11.10 Morning Market Observation Journal

Macroeconomic Crosscurrents, Geopolitical Easing, and the Year-End Market Outlook

I. Macroeconomy: The December Rate-Hike Tipping Point

Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. October CPI data is set to be released. It could prove to be a key turning point in determining the Federal Reserve’s December monetary policy.

As the U.S.-Iran conflict remains locked in a stalemate that is neither war nor peace, merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz are increasingly coming under attack, and risks to global energy transportation continue to rise. The imported inflationar

Chasing prices based only on the top gainers list is one of the most common mistakes retail investors make—a single-day gain alone is not a reason to buy. The real question is: within the same sector, where does it outperform its peers?
$MUB is a sample worth comparing across the board.
Among today's active assets, $MUB is currently at 727.92, up 4.14% over 24h, while the other assets under consideration are $BCH and $SUI . $BCH is at 237.6, down 1.78% over 24h; its MA5 is below its MA20, RSI is just 38.6, MACD is bearish, and the price is near the lower Bollinger Band at 236.288, indicati

NYSE Eyes Avalanche! AVAX Suddenly Surges 6.4%—Is Wall Street Really Coming On-Chain This Time?

Big news in the crypto market! Avalanche (AVAX) has seen an important development in traditional finance. Reports say a tokenized securities platform linked to the NYSE plans to adopt Avalanche as its underlying ledger technology for clearing and settlement, and AVAX was immediately embraced by the market, rising about 6.4% in a short time.
This is no ordinary partnership announcement. In the past, blockchain was always trying to get a foot in the door of traditional finance. Now Wall Street is act

Republican Representative Thomas Massie Proposes Impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth
Republican Representative Thomas Massie has proposed impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and the U.S. House could vote on the matter as early as this week.
According to the allegations outlined in the proposal, Hegseth is accused of waging war against Iran without congressional authorization; ordering strikes on vessels suspected of transporting illegal substances in the Caribbean, killing multiple people; and seeking to punish Senator Mark Kelly for urging service members not to obey orders alleg

This round, only 6 strong signals remain: AKE, AIN, SOXS; 2 long and 4 short. Watch volume and structure before acting. Last round: 3 wins and 3 losses, totaling -153.2%. Currently holding 20 positions, average -0.2%; EDGE, CSOPSKHYNIX2L, and NXPC are all down at 5x. Wait for confirmation; no rush to decide the outcome. 🎯 Last round’s returns: EDGE entered at $0.4066 → exited at $0.4088, gained +5.8% at 5.0x; CSOPSKHYNIX2L entered at $2.0270 → exited at $2.0360, gained +5.6% at 5.0x; NXPC entered at $0.1564 → exited at $0.1589, gained +9.2% at 5x━━━ Market View ━━━BTC $74,518 -0.4%, with shor

BTC | Precisely shorted near 75500, took profit at 73800, then caught the rebound again at night!

Yesterday morning, BTC rebounded to around 75500 but never broke through decisively, with clear selling pressure overhead. Given the US-Iran situation and pressure on global risk assets, I judged the rebound lacked strength and chose to short with the trend.

Why take profit at 73800?

Because this level was already close to the previous low support. Chasing further downside could easily give back profits, so I took profit early and waited for the next opportunity.

US-Iran news sparked a rebound

#每周来晒 #美国10月CPI即将公布
The October 2026 U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release is the most important near-term macroeconomic catalyst for global financial markets, as it could reshape expectations for the Federal Open Market Committee’s December 8–9 policy decision.

Investors are watching whether headline inflation rises around the expected 0.3% month over month and whether core CPI remains near 0.2%–0.3%. The September report showed headline CPI rising 0.6% month over month and 3.7% year over year, while core CPI increased 0.3% monthly and 2.6% annually. One unusual detail matters this mon

You should pay more attention to Jensen Huang’s updates and news
Because Jensen Huang’s contributions are indispensable

Went long BTC and ETH from the lows last night and caught the rebound again!

Around 7 p.m., US-Iran news sparked a rally, but I didn’t blindly chase longs.

I then focused on two levels: BTC 74500 and ETH 2120. The pullbacks never broke below them.

Combined with the US stock premarket not weakening further, I confirmed support was holding and decisively entered long.

BTC ultimately reached a high of 75500 and ETH reached 2150. I took profit on both as planned!

Don’t chase news-driven rallies; enter after support is confirmed. Switching from short to long at the right time is key.$BTC ‌$ET

$WLD Now heavily shorting, then buying at $0.0056; short entry price 0.3145 $WLD 👇

$PI Today, the RWA Foundation’s official account showcased 86 blockchains again. Pi Network is the only public blockchain without a mainnet, yet it is held in such high regard.

The annualized rate on the coin next door is 3000—absolutely outrageous. What does a -1.5% funding rate on Unitree Technology mean? If you opened a 100u short position with 10x leverage, you’ll be charged shortly at 12: -1.5%*100*10=-15u.

If you have a position, go check how much funding you’ve earned—or how much has been deducted?

XRP is trading at $1.10, down 1.3% in the last 24 hours and about 12% over the past week. It fell to $1.0764 on Monday, its lowest since 19 August, and is now on a fifth straight weekly loss.

$XRP ‌

Part of the pressure comes from the hacker behind the Bin ance theft moving 139 million stolen XRP, worth about $151 million, out of its wallets since Thursday — traders fear the coins could reach the market. XRP is now only about 9% above the $1 level.

Watch whether $1 holds, and whether any of the hacker's coins reach exchanges — US October CPI is also due today.

#USCPIDataIncoming

#GateTrenchesInitialToken

GATE TRENCHES ADDS THREE NEW TOKENS: WHAT DO MAMESUKE, WASTED, AND GATO BRING TO THE TABLE?

🔍 Imagine opening a crypto discovery section and finding three new tokens that you have not explored before. You see their names, become curious about their communities, and start wondering what makes each project interesting. This is the kind of moment that makes new token listings worth paying attention to.

Gate Trenches has introduced initial listings for MAMESUKE, WASTED, and GATO, giving users three new tokens to discover within its ecosystem.

📌 WHAT HAS BEEN LISTED

1,960 points. Taiwan stocks closed yesterday at 41,661, the second-largest single-day point gain in history.
The National Stabilization Fund made its 10th intervention since its establishment, and the Financial Supervisory Commission also cut the cap on securities lending short sales from 30% to 3%:
・TAIEX +4.94%, TSMC +4.68%, MediaTek and ASE Technology both hit limit up
・At 8:06 this morning, South Korea’s KOSPI opened up 5%, triggering a buy-side sidecar—the 28th this year
・The Nikkei climbed back above 60,000, SK Hynix +8%
・Taiwan stocks intraday today: around 42,949 points, +3.09% (around

Nasdaq surges 2.7%! Tech stocks make a comeback—or did Wall Street stage another fakeout?

This tech stock rebound came quite suddenly.
The market had been worried that investment in AI data centers might slow, and tech stocks faced concentrated selling. The Nasdaq even suffered a brutal decline. Then, on November 9, the Nasdaq shot up 2.7%, as if the panic of the previous few days had all been a collective dream.
So, have tech stocks really won back investors’ favor?
I think there are two signals worth watching in this rebound.
First, investors haven’t completely abandoned the tech sector. AI

#美伊谈判出现新进展 #辣妹儿李嘉欣
I checked out a bunch of livestream rooms. Apart from that guy making a human pyramid with gold bars, honestly, with a market this good, this simple rebound was clearly a short setup—even a dog knows it’s bearish. And you still can’t make money. I don’t know how you manage to have such bad stats when the livestream room is so spot-on.
You analyze jack squat every day. Frankly, with stats like yours, even if you didn’t trade and just held onto that half-position short from 87000, your PnL would still be positive, yet you’re still going at it like crazy and having the time of

☀️ GM! U.S. stocks are recovering, while BTC is still waiting for a signal. ☕
The Nasdaq surged 2.74% overnight, but BTC is still hovering near lows. U.S. October CPI is due tonight at 21:30. 👀

📌 Today’s featured topic: This cup of CPI coffee—do you think it’ll be hot or cold?
🔥 Hot inflation: Will BTC and U.S. stocks come under pressure again?
🧊 Cooling inflation: Can it drive a market rebound?
👀 Trading strategy: Position ahead of time, or wait for the data?

🎁 Share your CPI forecast and trading ideas on Gate Square. Get a red packet reward just for posting, with larger red packets d