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The U.S. midterm elections have a nearly century-old curse: U.S. stocks tend to fizzle out!
With less than a month to go until the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, Capital Group backtested U.S. stock performance since 1931:
It found that the S&P 500 delivered an average return of just 4.7% in midterm election years, compared with 9.5% in other years—nearly twice as much.
Policy uncertainty rises before elections, making markets prone to volatility, but trends often reverse after the elections end.
This pattern is even more interesting when applied to Bitcoin.
2014, 2018, and 2022 were all
SPYX-1.05%
BTC-2.45%
#SolanaMajorUpgradeScheduled #ShareWeekly $SOL
On October 21 at around 14:50 UTC, Solana swaps out its consensus mechanism for the first time since genesis. Alpenglow replaces TowerBFT, and the headline is finality dropping from about 12.8 seconds to a target of roughly 150 milliseconds. Here’s what I think is solid and what’s still a promise.
1. What actually happens that day
Activation is set for epoch 1064, around 15:00 UTC. TowerBFT is scheduled to keep running for about 18 minutes (5,000 slots) after the feature switches on, then Alpenglow takes over. The network’s own guidance says wall
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SOL-3.17%
BITCOIN IS PREPARING ONE OF 2026'S BIGGEST BULL TRAPS
I think $BTC is about to put everyone back in bull mode.
And that's exactly what worries me.
Bitcoin is stuck between $82K and $87K.
But I don't expect the next move to be a crash.
I expect a PUMP up to $95K first.
Here's my roadmap:
$85K → $95K → $75K → $84K → $62K
At $95K, short positions will get liquidated.
Everyone will start calling for $100K.
Retail FOMO will come back.
And right when the market looks unstoppable, I think the REAL selling will begin.
$75K will scare people.
$84K will convince them the worst is over.
Then $62K could
BTC-2.45%
PPI and BTC’s Historical Dialogue—Trading Wisdom Taught by Five Data Releases
In the crypto market, the most expensive lessons often come from repeating the same mistakes. PPI data happens to be a constantly recurring “exam.”
I reviewed five major PPI releases over the past two years and Bitcoin’s reactions to them. These “historical dialogues” have shaped my current trading framework.
March 2023: PPI cooled, and BTC rose 5.2% in 24 hours. At the time, inflation expectations were retreating from their highs, and the cooling PPI was interpreted by the market as a signal that the Federal Reserve
NVDA-2.69%
✅ 1M MACD Confirms: The macro bottom was locked in back in July!
👀️️️️ Historically, Bitcoin ALWAYS establishes its generational floor months before the monthly MACD prints an official Bull Cross.
The Pattern Never Lies:
✔️ The moment the 1M histogram starts fading, BTC NEVER retests the prior low.
✔️ The Bull Cross lags by 4 to 9 months, acting purely as trend confirmation while price surges.
Imagine still sitting on cash waiting for $BTC $40k while high-timeframe data screams structural reversal. 📈️️️️️️
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BTC-2.45%
Some friends are curious why Uncle is so bullish on Surf
and even spent over 2,100u out of his own pocket to buy 12 SurfBoard NFTs
It's simply because Uncle has a very positive impression of this project and thinks the team has a pretty good vision. From giving $CYBER through the Kaito campaign in early 2025, to airdropping Robo to the community, to today's NFT launch reaching over $600 at the top—even selling at $400 would still far exceed the $200+ annual fee for Pro.
All of the above actions involved the team subsidizing the community
So I got bullish and bought in
What I'm betting on is t
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KAITO-4.07%
CYBER-5.55%
ROBO-5.22%
The Trading Framework After PPI—From Data Interpretation to Position Management
Data is meant to be understood, not gambled on. After every PPI data release, what truly distinguishes professional traders from amateurs is not the accuracy of their predictions, but the discipline of their position management.
After writing nine articles in the PPI series, it is time to consolidate all the analytical frameworks into an actionable trading system.
Step One: Position Management Before the Data Release
My principle is simple: Before the PPI data release, the position should not exceed 50%. This is no
SK Hynix-11.06%
$METIS Bulls return to the market
$METIS is rebounding strongly from the $3.45 support zone, climbing back to around $3.84 on the back of a strong 4-hour candlestick. Buyers are rebuilding momentum, but $3.85 is the key near-term breakout level to watch. Long entry: $3.78–$3.84 Take-profit 1: $3.92 Take-profit 2: $4.05 Take-profit 3: $4.20 Stop-loss: $3.62 If the price breaks and holds above $3.85, it may continue rising toward higher targets. If the price fails to hold $3.75, a pullback may occur. Do not blindly chase the price before confirmation. Buy and trade $METIS
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METIS+6.18%
🚨 $NQ Trade Recap 🚨
#NQ took data low at open, waited for a sweep, and 30S IFVG👀
Entry was based on the 30s IFVG and took most of the position at the data high; left 1 running, ended up at BE
+2.21 R:R 🔒💥
Happy with Execution and trade handling
#NASDAQ #Futures #Trading
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📉 CPI bearish catalyst fully priced in, BTC breaks below $82,000, leaving longs in a tough spot
Just a few days ago, people were discussing 90K, and now BTC has returned to around 81K.
U.S. September CPI rose 3.7% year-on-year, while core CPI reached 2.6%, both above market expectations. Inflationary pressure has heated up again, BTC has broken below $82,000, and long liquidations have increased.
This wave of decline may test not market judgment, but trading discipline.
Some are looking for opportunities during the pullback, some are reducing positions to manage risk, while others would rathe
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BTC-2.45%
PPI data - tonight. BTC / ETH Market Updates
live-cover
LIVE3,144
🔹Panic Selling Hits South Korean Stocks! KOSPI plunges 7 and SK Hynix crashes 10. Is the global AI
live-cover
LIVE2,437
Bitcoin whales accumulate ahead of US inflation report as $744M exits ETFs
Large holders are rebuilding their positions even as ETF investors retreat, leaving Bitcoin's recovery facing a critical test near $83,000.
Quick Take
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.
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BTC-1.78%
$BSP ‌ $ZEC ‌
😱 Bombshell macro data hits the market! The U.S. September PPI annual rate surged to 6.3%, hitting its highest level since May 2026 and coming in a full percentage point above the expected 5.3%!
The month-on-month figure came in at 1.3%, far exceeding expectations of 0.5%. Monthly retail sales rose 0.8%, also beating expectations. Initial jobless claims came in at 199,000, below the expected 200,000, but the inflation beast clearly has yet to be tamed.
These figures immediately intensified market concerns that the Federal Reserve will continue tightening. Bitcoin$BTC
fell 2.3
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BSP+10.28%
ZEC-9.14%
  • 4
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 SEC approves binary options on Coinbase trading volume and Bitcoin ($BTC ) mining output.
First regulatory blessing for derivatives tied to crypto corporate metrics. Niche product, but signals SEC's warming to structured crypto exposure.
COIN-2.04%
BTC-2.45%
Gate contract debut: $DNA
🔹 Contract: #DNAUSDT
🔹 Trading time: October 16, 19:10 (UTC+8)
🔹 Supports 1–20x leverage, trading bots, and copy trading
🔹 Gate now supports contract trading for 475 stocks
Learn more: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/102259
GateLaunch
Gate contract debut: $DNA
🔹 Contract: #DNAUSDT
🔹 Trading time: October 16, 19:10 (UTC+8)
🔹 Supports 1–20x leverage, trading bots, and copy trading
🔹 Gate now supports contract trading for 475 stocks
Learn more: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/102259
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BREAKING:
US PPI data came in at 6.3%
Expectations: 5.3%
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If you don’t understand, just ask:
Is a 26-year-old e-girl already considered extremely old in the scene now??
#每周来晒 #USSeptemberPPIDataRelease
US September PPI data will be released at 20:30 Beijing time tonight (8:30 a.m. ET). This is one of the final major inflation readings before the next Federal Reserve decision window. Below I directly answer the two official questions of this Weekly Share edition and then provide full supporting analysis with as many percentages and data points as possible.
Question 1: Will September PPI exceed or fall short of expectations? Is inflationary pressure on the production side strong?
My clear answer:
I expect September PPI to exceed the consensus slightly or lan
BTC-2.45%
Spark Liquidity Layer flips Maple in total value locked, $2.85 billion against $2.74 billion.
Spark Liquidity Layer now ranks 21st of 49 DeFi protocols above $1.00 billion on that measure.
SPK-3.82%
SYRUP-10.97%
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