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Bitcoin has retraced 38% from its all-time high, with the pattern said to resemble a mid-cycle bottom.
Some analysts believe BTC is currently about 38% below its all-time high, a retracement range similar to the characteristics of mid-cycle bottoms in previous cycles—neither a euphoric top nor yet an extreme deep-bear-market level.
The chart shows BTC’s recent 10-day trend (Gate spot, 1-hour). The retracement is merely a reference point; the real direction still depends on the Federal Reserve decision and regulatory progress.
I share these flash updates in the Gate group chat first—join here i
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Fed decision tonight. First rate hike since 2023. Let me tell you what I actually think.
I've been in this market since 2012 and I've traded through the 2022–2023 hiking cycle, so I've seen how these days play out. Most people are going to be glued to the 2:00 PM headline. That headline is already decided. The hike is priced at over 90%. The real trade happens at 2:30 PM when Warsh opens his mouth, and in one small number buried in the dot plot.
First, some context, because a lot of you weren't watching closely in 2023.
The last time the Fed hiked was July 2023. Rates hit 5.25%–5.50% and sat t
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$PAIR Fucking disgusting—I bought the dip, and it crashed straight down before even 10 years had passed.
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“Machi Big Brother’s” $12.3 million shrank to $1 million in one month.
On-chain tracker Ember disclosed that Huang Licheng used approximately $150k in capital to repeatedly compound highly leveraged long ETH positions in August. As the price rose from around $1,900 to approximately $2,500, he repeatedly added to his positions, with his account equity at one point growing to about $12.3 million.
But since September, ETH has repeatedly fluctuated between $2,400 and $2,600. High leverage is most sensitive to two-way volatility, and frequent stop-loss hits caused his equity to fall back to approxi
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Tonight, either way, you’re in for some pain—the majority are only watching whether rates go up, but he’s already laid out a playbook for both outcomes.
Let me repeat the two scenarios from Coin-savvy Cat: if rates are hiked, there’ll be a rapid sell-off with a wick, followed by stabilization and a rebound—a 2B false breakdown; if rates aren’t hiked, it’ll take off right where it stands. Put simply, 2B means fooling you first, then pulling the price back up.
That bill failed to pass last night. I went over the market action: from 77,000, it plunged to 74,900, a drop of more than 2,000 points,
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GOOD MORNING FED RATE HIKE BULLS AND ZCASH ENJOYOOOORS
HIGHER.
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There is trend resistance around #XAU 4355, which is the previous round’s support/resistance flip level. Use 4355 as the invalidation level and just open short positions; cancel the orders if it breaks through. I’ve already captured nearly 20 points in two rounds.✌️
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Financial News, Crypto Updates, Real Trading Strategies
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It seems it’s time for a long position to be the right choice, with a stop-loss below 73k per bitcoin. $BTC
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#晒出我的持仓收益
$ETH ‌One long, one short
Are you still looking forward to the long-short battle in the early hours?
Actually, the result has already been decided.
Make money 💰 and talk after it reaches your pocket.
Rate decision meeting!
Raise interest rates by 25
No increase, no decrease
Interest rate cut
Rate hike of 25 or more
2 Participants
Ends In 22 Hour
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#Bots I'm trading LSKUSDT with the Futures DCA bot on Gate. Join me!
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ethereum:native EXCHANGE SUPPLY HITS AN 11-YEAR LOW 👀
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#CLARITY法案关键投票在即
#Gate广场中秋团圆局
CLARITY Act Just Hit a Major Roadblock — Now Crypto Has to Read the Reaction
The headline everyone was watching has arrived, and it was not the clean breakthrough many traders were waiting for.
The U.S. Senate rejected the procedural motion to advance the CLARITY Act, with the vote ending 49–50, far below the 60 votes required to clear the cloture hurdle. The vote was procedural rather than final passage of the legislation, but the immediate message for the market is clear: U.S. crypto market-structure legislation has hit a significant roadblock.
That distinct
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Bitcoin Reference (September 16) $BTC $ETH
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MSTR trading volume surpasses Morgan Stanley
How can a software company with a market cap far below its Wall Street elder generate trading volume that crushes Morgan Stanley?
$MSTR ’s average daily trading value not only frequently leaves Morgan Stanley behind, but at its peak even approaches that of super-large liquidity monsters like Tesla and Nvidia $TSLA $NVDA
MSTR is the largest leveraged spot Bitcoin fund in the US stock market
First, a legal backdoor for traditional capital
Many institutions are restricted from buying Bitcoin directly, but the US stock market is compliant. MSTR has thu
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Let me talk about my personal view again
The day before yesterday, I said I would short ETH. 2550 and 2580 were both levels to short at, and the decline came as expected, with the low reaching 2360. There should still be room to fall, but it would be best to reduce the position, because the market has been extremely choppy recently. Even when it is set to fall, the move has not been decisive. In this kind of market, it is best to leave some room for T trades.
After tonight, the interest rate decision will come in the early hours. The result will be either how much rates are raised or no rate h
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$BTC is starting to build higher lows from the $75.3K support, and price is now pushing back above the rising trendline. As long as buyers keep defending the $75.8K–$76K area, I’m looking for continuation toward the next resistance.
Entry: $76,000–$76,250
Targets:
TP1: $76,600
TP2: $77,025
TP3: $77,300
Stop: $75,650
For me, $75.8K is the key level here. Hold above it and the long setup stays alive. A clean breakdown below $75,650 would
#FedAnnounceRateDecisionSoon
#BTCDrops3.3%
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Over the past 24 hours, open interest increased by 10K BTC.
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🔥 Hot topics have been updated—here are two trends worth following today 👇
🏦 Federal Reserve rate decision
Market pricing for a rate hike has risen to 87%–95%, with the dot plot’s guidance on the year-end rate path becoming the focus.
⚠️ CLARITY Act fails to pass
Pessimism is mounting in the market, with BTC briefly falling below $75,000 and Meme tokens pulling back across the board.
Choose a direction you’re good at, bring the corresponding topic, and post on Gate Square!
High-quality hot-topic content can receive traffic support + content mining rewards. Good insights deserve to be seen b
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GateSquare
🔥 Hot topics have been updated—here are two trends worth following today 👇
🏦 Federal Reserve rate decision
Market pricing for a rate hike has risen to 87%–95%, with the dot plot’s guidance on the year-end rate path becoming the focus.
⚠️ CLARITY Act fails to pass
Pessimism is mounting in the market, with BTC briefly falling below $75,000 and Meme tokens pulling back across the board.
Choose a direction you’re good at, bring the corresponding topic, and post on Gate Square!
High-quality hot-topic content can receive traffic support + content mining rewards. Good insights deserve to be seen by more people.
👉 https://www.gate.com/post/topic
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