MU

Gold rebounds to 4150, while BTC is still struggling at 80000—who is really hedging inflation?
Around Warsh's remarks, one divergence stood out: gold rebounded, while BTC kept falling.
Spot gold rose more than 1% to around $4,156. The US Dollar Index slipped to around 102.03, and the 10-year Treasury yield plunged 13.7 basis points to 5.053%, a three-week low. Safe-haven demand amid a global stock sell-off outweighed the impact of hotter-than-expected inflation data.‌
What about BTC? It fell 3.6% to around 81,500, with a 24-hour low of 80,443. 80,000 remains a key support zone.‌
Why did gold

#美股存储板块跌幅扩大 The storage sector has shifted from “the whole sector rising together” to a structural rally driven by companies consistently beating earnings expectations and winning renewed valuation recognition. Next, it is more likely to see a recovery rebound first, followed by divergence.
Fundamentals have not weakened yet
Micron's FY2026 revenue was about $133.2 billion, up 256% year over year; full-year gross margin was about 81%. Its revenue guidance for the next quarter is about $61.5 billion, versus the market's previous expectation of about $56.8 billion. The company still expects supp