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How will XAU, crypto, and U.S. stock markets fluctuate???
Time: 11:30 a.m.–12:00 p.m. Beijing time on October 16 (Friday). Format: A fireside chat with IMF Managing Director Georgieva at the IMF (International Monetary Fund) annual meeting in Bangkok, rather than a formal policy statement.
Background: This is the Federal Reserve’s last public appearance before the October 27–28 FOMC meeting’s blackout period, so the market is paying close attention.
Why this speech is important
The U.S. September CPI has just come in well above expectations (3.7% year-on-year), while the market remains divided
XAUUSD-0.08%
🔥 $OGN
After encountering resistance near the $0.0500 resistance zone, it has continued to show bearish momentum. The price has consistently formed lower highs and lower lows, gradually falling to the $0.0300 support area. If selling pressure persists and the support level breaks, OGN may retrace further to lower levels. 📉Take profit: 0.010556 Stop loss: 0.03747 Short $OGN 👇
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OGN-3.73%
#SpotGoldRecoversPostCPILosses Gold gave traders a proper roller coaster this week. It dropped on hot inflation data, then climbed right back. With spot now around 4,157, here is the story as a three-day timeline, followed by the indicator report card and the levels I'm watching.
WEDNESDAY, OCT 14: THE DROP
The September CPI came in at 3.7% year over year against 3.6% expected, with core at 2.6% against 2.5%. Gold's first reaction was the textbook one, as Treasury yields and the dollar rose together. Gold fell 1.3% that session, and it dipped below $4,100 for the first time since early August.
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XAU+0.52%
XAG+2.78%
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#美国9月PPI大超预期 #每周来晒 September PPI Surges to Four-Year High—Will the Fed Take Drastic Action in December?
Following Wednesday’s hotter-than-expected CPI, the PPI once again confirmed mounting inflationary pressure. U.S. PPI rose 6.3% year over year in September, far above the expected 5.3%, marking the largest increase since December 2022; it rose 1.3% month over month, also well above the expected 0.5%, marking the largest increase since March 2022. Core PPI, excluding food and energy, was also strong. It rose 5% year over year and 0.7% month over month, both above expectations.
Energy Drives P
GAS+3.37%
CME+1.39%
C+0.76%
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🔹Rate Hike Expectations Rise, but U.S. Stocks and Crypto Rally Against the Trend! Jensen Huang Step
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LIVE2,099
The short-term prediction market shows highly unified bullish expectations, with the market essentially ruling out ETH breaking significantly below 2,200.
Odds are extremely low at all levels, leaving no trading upside on the long side.
In an environment with highly consistent bullish sentiment, beware of the risk of a sudden wick-driven pullback. Once the price breaks below 2,300, it could significantly impact this prediction market.
The short-term prediction market shows highly unified bullish expectations, with the market essentially ruling out ETH breaking significantly below 2,200.
Odds a
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ETH+3.29%
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#StrivePlans500MillionRaiseToBuyMoreBitcoin
Strive Plans a $500 Million Raise to Buy More Bitcoin — What Does This Mean for the Crypto Market?
The institutional Bitcoin story is getting more interesting. Strive's reported plan to raise up to $500 million to purchase additional Bitcoin has caught my attention because it highlights how some companies continue to explore Bitcoin as part of their corporate treasury strategy.
For me, the important question is not simply how much Bitcoin a company wants to buy. I also want to understand how it plans to raise the money, what risks shareholders coul
#美国9月PPI大超预期 #每周来晒 September PPI Surges to Four-Year High—Will the Fed Take Drastic Action in December?
Following Wednesday’s hotter-than-expected CPI, the PPI once again confirmed mounting inflationary pressure. U.S. PPI rose 6.3% year over year in September, far above the expected 5.3%, marking the largest increase since December 2022; it rose 1.3% month over month, also well above the expected 0.5%, marking the largest increase since March 2022. Core PPI, excluding food and energy, was also strong. It rose 5% year over year and 0.7% month over month, both above expectations.
Energy Drives P
CME+1.39%
C+0.76%
UBS+1.33%
GAS+3.37%
📊 $BTC remains trapped below key cost-basis levels.
Investors who bought Bitcoin over the past two years may reach breakeven above $88K, creating potential selling pressure as price approaches that level. Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETFs have turned into net sellers again. 📉
The ETF cost basis near $81.5K has acted as support twice so far, making it a critical level to watch.
👉 BTC needs to reclaim key cost-basis levels to strengthen its bullish structure. If $81.5K fails to hold, further downside pressure could emerge.
#USSeptemberPPIBeatsExpectations #ShareWeekly
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BTC+1.12%
After spending the last 72 hours with @bot iv made an entire company of agents trained them with skills, scanned those skills with Nvidia's skill scanner for malicious prompt injection, created and trained an entire clevel executive team and brought on directors even.
I also created a security blue & QA team, ran a red team that is now going to hunt for bug bounties online after reading security books & teaching itself exploitation skills and searching for vulns having a full library. Setup various work flows, designed websites, trained agents on specific skill sets for their jobs at hand. De
NVDA-1.92%
Semiconductors completely wrecked my trades—they somehow turned A-shares’ T+1 into T+0.
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#USSeptemberCPITopsEstimates USSeptemberCPITopsEstimates
The US September CPI report just dropped, and it came in hotter than expected. This report effectively killed any remaining hopes that the Fed would pivot soon.
Headline Inflation: Energy Steals the Show
September CPI rose 3.7% year-over-year, above the expected 3.6% and up from 3.4% in August. Month-over-month, prices climbed 0.6% — the largest single-month jump in five months.
Gasoline was the biggest culprit. The gasoline index surged 9.1% month-over-month, accounting for more than half of the overall CPI increase on its own. The broa
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GAS+3.37%
CME+1.39%
US500+0.07%
NAS100+0.08%
CICC-1.02%
KOL take: Ansem remains firmly bullish on BTC! Crypto market confidence has fallen to a ten-year low
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#DrLinHanSpeaksAtOxfordUnion
Dr. Lin Han Speaks at Oxford Union: A Moment of Dialogue, Ideas, and Global Perspective
The Oxford Union is widely recognized as a historic platform for debate, intellectual exchange, and discussions on important global issues. When a speaker addresses an audience at such a prestigious institution, the occasion creates an opportunity to share perspectives, challenge assumptions, and encourage meaningful conversations among people with different experiences and viewpoints.
**Dr. Lin Han Speaks at Oxford Union** represents an opportunity to reflect on the importance
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I hope this plague doesn’t turn out like COVID last time. I’m getting vaccinated now—my body really can’t take it anymore.
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Sola morning outlook for today
Go long
Entry: 105.00 - 105.20 (enter after a pullback near the lower band shows signs of holding)
Stop-loss: Below 104.60 (long position invalidated if the lower band breaks)
Target: 106.00 (upper band) → 106.50 (previous high)
Go short
Entry: 106.00 - 106.20 (try shorting again after stalling near the upper band and closing lower)
Stop-loss: Above 106.80 (short position invalidated if the previous high holds)
Target: 105.40 → 104.90
Sola is currently hovering around the middle band, with the MACD lines converging and both bulls and bears being cautious—a typica
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SOL+2.75%
Alt coins will go parabolic like this
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That’s indeed quite tactfully put.😅
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Var's points for this week are out—here's how things went this week
My 12M in volume was all from SWAPs and only earned 22 points, nearly 540,000 per point. Last week it was 180,000 per point, and I got over 50 points. Although I earned very few points this week, I basically achieved zero loss
I took a look at everyone's points:
There are users ranging from 120,000 to 700,000 per point. Based on the results I've seen so far, spread is still a very important metric (because when I got 180,000 per point last week, 50% of my volume was RWA)
Although Swaps offer double points and low loss, that's
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SWAP+1.96%
RWA+1.69%
FARM-0.09%
SOL+2.86%
ME+3.56%
#美国9月PPI大超预期
🔥 BREAKING: U.S. September PPI Explodes Higher — Biggest Jump in Over 4 Years
Hotter-than-expected CPI on Wednesday was just the warm-up. Thursday’s Producer Price Index data confirmed that inflationary pressures are intensifying across the U.S. economy.
The Numbers That Shocked Markets
Headline PPI: +1.3% month-over-month (vs expected +0.5%) — the largest monthly increase since March 2022
Year-over-year: +6.3% (vs expected +5.3%) — the highest annual rate since December 2022
Core PPI (ex-food & energy): +0.7% MoM and +5.0% YoY — both well above forecasts
This is not just an ene
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C+0.76%
UBS+1.33%
CME+1.39%
GAS+3.37%
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