Analysis of the probability of $ETH breaking through 4000 in the short term
According to ETF data, on August 4th, there was a net outflow of approximately -465 million USD in a single day (mainly from ETHA), but on August 5th, it quickly turned into a net inflow of +73.3 million, and on August 6th, it continued with +35.1 million. The funding situation has clearly improved.
In the first two weeks of August, the net increase in ETH spot ETF holdings accounted for approximately 0.3–0.4% of the circulating supply.
Not only $BTC, but the exchange inventory of $ETH is also approaching historical lo

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ETH may test the support at 3500 again.
#以太坊ETF连续12周净流入#
The reason is that the batch exit of institutional node staking on-chain ten days ago is about to be released into the circulating market, with approximately 200,000 ETH. This selling pressure is estimated to take the market a few days to digest.
In addition, there is clearly resistance after pulling up to 3700, the funding rate has shifted from a negative funding rate last night to positive, and the bears have significantly turned bullish. In the short term, it still needs to squeeze out some long positions. The short-term good and bad

The largest Ethereum holding institution, Bitmine Immersion (BMNR), disclosed data showing that its total ETH holdings amount to 625,000 coins, with an overall purchase cost of approximately 3,755 dollars.
Based on the current market price of ETH 3437 USD, the floating loss ratio of BMNR has reached 9.25%, with a floating loss amount of approximately 198.75 million USD.

Fall market adjustment position strategy
If you feel that the downtrend is about to stabilize, you must adjust your position, exchanging coins that have fallen less for those that have fallen more. For example, during the downtrend, I exchanged ETH and OP for the more significant drop of ETHFI. This way, during the rebound, I can gain more room, and this morning's rebound has basically returned my position to what it was before last night's drop.
The premise is that you must identify the currencies that have fallen significantly, as they are likely to rebound strongly. For example, if you obse

Enough, no more fall for ETH.

Calculate whether the largest market maker in Ethereum is currently making a profit or a loss?
This afternoon, the largest Ethereum holding institution Bitmine Immersion disclosed data, with its total ETH holdings reaching 625,000 coins, and the overall purchase cost of ETH is approximately $3,755.
You can calculate how much they have lost. Currently, at ETH 3657, the floating loss percentage is 2.68%, with a floating loss of 61.25 million dollars.
Some institutions are experiencing losses, retail investors don’t need to panic too much, but there may still be significant pullback risks in the

A sudden fall in the bull run presents a money-making opportunity.
Some altcoins that have fallen quite a bit have built long positions, patiently waiting for a rebound around noon or in the afternoon.
ETH has fallen so much but is still hovering around 3680. However, there is a solid bar around this area, and it may drop below 3600. It is especially important to monitor the market today, and friends holding long positions should pay attention to risk control.

Midnight Long Wick Candle test support at 3680! Don't panic!
Woke up suddenly in the middle of the night, possibly because there was a market movement in the dark. Fortunately, it was just a Long Wick Candle, and it happened to be placed right on the Fibonacci retracement line. I tend to think that this time we are still testing support, but if there is another solid candle at 3682, it might drop below 3600. Be sure to keep an eye on the 3682 level, and if something seems off, strictly set a stop-loss.
Currently, ETH has risen due to institutional buying, and it is normal for many retail inves