10.17 Market Navigation Analysis
ETH Silk Road Reference Setup
Rebound range: around 2410, “duo”
Angelica bamboo shoot: 2380
First target: 2450, second target: 2490
ETH is moving in sync with BTC. Its price pulled back from a high of 2479.41 to 2392.1, where buying support at lower levels became evident. It is currently consolidating in a narrow range near 2421.
The previous decline has already fully released bearish momentum, and the low has not broken down further, with support below holding firm. The current phase is a recovery and base-building phase following the decline, not a complete b

Good weekend. First, let's go over the news from Friday night through this morning:
【U.S. stocks】Tech stocks led Friday's losses, with the Dow down 0.34% to 52,002, the S&P 500 down 1.09% to 7,659, and the Nasdaq down 2.15% to 26,140. The S&P 500 fell 1.95% for the week, while the Nasdaq lost 4.48%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 3.83% on Friday, marking its eighth consecutive daily decline and its longest losing streak since 2008. $BTC ‌
【Rates and the dollar】The 10-year Treasury yield is around 5.08% and the 30-year yield around 5.42%, both still elevated. The U.S. Dollar Index f

$MSTRB fell 7.77%—panic selling or a bear trap? Here’s the conclusion first: this is an oversold play in the late stage of bearish momentum, with a bullish bias, but don’t chase—wait for a wick.
From a capital-flow perspective, MSTRB is currently at 136.38, below the MA5 at 136.064 and far below the MA20 at 139.375. RSI is just 32.7, nearing oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains bearish at -0.063. However, the lower Bollinger Band at 130.482 is a strong short-term support zone. The Fear & Greed Index is at 55, in the greed zone, indicating that overall market sentiment has not

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$PROM Current price 4.847, down 11.24% in 24h, trading volume 13.0M USDT. On the moving-average front, MA5=4.82 remains below MA20=4.8823, and the medium-term structure has not recovered; however, the MACD histogram has turned positive at +0.01164, RSI at 43.5 is in the neutral-to-weak range, and after rebounding from the lower Bollinger Band at 4.45213, the price remains in the lower half of the range, with the upper band at 5.31247 forming distant resistance. Funding rate +0.0050%, Fear and Greed Index 55; sentiment is warm, but longs are not overcrowded.
Assessment: A technical recovery af

Good afternoon! Everyone, remember to eat lunch....

#WarshIMFSpeech #ShareWeekly
Kevin Warsh Speech Sends Mixed Signals as Inflation and Yields Keep Bitcoin on Edge
Headline: Kevin Warsh Refuses to Pre-Judge the Fed, and Bitcoin Is Stuck Between Hot Inflation and Higher Yields
Live market snapshot: Bitcoin is trading near 81,500 US dollars, roughly 3 percent below where it was a few days ago and still under its 20-day moving average. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is around 5.08 to 5.10 percent after touching a 24-year high of about 5.36 percent last week. The 30-year yield has eased from about 5.73 percent to near 5.43 percent. In eq

The market is ranging—how should we trade it? Let's discuss.
Yesterday, the market rebounded after dipping to 80,700, with clear resistance at 81,800. During the earlier drop to 79,700, the break below 80,000 proved false, and bearish pressure was not fully released, leaving open the possibility of a second bottom near 80,400. In this range, bulls and bears will continue to battle back and forth. With the impact of negative news largely exhausted, repeated swings within the range are likely to be the norm.
Key levels warrant close attention. If the market holds the 80,400 low, it may see a rec

For those holding $FTR tokens, did you receive dividends in $TSLAx and $SPCX ? Go check immediately. If you did not receive them (even if you did, check carefully, as you may also miss dividends from other tokens and suffer losses), read this article of mine carefully—it may help recover significant losses for you. (Over the long term, the losses could be hundreds of U, even thousands of U or tens of thousands of U.)
#FTR is a token launched through the $OTC platform. Trading fees are distributed as dividends in TSLAx and Musk’s SPCX, but my FOMO account only received SPCX and did not rece

#WarshIMFSpeech #ShareWeekly
Kevin Warsh Speech Sends Mixed Signals as Inflation and Yields Keep Bitcoin on Edge
Headline: Kevin Warsh Refuses to Pre-Judge the Fed, and Bitcoin Is Stuck Between Hot Inflation and Higher Yields
Live market snapshot: Bitcoin is trading near 81,500 US dollars, roughly 3 percent below where it was a few days ago and still under its 20-day moving average. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is around 5.08 to 5.10 percent after touching a 24-year high of about 5.36 percent last week. The 30-year yield has eased from about 5.73 percent to near 5.43 percent. In eq

The 84,000 hurdle only counts once it’s cleared
84,000 is the high of this rebound and also the 0.5–0.618 resistance zone for the downtrend rebound. It’s been tested several times, but hasn’t been broken. For the four-hour structure to shift from bearish to bullish, it needs to reclaim this level first. Going long below it is based on “I think it’s due to go up”; going long after it breaks above is based on “it’s already going up.” The risks are completely different. Let’s wait until Monday to see clearly; if it can hold above 84,000, then consider a more confirmation-based position. Do you th

neo-cloud starts first.
Is debt financing also nearing its limit?

Recently, I’ve been having a great time chasing trading leaders.
I organized my experience and gave it to AI as a complete practical guide.
I call it the trading #Dragon-Chasing Philosophy.
Seriously.
In trading, #追龙
means only trading the strongest leader at the moment.
🐲 Why trade the leader:
It has the most concentrated capital, the best liquidity, and the cleanest price action.
It rises the most during rallies, gets bottom-fished first during pullbacks,
and holds up best even when the market falls to its lowest point.
🐲 How to identify the leader:
The one that starts first in the sector

$ETH ETH is currently at 2428 and is highly correlated with BTC, with overall strength weaker than Bitcoin. On the 4-hour timeframe, it remains in a weak range, with short-term resistance near 2480 and key support around 2380. Daily momentum is insufficient, and 24-hour trading volume is relatively low, reflecting a lack of independent buying pressure; ETH is mostly moving passively in line with BTC. In terms of fund flows, inflows into ETH spot are limited, while ETF flows remain under sustained pressure, making an independent rally difficult. Whenever BTC moves sharply, ETH’s price swings te

$BTC BTC is currently at 81580. The market remains range-bound, with bulls and bears locked in a close struggle on the 4-hour chart. Near-term resistance is around 82900, while support lies around 80800. On the daily chart, upward momentum has slowed after the earlier rally. 24-hour trading volume has contracted compared with the previous move, buying support has weakened, and the price continues to swing back and forth within the range. At the macro level, the market is continuing to watch expectations for Fed policy, while fluctuations in Treasury yields will keep disrupting the market. Leve

#GateBTCAndETHFuturesVolumeRanksTop3 🚀 Gate BTC and ETH Futures Trading Volume Ranks in the Top 3!
Gate continues to strengthen its position in the crypto trading market! 🔥 Its BTC and ETH futures trading volume has secured a Top 3 ranking, highlighting strong market activity and growing trader participation.
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) remain two of the most closely watched digital assets, attracting traders seeking opportunities in a rapidly changing market. Futures trading allows eligible traders to take positions based on their market outlook, but it also carries significant risks d

$GER40 $ETH
Guys
ETH has once again fallen below 2400
Will it keep falling from here?
Here’s the conclusion
Big Hammer believes
The decline isn’t over yet
Because the sharp rally the night before last
Looks more like a correction
Since it didn’t break through a key defense level
The bears’ key defense level is currently around 2538
If it breaks above 2538 on high volume
Then we can say the bears have turned bullish
For now, the trend is still bearish
And the price will keep falling
Big Hammer has been saying all along
It will fall to 2300
The low could reach around 2158
The intraday levels I