Crude oil fell by more than 6% at one point. The first explanation the market gave was that Trump paused military strikes against Iran. The second explanation was that OPEC+ announced an increase in production.
Both explanations appeared at the same time.
They need to be checked separately.
First, look at the diplomatic news.
Trump said he would delay further military action, hoping to address Iran’s nuclear issue through negotiations, and to push for the full restoration of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.
This is an open statement.
It is not an already signed agreement.
At present, t

The recap and consolidation from last week have been completed; the route for Silk Road and the rough work pace are kept in place.
The market’s ups and downs are unpredictable. Only by making measured trade-offs and strictly controlling risk management can we stand for the long term. Stop emotion-driven rough work, rationally plan every trade and settlement, and continuously optimize our own pace.
Trading is a process of continuously correcting mistakes and improving. Working in isolation to explore can easily lead to confusion; traveling and exchanging with like-minded people can help you

Key for bullish: 63,500-63,970. EMA50 (63,804) and EMA200 (63,756) form a double suppression. A breakout and hold above = bulls continue, with targets at 64,500-65,000.
Key for bearish: 62,600-62,800. Intraday low at 62,430. A break = bears take control, targeting 62,200-61,800.
① Trump announces the cancellation of a military strike on Iran; both sides are scheduled to negotiate on August 3. The geopolitical premium quickly fades; Brent crude plunges more than 7% to $81.55, and inflation pressure drops sharply
② Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen net inflows of over $1 billion in the past three days

Whale wallet bc1qpt, holding 16,400 $BTC ($1.04B), transferred all 16,400 $BTC to a new wallet 1 hour ago after 7 months of inactivity.

Yesterday, only Morgan Stanley Solana Trust (MSOL) saw net inflows, with a single-day net inflow of $403.9k; the cumulative historical total net inflow is now $403.9k.

🔊 BREAKING | TRUMP CLAIMS IRAN TALKS
Trump says U.S.-Iran talks will begin Monday, claiming a Hormuz & nuclear deal is "imminent."
↳ Oil fell 6%
↳ S&P 500 futures rose 0.4%
Iran, however, has denied that any formal agreement has been reached.

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8.3 BTC comprehensive analysis｜Current risks outweigh opportunities
Multiple factors pull against each other, and the market is stuck in a maddening choppy range.
📰News flow: double-sided game
The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged, but officials put out hawkish signals; the odds of a rate hike in September have risen to 82%, and liquidity delays weigh on risk assets.
The US CLARITY Act is entering a key voting window—if it passes, it will clearly establish BTC’s commodity attribute, which is positive for institutional capital to enter; if it is delayed, regulatory uncertainty wil

A trader with cumulative profits of about $6.46 million on Hyperliquid first deposited 1.5 million USDC, then opened a short position of about $8.14 million.

Trading reflections:
Trading is actually a lot like life experience. I’ve always been obsessed with chasing a high win rate, and my mindset has been way too tense. Today, for the first time in a while, a pullback order finally appeared—and instead, I gradually felt at ease.
Going forward, I won’t overthink whether any single trade wins or loses. I’ll calm down and refine a stable trading rhythm, keeping my focus on long-term steady returns. Just move forward steadily.
Keep it up! To all you excellent trading teachers! #CFD #黄金CFD

BREAKING: Coldcard halts shipments after destroying stock tied to vulnerable firmware; customers must migrate funds to new wallets with patched firmware. Satscard, Opendime, and Tapsigner unaffected; move to alternative hardware wallets asap. $BTC

Last night and this morning, you were reminded twice; the wait ultimately did not disappoint—$ETH 1898 to around 1860, and $BTC 63779 to around 63000.
Every morning is a brand-new beginning, carrying hope and dreams, and bravely taking the first step.

THE LAST TIME MICHAEL SAYLOR SOLD BITCOIN, BTC RALLIED FROM $17,000 TO $126,000.
HE KNOWS WHAT’S COMING 🚀

8.3 ETH trading idea
For the short order layout, the range is 1880-1900, stop-loss at 1920, targets 1840→1820.

In the early morning, price surged to 1898 and touched short-term resistance; after the attempt to push higher lacked follow-through, it quickly fell back, making overhead resistance more prominent.

This round of early-morning rally is only a short-term disruption. Price remains under pressure and is still in the 1880-1900 range of the ongoing battle. Bullish momentum continues to get depleted. Whether the market can turn stronger mainly depends on whether the pressure level can b

【$SOL Signal】1H MACD bearish expansion, pending order imbalance shorting
$SOL 1H MACD histogram at -0.0688 and continues expanding, with the current price 73.03 breaking below the 1H EMA20 and EMA50. Depth imbalance is 15.79%, and buy-side pending orders are clearly thicker; the price is lagging and hovering around 73. The Bollinger Bands 4H midline at 73.11 is capping the current price. Funding rate is 0.003%, OI is steady, and there are no signs of a short squeeze.
🎯 Direction: Short
⚡ Entry / Pending order: 72.8009 - 73.0200
🛑 Stop-loss: 73.7502
🚀 Target 1: 71.9247
🚀 Target 2: 71.3770

Yesterday was still fairly smooth. The BTC short missed by 90 points—I didn’t catch it—but we caught the ETH 1895 short at the top. SOL was a bit weaker and missed by 0.3 points.
For gold, at 4077 there’s profit. Flash (SanDisk) at 1266 and 1225 has made quite a bit more profit. Micron 861 can place a short order. Hynix 1095 can also take another long order.
For US stocks, try to execute trades while using small stop-losses and keeping a close eye on the market. For gold, place limit orders at stronger levels. For BTC and SOL, follow the plan.
After this, I’ll write the US stock trading plan i

8/3 midday gold:
The 4-hour moving average for gold shows a relatively complete bullish alignment. The price is above EMA20 and EMA120, indicating the current rebound has not broken the medium- and short-term uptrend structure.
KDJ: K is 71.07, D is 71.29, J is 70.64. The indicator is in the high range, but the K value is slightly lower than the D value, suggesting short-term buying momentum is no longer continuously strengthening.
If the price continues to be pressured repeatedly in the 4095—4104 area, KDJ may further form a pullback signal after high-level dulling.
Trading recommendation:
Go

July’s live trading wraps up perfectly!
In this July full of variables, our live trading account delivered a satisfying answer. No empty talk—just look at the numbers:
Big Cake: Raked in 36,090 points!
For four consecutive weeks, we’ve been producing a steady 8,000–9,000 points per week, with a highest single-day surge of 2,500+ points. Whether the market is up or down, if there’s an opportunity, we won’t miss it.
Small Cake: Steady and solid, earned 1,278 points!
Even though the volatility isn’t as big, the advantage is the long, steady grind—every day brings positive feedback.
This is the po