$ARB FOX Journal #18 | ARBUSDT Bullish Continuation
ARBUSDT is showing strong bullish continuation on the 1H timeframe, with price building higher highs and higher lows while maintaining momentum above the 9 EMA.
The previous structural high has been broken and price is continuing to expand upward. The larger structure provides room toward the next significant 4H high.
The position is active. Now we let the structure play out.

#Gate广场中秋团圆局 Bitcoin is back above the $76,000 mark, with BTC now trading around $76,141, and the interesting part is not simply the $76,000 breakout. What makes this move different is the market environment behind it. Bitcoin has just absorbed a sharp selloff triggered by the failed Senate procedural vote on the CLARITY Act, yet price has managed to recover back above a level that had recently turned into resistance. That tells me the market is trying to rebuild short-term confidence while the Federal Reserve decision remains directly ahead.
The bigger signal is coming from Bitcoin's changing

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$SNDK Today's Trend Forecast Scenario🔥
SanDisk edged up slightly pre-market, quoted at 1542. I estimate there won't be much movement at the open; after a short-term recovery to the 1580 resistance level, it will rebound and move downward. The interest-rate decision will be announced at exactly 2 p.m. It will probably come under pressure and fall to around 1420.
Of course, if it breaks through 1580 on increased volume, that would be a different scenario—no rate hike or a rate cut—and this move could reach 1730.
The market is basically immune to rate hikes now. A rate hike would be in line with

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𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝟮 𝗬𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝗙𝗢𝗠𝗖 𝗠𝗲𝗲𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀 𝗧𝗮𝘂𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗶𝗻 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀
Everyone thinks
"Fed cuts rates = BTC pumps." The data says otherwise.
📊 The Numbers
→ 8 of the last 9 FOMC meetings: BTC sold off the following week, avg -11%
→ 2025 alone: red after 7 of 8 meetings — including ones where the Fed actually cut
→ Jan 2026 hold: -7.3% in 48hrs ($90.4K → $83.4K)
→ Dec 2025 cut: +1.9% pop, then bled ~20% over the next few weeks
→ First 5 min post-announcement (40 meetings, '22-'26): a coin flip. Pure noise.
🧠 Why it happens
Nobody trades the decision. Everybody trad

I had already finished complaining to friends about this week's market, but now I have to take it back—kind of awkward. A few days ago that afternoon, $CYS pushed up another candle, but volume didn’t follow. No one was buying into the rise, so I judged it had strong bull-trap vibes and directly flagged a shorting-at-the-highs strategy intraday.
Entered short at 1.3889, started taking profit at 0.1293, and banked 80%. The earlier part was truly sluggish, but the move was truly satisfying once it played out.
Panic comes from having no plan; losses come from overthinking. Staying out of the mark

I can’t stream for now, friends. Tonight I’ll look for a substitute market analysis tool. My views on Ethereum and Bitcoin remain unchanged for now: I’ll continue following the strategy laid out over the past few days. The Wave 4 decline could end at any time, so be ready to enter long positions. This is also what I was going to discuss in today’s livestream. News and other fundamental factors cannot change the trend structure or reverse the broader market trend; they can only affect the fluctuation phases of the substructures. We’ll continue to monitor the situation.

Can you still go long when the moving averages are bearishly aligned? Yes, but wait for a signal.
$ONT Current price 0.04838, down 4.89% over 24h. MA5 at 0.048546 has crossed below MA20 at 0.0487255, indicating a weak trend; however, RSI at 39 is nearing oversold, the MACD histogram has turned positive at +6.01e-05, the funding rate is -0.0015% with shorts paying, and the Bollinger lower band at 0.0481421 is providing support. Educational point: moving averages indicate direction, RSI indicates position, and MACD indicates momentum; when the three diverge, prioritize waiting for stabilization

【$AVAX Signal】Short + 4H bearish momentum expansion
$AVAX 4H MACD green bars expanding, with price below the 1H EMA20. RSI 1H 43.94, 4H 38.72, with no follow-through in rebound volume. Order book depth -0.75%, with sell orders slightly heavier; funding rate 0.0007%, OI Stable, long crowding is not high, and short-squeeze fuel is limited.
🎯Direction: Short
⚡Entry/Limit Order: 7.25118 - 7.27300
🛑Stop-loss: 7.34573
🚀Target 1: 7.16390
🚀Target 2: 7.10936
🛡️Trade Management:
- Execution strategy: Reduce the position by 50% after reaching Target 1, and move the stop-loss up to breakeven. If the

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It's always the one you hesitate to take or needed more confirmation.
Got left out on GBPAUD.

Memecoin market cap divided by $TOTAL crypto market cap is in a falling wedge.
Weekly RSI bullish divergence - bottom is forming.

#BTCDrops3.3%
Bitcoin has come under renewed selling pressure, with BTC falling around 3.3% as the crypto market reacts to a combination of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic risk. Recent reports show BTC trading around the $75K–$76K area after a sharp decline from its recent highs.
The latest weakness comes after the U.S. Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act, adding uncertainty around the future regulatory framework for digital assets. At the same time, markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision, keeping traders cautious.
For traders, volatility remai

There is trend resistance around #XAU 4355, which is the previous round’s support/resistance flip level. Use 4355 as the invalidation level and just open short positions; cancel the orders if it breaks through. I’ve already captured nearly 20 points in two rounds.✌️

$MU
Pretty nasty look locally. Rejected horizontal resistance and broke local trend. Just looking like a lower high has formed.

Damn, DeFi can’t even outperform Treasuries—why would anyone put money in?
DeFi pools take on more risk, yet in the end they can’t even outperform 2-year U.S. Treasuries.
Aave’s USDT and USDC, and Sky’s sUSDS, mostly yield just over 3%, while Treasuries offer 4%+.
How do we solve this?